Penafiel vs AVS Prediction

Penafiel
1-2
Finished
HT 0-2
AVS
Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel·Jose Rodrigues 09/10/2026
PenafielPenafiel
1-2
Finished
AVSAVS

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-8.6%
Penafiel Rest
20 days
AVS Rest
19 days

Penafiel vs AVS: result, form and history

AVS beat Penafiel 2-1 in the Segunda Liga on 9 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Penafiel had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for AVS.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.90
X
28%3.28
2
25%3.95
Double Chance
1X
75%1.20
X2
54%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.85
No
49%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.31 + 1.28 = 2.59
Over 1.5
71%1.33
Over 2.5
47%2.04
Over 3.5
27%3.73
Under 1.5
29%3.08
Under 2.5
53%1.73
Under 3.5
73%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'Roni
9'Lobato Rafael
27'Mateus Pivô
41'Jaime Sánchez
43'
46'Pedro Sá INJuanda Fuentes out
46'Jaime Sánchez INRicardo Schutte out
49'
61'Antonio David Álvarez Rey INClaudio Mendes out
66'Lobato Rafael INGuilherme Neiva out
69'Douglas Borel INDuarte Oliveira out
69'Max Svensson
77'Rodrigo Pinho INDiogo Brasido out
77'Roni INCarlos Ponck out
85'fernando almeida INJorge Meireles out
85'Hiago Santos INPedro Pimentel out
90+3'

Lineups

Penafiel
3-4-3Coach: José Manuel Aira
AVS
4-3-3Coach: Sérgio Fonseca
Miguel Oliveira1M. Oliveira
Jaime Sánchez5J. Sánchez
Adrián Pica6A. Pica
Iano Imbene2I. Imbene
Gonçalo Negrão27G. Negrão
Pedro Sá21P. Sá
Àlex Carbonell8À. Carbonell
Douglas Borel7D. Borel
João Pinto17J. Pinto
Max Svensson9M. Svensson
Davo10Davo
Dani Rebollo1D. Rebollo
Matheus Pivô97M. Pivô
L. Rosić3L. Rosić
Bernardo Conde26B. Conde
L. Rivas12L. Rivas
Roni70Roni
F. Almeida88F. Almeida
Hiago Santos80H. Santos
1919L. Rafael
Rodrigo Pinho9R. Pinho
Talles Wander30T. Wander

Penafiel Substitutes

99Claudio61'for Antonio David Álvarez Rey
14Jorge Meré
4João Miguel
3Cláudio Silva
23Duarte Oliveira69'replaced by Douglas Borel
38M. Ramon
13Eric Puerto
64tiago sampaio
33Ricardo Schutte46'for Jaime Sánchez
79Tomás Teixeira
50Francisco Varela
11J. Fuentes46'for Pedro Sá

AVS Substitutes

28André Sousa
25Raul
6Carlos Ponck77'for Roni
49P. Pimentel85'for Hiago Santos
7Guilherme Neiva66'replaced by Lobato Rafael
17R. N'do
8Jorge Meireles85'for fernando almeida
4Davi Schuindt
22Diogo Brasido77'for Rodrigo Pinho

Match Stats

PenafielAVS
62%Ball Possession38%
8Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards4
30Total Shots10
12Shots on Goal3
18Shots off Goal7
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

PenafielPenafiel
AVSAVS
1567Elo Rating 1611
1.89Attack 1.26
1.81Defense 2.49
58%Hit Rate 69%
20.7Shots per Game 10.0
7.9Shots on Target 3.4
3.9Corners per Game 2.8
1.0Cards per Game 4.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

PenafielPenafiel
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AVSAVS
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

PenafielPenafiel0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
AVSAVS2Wins · 100%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

Segunda Liga03/03/2024
PenafielAVS
01
Segunda Liga09/10/2023
AVSPenafiel
10

Recent Form

PenafielPenafiel
5W2D3L
19/09/2026
OliveirensePenafiel
12
W
12/09/2026
Felgueiras 1932Penafiel
12
W
05/09/2026
PenafielAcademica
41
W
30/08/2026
FC Porto BPenafiel
03
W
23/08/2026
PenafielSporting CP B
20
W
15/08/2026
TorreensePenafiel
22
D
08/08/2026
PenafielPortimonense
01
L
24/07/2026
PenafielLeganes
02
L
18/07/2026
FamalicaoPenafiel
00
D
17/05/2026
Pacos FerreiraPenafiel
21
L
AVSAVS
4W4D2L
20/09/2026
SintrenseAVS
02
W
13/09/2026
AVSFarense
00
D
07/09/2026
Lusitânia LourosaAVS
21
L
30/08/2026
AVSFeirense
20
W
23/08/2026
ChavesAVS
22
D
17/08/2026
Felgueiras 1932AVS
11
D
09/08/2026
AVSSporting CP B
01
L
31/07/2026
AVSTrofense
11
D
29/07/2026
AVSVianense
30
W
25/07/2026
Pacos FerreiraAVS
02
W

League Table

Segunda Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa853014:7+718DDWWW
2Sporting CP BSporting CP B860213:6+718WWLWW
3PenafielPenafiel851218:8+1016WLWWW
4AcademicaAcademica850314:10+415WWLLL
5FarenseFarense842214:10+414LWWDL
6Benfica BBenfica B84228:5+314DWWLL
7AVSAVS833210:8+212WWDLW
8TondelaTondela84049:8+112LWWWL
9VizelaVizela83238:8011LLDWW
10União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria832311:10+111DLDWW
11LeixoesLeixoes83149:12-310LLDWW
12PortimonensePortimonense83146:10-410LWLLL
13ChavesChaves82248:15-78WDLWL
14FC Porto BFC Porto B82247:15-88DWDLL
15Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 193281437:9-27DLLLW
16TorreenseTorreense71337:10-36LDWLD
17AmaranteAmarante71246:10-45LDLWD
18FeirenseFeirense80262:10-82DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa814:718
2Sporting CP BSporting CP B813:618
3PenafielPenafiel818:816
4AcademicaAcademica814:1015
5FarenseFarense814:1014
6Benfica BBenfica B88:514
7AVSAVS810:812
8TondelaTondela89:812
9VizelaVizela88:811
10União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria811:1011
11LeixoesLeixoes89:1210
12PortimonensePortimonense86:1010
13ChavesChaves88:158
14FC Porto BFC Porto B87:158
15Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 193287:97
16TorreenseTorreense77:106
17AmaranteAmarante76:105
18FeirenseFeirense82:102
PromotionRelegation

About the Penafiel vs AVS forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Penafiel and AVS in the Segunda Liga table

In the Segunda Liga table, Penafiel are 3rd and AVS 7th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Penafiel 18-8, AVS 10-8. The full standings are on the Segunda Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

AVS have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Penafiel and AVS have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.