Popayan vs Union Magdalena Prediction

Primera BColombia Colombia · Clausura - 4
Popayan
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Union Magdalena
08/10/2026
PopayanPopayan
1-1
Finished
Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalena

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.25
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseHighGap-14.4%
Popayan Rest
3 days
Union Magdalena Rest
4 days

Popayan vs Union Magdalena: result, form and history

Popayan and Union Magdalena drew 1-1 in the Primera B on 7 Oct 2026. Popayan had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Union Magdalena.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.4 goals a game across 9 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%3.40
X
29%3.08
2
39%2.08
Double Chance
1X
61%1.65
X2
68%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.91
No
51%1.77
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.24 + 1.14 = 2.38
Over 1.5
67%1.38
Over 2.5
43%2.20
Over 3.5
23%4.10
Under 1.5
33%2.70
Under 2.5
57%1.57
Under 3.5
77%1.16
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'W. Sagrera
15'D. Cortes
21'J. Cuero
33'J. Andrade
34'J. Farias
46'J. Cuero INP. Urrutia out
48'
53'
61'O. Surmay
64'
70'M. Ballesteros INJ. Vasquez out
70'O. Surmay INJ. Giraldo out
70'R. Rodriguez INJ. Lerma out
70'J. Farias INJ. Mercado out
75'D. Cortes INM. Lucumi out
84'W. Sagrera
84'W. Sagrera
85'F. Mosquera INV. Prado out

Team Comparison

PopayanPopayan
Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalena
1408Elo Rating 1497
0.73Attack 1.14
1.61Defense 2.28
23%Hit Rate 42%

Game State Tendencies

PopayanPopayan
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalena
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

PopayanPopayan2Wins · 22%
Draws222%
Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalena5Wins · 56%
1.4Avg Goals
11%Both teams scored1 of 9
11%3+ goals1 of 9

Previous meetings

Primera B09/02/2026
Union MagdalenaPopayan
02
Primera B23/10/2024
Union MagdalenaPopayan
10
Primera B12/05/2024
PopayanUnion Magdalena
00
Copa Colombia22/02/2023
Union MagdalenaPopayan
30
Copa Colombia16/02/2023
PopayanUnion Magdalena
01
Primera B21/08/2021
PopayanUnion Magdalena
02
Copa Colombia25/03/2021
Union MagdalenaPopayan
11
Copa Colombia18/03/2021
PopayanUnion Magdalena
10
Primera B11/02/2021
PopayanUnion Magdalena
01

Recent Form

PopayanPopayan
5W2D3L
04/10/2026
Real CartagenaPopayan
23
W
27/09/2026
PopayanPatriotas
41
W
19/09/2026
Leones FCPopayan
12
W
13/09/2026
PopayanReal Santander
20
W
06/09/2026
PopayanEnvigado
22
D
02/09/2026
BarranquillaPopayan
21
L
25/08/2026
PopayanBogota FC
12
L
06/08/2026
Real SoachaPopayan
31
L
01/08/2026
PopayanTigres FC
00
D
24/07/2026
QuindioPopayan
01
W
Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalena
3W2D5L
03/10/2026
Real SantanderUnion Magdalena
13
W
30/09/2026
Union MagdalenaReal Cartagena
11
D
26/09/2026
Union MagdalenaSanta Fe
11
D
19/09/2026
PatriotasUnion Magdalena
12
W
13/09/2026
Real CundinamarcaUnion Magdalena
21
L
06/09/2026
Union MagdalenaBarranquilla
12
L
01/09/2026
EnvigadoUnion Magdalena
01
W
29/08/2026
Union MagdalenaQuindio
02
L
24/08/2026
Tigres FCUnion Magdalena
10
L
06/08/2026
Santa FeUnion Magdalena
20
L

League Table

Primera B 2026

Primera B: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EnvigadoEnvigado391813853:33+2067W
2QuindioQuindio371910840:26+1467W
3Real CartagenaReal Cartagena391614960:43+1762W
4Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalena371711951:35+1662D
5Internacional PalmiraInternacional Palmira361710943:33+1061WWWWW
6Tigres FCTigres FC3712131235:31+449D
7Ind. YumboInd. Yumbo311211833:25+847D
8Bogota FCBogota FC3610141230:36-644WWDWL
9Real CundinamarcaReal Cundinamarca3110111034:32+241L
10BarranquillaBarranquilla3610101644:48-440WLWLW
11PopayanPopayan318111236:41-535L
12PatriotasPatriotas30981330:40-1035LWWLD
13OrsomarsoOrsomarso308101224:31-734DLLDW
14Depor FCDepor FC30691528:44-1627LLLDW
15Real SantanderReal Santander305121326:43-1727LLLLL
16Leones FCLeones FC30591620:46-2624DWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1EnvigadoEnvigado3953:3367
2QuindioQuindio3740:2667
3Real CartagenaReal Cartagena3960:4362
4Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalena3751:3562
5Internacional PalmiraInternacional Palmira3643:3361
6Tigres FCTigres FC3735:3149
7Ind. YumboInd. Yumbo3133:2547
8Bogota FCBogota FC3630:3644
9Real CundinamarcaReal Cundinamarca3134:3241
10BarranquillaBarranquilla3644:4840
11PopayanPopayan3136:4135
12PatriotasPatriotas3030:4035
13OrsomarsoOrsomarso3024:3134
14Depor FCDepor FC3028:4427
15Real SantanderReal Santander3026:4327
16Leones FCLeones FC3020:4624

