Farense vs Chaves Prediction
Portugal · Regular Season - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Farense vs Chaves: the result in context
Farense beat Chaves 4-0 in the Segunda Liga on 4 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Farense tend to win more corners, 7.8 a game to 4.2 for Chaves.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Lineups
Farense
Farense Starting XI
Chaves Starting XI
Farense Substitutes
Chaves Substitutes
Match Stats
FarenseChaves Team Comparison
FarenseChavesAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Farense- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Chaves- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Farense2Wins · 29%4Wins · 57%Previous meetings
22/02/2026ChavesFarense28/09/2025FarenseChaves
04/02/2024ChavesFarense26/08/2023FarenseChaves30/04/2022FarenseChaves18/12/2021ChavesFarense
24/07/2021ChavesFarenseRecent Form
Farense
SacavenenseFarense
AVSFarense
Sporting CP BFarenseFarense
Felgueiras 1932
FC Porto BFarenseFarense
TorreenseFarense
FulhamFarense
Benfica B
CF Os BelenensesFarenseFarenseCF Os BelenensesChaves
GuardaChavesChaves
FeirenseFelgueiras 1932ChavesChavesAVSSporting CP BChavesChaves
Academica
GuimaraesChavesChaves
Guimaraes BChaves
Amarante
VizelaChavesReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.77 cards a match, 0.39 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.38).
Cards come from 35 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lusitânia Lourosa | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | +7 | 18 | DDWWW |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13:6 | +7 | 18 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Penafiel | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:8 | +10 | 16 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Academica | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14:10 | +4 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 5 | Farense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 14 | LWWDL |
| 6 | Benfica B | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 14 | DWWLL |
| 7 | AVS | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:8 | +2 | 12 | WWDLW |
| 8 |  Tondela | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9:8 | +1 | 12 | LWWWL |
| 9 | Vizela | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 | LLDWW |
| 10 |  União de Leiria | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | +1 | 11 | DLDWW |
| 11 |  Leixoes | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 | LLDWW |
| 12 |  Portimonense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 | LWLLL |
| 13 | Torreense | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 | WLDWL |
| 14 | Chaves | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 15 | FC Porto B | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | -8 | 8 | DWDLL |
| 16 | Felgueiras 1932 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 | DLLLW |
| 17 | Amarante | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 5 | LLDLW |
| 18 | Feirense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2:10 | -8 | 2 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 8 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 2 | Sporting CP B | 8 | 13:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Penafiel | 8 | 18:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Academica | 8 | 14:10 | 15 |
| 5 | Farense | 8 | 14:10 | 14 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 8 | 8:5 | 14 |
| 7 | AVS | 8 | 10:8 | 12 |
| 8 | Tondela | 8 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 9 | Vizela | 8 | 8:8 | 11 |
| 10 | União de Leiria | 8 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 8 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 12 | Portimonense | 8 | 6:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Torreense | 8 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 14 | Chaves | 8 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 15 | FC Porto B | 8 | 7:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Felgueiras 1932 | 8 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 17 | Amarante | 8 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 18 | Feirense | 8 | 2:10 | 2 |
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This match
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About the Farense vs Chaves forecast
The forecasts for this Segunda Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Farense and Chaves in the Segunda Liga table
In the Segunda Liga table, Farense are 5th and Chaves 14th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Farense 14-10, Chaves 8-15. The full standings are on the Segunda Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Farense have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Chaves have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.