Pavia vs Pro Patria Prediction

Pavia
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Pro Patria
01/11/2026
PaviaPavia
1-0
Finished
Pro PatriaPro Patria

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.34
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap-6.1%
Pavia Rest
7 days
Pro Patria Rest
4 days

Pavia vs Pro Patria: the result in context

Pavia beat Pro Patria 1-0 in the Serie D - Girone D on 1 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Pro Patria had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Pavia.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%2.90
X
29%3.15
2
39%2.27
Double Chance
1X
61%1.50
X2
68%1.34
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

15'

Team Comparison

PaviaPavia
Pro PatriaPro Patria
1475Elo Rating 1464
1.43Attack 0.90
1.82Defense 2.14
50%Hit Rate 31%

Game State Tendencies

PaviaPavia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Pro PatriaPro Patria
  • Tied at half-time in 50% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

PaviaPavia
1W5D4L
25/10/2026
PaviaUSD Casatese
31
W
18/10/2026
PistoiesePavia
10
L
11/10/2026
PaviaVaresina
22
D
07/10/2026
PaviaSant'Angelo
13
L
04/10/2026
CorreggesePavia
21
L
27/09/2026
PaviaArconatese
11
D
20/09/2026
Sant'AngeloPavia
00
D
16/09/2026
PaviaSolbiatese
00
D
06/09/2026
PaviaCrema
00
D
19/07/2026
PisaPavia
61
L
Pro PatriaPro Patria
6W2D2L
28/10/2026
LeonPro Patria
3101
L
25/10/2026
Pro PatriaCorreggese
11
D
18/10/2026
USD CasatesePro Patria
12
W
11/10/2026
Pro PatriaSant'Angelo
10
W
07/10/2026
Città di VaresePro Patria
25
W
04/10/2026
VaresinaPro Patria
00
D
27/09/2026
Pro PatriaSolbiatese
01
L
20/09/2026
ArconatesePro Patria
03
W
16/09/2026
Pro PatriaCrema
20
W
12/09/2026
PontederaPro Patria
23
W

League Table

Serie D - Girone D 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PistoiesePistoiese1191124:5+1928DWLWW
2LentigioneLentigione1173118:10+824WWDDW
3Pro PatriaPro Patria1163214:7+721DLDWW
4CastellanzeseCastellanzese1161419:11+819LLDWW
5USD CasateseUSD Casatese1161415:14+119WWLLW
6Pro SestoPro Sesto1153323:11+1218WLLDD
7Cittadella Vis ModenaCittadella Vis Modena1152412:9+317WLWDL
8SolbiateseSolbiatese1145212:10+217WWDWD
9Sant'AngeloSant'Angelo1143413:13015DLWWL
10CremaCrema1143414:17-315WWDWD
11Città di VareseCittà di Varese1135317:13+414DLDWW
12PaviaPavia1135312:9+314LWWLD
13CorreggeseCorreggese1133512:19-712LDDLL
14VaresinaVaresina1125414:16-211LWDDD
15CorianoCoriano1123610:15-59WDLLL
16PontederaPontedera1121811:27-167LWDLW
17ArconateseArconatese1113711:26-156LLWLL
18OltrepòOltrepò111285:24-195LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1PistoiesePistoiese1124:528
2LentigioneLentigione1118:1024
3Pro PatriaPro Patria1114:721
4CastellanzeseCastellanzese1119:1119
5USD CasateseUSD Casatese1115:1419
6Pro SestoPro Sesto1123:1118
7Cittadella Vis ModenaCittadella Vis Modena1112:917
8SolbiateseSolbiatese1112:1017
9Sant'AngeloSant'Angelo1113:1315
10CremaCrema1114:1715
11Città di VareseCittà di Varese1117:1314
12PaviaPavia1112:914
13CorreggeseCorreggese1112:1912
14VaresinaVaresina1114:1611
15CorianoCoriano1110:159
16PontederaPontedera1111:277
17ArconateseArconatese1111:266
18OltrepòOltrepò115:245
PromotionRelegation

About the Pavia vs Pro Patria forecast

The forecasts for this Serie D - Girone D match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Pavia and Pro Patria in the Serie D - Girone D table

In the Serie D - Girone D table, Pro Patria are 3rd and Pavia 12th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Pavia 12-9, Pro Patria 14-7. The full standings are on the Serie D - Girone D Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Pavia and Pro Patria have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.