Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd Prediction

Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya 26/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.50
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Persebaya Surabaya Rest
4 days
Persepam Madura Utd Rest
4 days

Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd: the result in context

Persebaya Surabaya beat Persepam Madura Utd 3-1 in the Liga 1 on 26 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Persebaya Surabaya have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.50
X
23%3.96
2
17%5.45
Double Chance
1X
83%1.11
X2
40%2.38
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

22'M. PereiraAssist: F. Rivera
61'J. Santacruz INIran Junior out
62'Ilhamsyah INP. Sitanggang out
63'T. Hidayat
65'P. Sitanggang
66'A. Catur INS. Lasinari out
68'Walber
70'Freitas Gali
74'Gledson INY. Mabella out
74'S. Ramdani INR. Pratama out
78'Lulinha INA. Rusadi out
81'Freitas Gali INBalotelli out
83'Iran Junior
90'P. Monteiro
90'Y. Fernandes(Penalty)
90+4'T. Firmansyah INS. Putra out
90+4'F. Rivera INR. Mitrevski out
90+7'Y. MabellaAssist: M. Pereira

Team Comparison

Persebaya SurabayaPersebaya Surabaya
Persepam Madura UtdPersepam Madura Utd
1610Elo Rating 1511
0.96Attack 1.71
2.11Defense 1.62
34%Hit Rate 58%

Game State Tendencies

Persebaya SurabayaPersebaya Surabaya
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Persepam Madura UtdPersepam Madura Utd
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Persebaya SurabayaPersebaya Surabaya6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
Persepam Madura UtdPersepam Madura Utd2Wins · 20%
2.1Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga 117/04/2026
Persebaya SurabayaPersepam Madura Utd
12
Liga 103/01/2026
Persepam Madura UtdPersebaya Surabaya
01
Liga 120/04/2025
Persebaya SurabayaPersepam Madura Utd
10
Liga 102/12/2024
Persepam Madura UtdPersebaya Surabaya
12
Liga 113/03/2024
Persebaya SurabayaPersepam Madura Utd
00
Liga 117/09/2023
Persepam Madura UtdPersebaya Surabaya
30
Liga 129/01/2023
Persepam Madura UtdPersebaya Surabaya
02
Liga 114/08/2022
Persebaya SurabayaPersepam Madura Utd
22
Liga 128/02/2022
Persepam Madura UtdPersebaya Surabaya
12
Liga 120/11/2021
Persebaya SurabayaPersepam Madura Utd
10

Recent Form

Persebaya SurabayaPersebaya Surabaya
6W3D1L
22/10/2026
PSM MakassarPersebaya Surabaya
10
L
18/10/2026
Persebaya SurabayaPSS Sleman
22
D
09/10/2026
Isenmulang KaltengPersebaya Surabaya
01
W
19/09/2026
Persebaya SurabayaGarudayaksa
11
D
13/09/2026
Persebaya SurabayaPSIM Yogyakarta
10
W
05/09/2026
Bhayangkara FCPersebaya Surabaya
11
D
06/08/2026
Persib BandungPersebaya Surabaya
5161
W
04/08/2026
Persebaya SurabayaArema FC
10
W
01/08/2026
Persebaya SurabayaPort FC
21
W
29/07/2026
Persebaya SurabayaPSMS Medan
10
W
Persepam Madura UtdPersepam Madura Utd
6W1D3L
22/10/2026
Persepam Madura UtdPersib Bandung
10
W
16/10/2026
Persepam Madura UtdBhayangkara FC
33
D
09/10/2026
Persik KediriPersepam Madura Utd
20
L
18/09/2026
Persepam Madura UtdPSIM Yogyakarta
21
W
12/09/2026
PSS SlemanPersepam Madura Utd
13
W
06/09/2026
Persepam Madura UtdPersijap
20
W
23/05/2026
Persepam Madura UtdPSM Makassar
20
W
17/05/2026
PSIM YogyakartaPersepam Madura Utd
21
L
11/05/2026
Bhayangkara FCPersepam Madura Utd
31
L
05/05/2026
Persepam Madura UtdBali United
20
W

League Table

Liga 1 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PersijaPersija760117:6+1118WWLWW
2Dewa UnitedDewa United742112:10+214LWDWW
3Bali UnitedBali United741220:8+1213DWLWL
4Persib BandungPersib Bandung741211:8+313WLWDW
5Persepam Madura UtdPersepam Madura Utd741212:10+213LWDLW
6PersitaPersita633012:9+312DWWDW
7Persebaya SurabayaPersebaya Surabaya73319:6+312WLDWD
8Bhayangkara FCBhayangkara FC725011:8+311DWDDW
9Persik KediriPersik Kediri73138:6+210LWLWD
10Arema FCArema FC723216:14+29WLLDD
11PSM MakassarPSM Makassar72329:12-39DWWLD
12Java UnitedJava United723210:1007DDWWL
13Pusamania BorneoPusamania Borneo52034:6-26LWLWL
14GarudayaksaGarudayaksa71247:14-75LLWLD
15PSS SlemanPSS Sleman61149:11-24LDWLL
16Isenmulang KaltengIsenmulang Kalteng71243:12-93DDWLL
17PSIM YogyakartaPSIM Yogyakarta70253:11-82DLLLL
18PersijapPersijap70163:15-121DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PersijaPersija717:618
2Dewa UnitedDewa United712:1014
3Bali UnitedBali United720:813
4Persib BandungPersib Bandung711:813
5Persepam Madura UtdPersepam Madura Utd712:1013
6PersitaPersita612:912
7Persebaya SurabayaPersebaya Surabaya79:612
8Bhayangkara FCBhayangkara FC711:811
9Persik KediriPersik Kediri78:610
10Arema FCArema FC716:149
11PSM MakassarPSM Makassar79:129
12Java UnitedJava United710:107
13Pusamania BorneoPusamania Borneo54:66
14GarudayaksaGarudayaksa77:145
15PSS SlemanPSS Sleman69:114
16Isenmulang KaltengIsenmulang Kalteng73:123
17PSIM YogyakartaPSIM Yogyakarta73:112
18PersijapPersijap73:151

About the Persebaya Surabaya vs Persepam Madura Utd forecast

The forecasts for this Liga 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Persebaya Surabaya and Persepam Madura Utd in the Liga 1 table

Persepam Madura Utd and Persebaya Surabaya are close in the Liga 1 table, 5th and 7th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Persebaya Surabaya 9-6, Persepam Madura Utd 12-10. The full standings are on the Liga 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.