Primera B: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Internacional PalmiraInternacional Palmira15122129:13+1638WWWWW
2Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalena15102327:15+1232D
3QuindioQuindio1594220:10+1031W
4EnvigadoEnvigado1592424:14+1029W
5Real CartagenaReal Cartagena1575323:15+826W
6Bogota FCBogota FC1565416:14+223WWDWL
7BarranquillaBarranquilla1562721:20+120WLWLW
8Tigres FCTigres FC1555515:14+120D
9Ind. YumboInd. Yumbo1547413:14-119D
10OrsomarsoOrsomarso1545613:17-417DLLDW
11PatriotasPatriotas1545613:17-417LWWLD
12PopayanPopayan1527615:20-513L
13Real CundinamarcaReal Cundinamarca1527614:19-513L
14Leones FCLeones FC152498:24-1610DWLLL
15Depor FCDepor FC1516812:23-119LLLDW
16Real SantanderReal Santander1514109:23-147LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Internacional PalmiraInternacional Palmira1529:1338
2Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalena1527:1532
3QuindioQuindio1520:1031
4EnvigadoEnvigado1524:1429
5Real CartagenaReal Cartagena1523:1526
6Bogota FCBogota FC1516:1423
7BarranquillaBarranquilla1521:2020
8Tigres FCTigres FC1515:1420
9Ind. YumboInd. Yumbo1513:1419
10OrsomarsoOrsomarso1513:1717
11PatriotasPatriotas1513:1717
12PopayanPopayan1515:2013
13Real CundinamarcaReal Cundinamarca1514:1913
14Leones FCLeones FC158:2410
15Depor FCDepor FC1512:239
16Real SantanderReal Santander159:237

Primera B: Apertura - Quadrangular — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Real CartagenaReal Cartagena64118:6+213W
2Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalena62318:4+49D
3BarranquillaBarranquilla61325:6-16WLWLW
4Bogota FCBogota FC60333:8-53WWDWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Real CartagenaReal Cartagena68:613
2Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalena68:49
3BarranquillaBarranquilla65:66
4Bogota FCBogota FC63:83

Primera B: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Ind. YumboInd. Yumbo1584320:9+1128D
2Real CundinamarcaReal Cundinamarca1584320:11+928L
3Tigres FCTigres FC1566316:9+724D
4QuindioQuindio1565414:13+123W
5Real CartagenaReal Cartagena1556426:18+821W
6PopayanPopayan1563620:20021L
7EnvigadoEnvigado1548317:13+420W
8Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalena1555515:15020D
9Real SantanderReal Santander1548317:20-320LLLLL
10Bogota FCBogota FC1546511:14-318WWDWL
11Depor FCDepor FC1553716:21-518LLLDW
12PatriotasPatriotas1553717:23-618LWWLD
13OrsomarsoOrsomarso1545611:14-317DLLDW
14Internacional PalmiraInternacional Palmira1544711:17-616WWWWW
15BarranquillaBarranquilla1535718:22-414WLWLW
16Leones FCLeones FC1535712:22-1014DWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Ind. YumboInd. Yumbo1520:928
2Real CundinamarcaReal Cundinamarca1520:1128
3Tigres FCTigres FC1516:924
4QuindioQuindio1514:1323
5Real CartagenaReal Cartagena1526:1821
6PopayanPopayan1520:2021
7EnvigadoEnvigado1517:1320
8Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalena1515:1520
9Real SantanderReal Santander1517:2020
10Bogota FCBogota FC1511:1418
11Depor FCDepor FC1516:2118
12PatriotasPatriotas1517:2318
13OrsomarsoOrsomarso1511:1417
14Internacional PalmiraInternacional Palmira1511:1716
15BarranquillaBarranquilla1518:2214
16Leones FCLeones FC1512:2214

Primera B: Clausura - Quadrangular — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1EnvigadoEnvigado11002:0+23W
2Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalena10101:101D
3PopayanPopayan10101:101L
4Ind. YumboInd. Yumbo10010:2-20D
#TeamMPGPts
1EnvigadoEnvigado12:03
2Union MagdalenaUnion Magdalena11:11
3PopayanPopayan11:11
4Ind. YumboInd. Yumbo10:20
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About the Popayan vs Union Magdalena forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Popayan and Union Magdalena in the Primera B table

In the Primera B table, Union Magdalena are 4th and Popayan 11th, 27 points apart. League goal record so far: Popayan 36-41, Union Magdalena 51-35. The full standings are on the Primera B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.