Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots Prediction

Wild Horse Pass Stadium·R. Fierro 21/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.44
SignalSTRONGModel26%SurpriseHighGap+11.7%
Phoenix Rising Rest
7 days
Oakland Roots Rest
3 days

Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots: the result in context

Oakland Roots beat Phoenix Rising 4-3 in the USL Championship on 21 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.10
X
28%3.48
2
29%2.98
Double Chance
1X
70%1.30
X2
57%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.53
No
56%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.19
Over 2.5
39%1.63
Over 3.5
19%2.60
Under 1.5
36%4.10
Under 2.5
61%2.15
Under 3.5
81%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

43'T. GibsonFoul
46'C. Smith IND. Flores out
48'A. PelayoUnsportsmanlike conduct
49'P. Wilson(Penalty)
53'M. EdwardsFoul
55'J. de VicenteFoul
56'D. TrejoAssist: P. Wilson
59'K. McIntoshUnsportsmanlike conduct
62'I. Sacko(Penalty)
64'A. Pelayo ING. Studenhofft out
69'B. Jacquesson INW. Prentice out
69'T. Gibson INK. Tingey out
72'D. GomezAssist: I. Sacko
74'F. ValotAssist: W. Prentice
77'G. Rivera INK. Arase out
77'D. Rivera IND. Badji out
78'P. WilsonAssist: W. Prentice
83'F. Valot INJ. Bravo out
86'D. GomezUnsportsmanlike conduct
88'D. Gomez INA. Vukovic out
89'P. Wilson INB. Roberson out
90'K. AraseAssist: A. Vukovic
90+10'D. TrejoUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+10'L. BiasiUnsportsmanlike conduct

Team Comparison

Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
Oakland RootsOakland Roots
1460Elo Rating 1442
1.91Attack 1.88
0.97Defense 1.73
36%Hit Rate 37%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Oakland RootsOakland Roots
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising4Wins · 40%
Draws550%
Oakland RootsOakland Roots1Wins · 10%
2.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

USL Championship22/03/2026
Phoenix RisingOakland Roots
22
USL Championship28/09/2025
Phoenix RisingOakland Roots
33
USL Championship13/07/2025
Oakland RootsPhoenix Rising
12
USL Championship13/10/2024
Oakland RootsPhoenix Rising
01
USL Championship24/03/2024
Phoenix RisingOakland Roots
10
USL Championship25/06/2023
Oakland RootsPhoenix Rising
11
USL Championship11/06/2023
Phoenix RisingOakland Roots
22
USL Championship11/09/2022
Phoenix RisingOakland Roots
02
USL Championship28/07/2022
Oakland RootsPhoenix Rising
00
USL Championship10/10/2021
Phoenix RisingOakland Roots
10

Recent Form

Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising
4W2D4L
14/06/2026
El Paso LocomotivePhoenix Rising
11
D
11/06/2026
Phoenix RisingLouisville City
02
L
07/06/2026
New Mexico UnitedPhoenix Rising
40
L
31/05/2026
Phoenix RisingSacramento Republic
20
W
24/05/2026
Tampa Bay RowdiesPhoenix Rising
30
L
17/05/2026
Phoenix RisingOrange County SC
21
W
10/05/2026
Phoenix RisingSan Antonio
11
D
03/05/2026
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPhoenix Rising
01
W
19/04/2026
Miami FCPhoenix Rising
03
W
16/04/2026
San Jose EarthquakesPhoenix Rising
20
L
Oakland RootsOakland Roots
3W4D3L
17/06/2026
Oakland RootsBirmingham Legion
11
D
14/06/2026
Oakland RootsMiami FC
00
D
07/06/2026
Las Vegas LightsOakland Roots
02
W
31/05/2026
Oakland RootsColorado Springs
01
L
24/05/2026
Orange County SCOakland Roots
32
L
17/05/2026
Oakland RootsSacramento Republic
01
L
10/05/2026
Oakland RootsEl Paso Locomotive
21
W
02/05/2026
Loudoun UnitedOakland Roots
22
D
23/04/2026
Oakland RootsLas Vegas Lights
42
W
19/04/2026
Oakland RootsFC Tulsa
11
D

Referee Profile

R. Fierro119 matches

3.92Cards per match
3.64Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
27.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

R. Fierro3.92
Other referees4.33

3.92 cards a match, 0.41 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.33).

Cards come from 36 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United30157845:34+1152WLWWL
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic301312542:28+1451WWDDW
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive301551048:38+1050LLWLD
4LexingtonLexington301461057:39+1848DWDWW
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs30138944:38+647WWDDD
6San AntonioSan Antonio301112732:30+245WWDLD
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa301110934:31+343LLDDW
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3010101045:46-140DWWLL
9Orange County SCOrange County SC301091139:49-1039LLLLW
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots309111039:40-138LWDDW
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights301061441:48-736LLLWL
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay30661832:52-2024WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1New Mexico UnitedNew Mexico United3045:3452
2Sacramento RepublicSacramento Republic3042:2851
3El Paso LocomotiveEl Paso Locomotive3048:3850
4LexingtonLexington3057:3948
5Colorado SpringsColorado Springs3044:3847
6San AntonioSan Antonio3032:3045
7FC TulsaFC Tulsa3034:3143
8Phoenix RisingPhoenix Rising3045:4640
9Orange County SCOrange County SC3039:4939
10Oakland RootsOakland Roots3039:4038
11Las Vegas LightsLas Vegas Lights3041:4836
12Monterey BayMonterey Bay3032:5224

About the Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots forecast

The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Phoenix Rising and Oakland Roots in the USL Championship table

Phoenix Rising and Oakland Roots are close in the USL Championship table, 8th and 10th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Phoenix Rising 45-46, Oakland Roots 39-40. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Phoenix Rising have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.