Real Cartagena vs Popayan Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 12
04/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-9.6%
Real Cartagena Rest
4 days
Popayan Rest
7 days
Real Cartagena vs Popayan: result, form and history
Popayan beat Real Cartagena 3-2 in the Primera B on 4 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Popayan had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Real Cartagena.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
163%1.36
X22%4.40
215%6.50
Double Chance
1X85%1.08
X237%2.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes49%1.90
No51%1.76
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 0.99 = 2.41
Over 1.575%1.20
Over 2.552%1.68
Over 3.531%2.71
Under 1.525%4.00
Under 2.548%2.05
Under 3.569%1.40
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
14'P. Urrutia
19'J. Andrade
61'J. Andrade
64'
69'F. Montero(Penalty)
75'
75'
78'
81'
90+3'
Team Comparison
Real Cartagena
Popayan1476Elo Rating 1406
1.76Attack 0.68
1.78Defense 1.54
23%Hit Rate 27%
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Real Cartagena- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Popayan- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Real Cartagena5Wins · 50%Draws440%
Popayan1Wins · 10%
1Wins · 10%2.9Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
27/03/2026PopayanReal Cartagena11
24/11/2025PopayanReal Cartagena00
01/11/2025Real CartagenaPopayan11
08/08/2025PopayanReal Cartagena22
02/03/2025Real CartagenaPopayan32
21/08/2024PopayanReal Cartagena14
03/03/2024Real CartagenaPopayan20
04/11/2023PopayanReal Cartagena21
23/10/2023Real CartagenaPopayan10
06/08/2023Real CartagenaPopayan32
Recent Form
Real Cartagena3W4D3L
30/09/2026
Union MagdalenaReal Cartagena
Real SoachaReal Cartagena
Union MagdalenaReal Cartagena11
D22/09/2026Real Cartagena
Envigado
Real CartagenaEnvigado00
D13/09/2026
Internacional PalmiraReal Cartagena
Internacional PalmiraReal Cartagena21
L05/09/2026
OrsomarsoReal Cartagena
OrsomarsoReal Cartagena01
W30/08/2026Real Cartagena
Tigres FC
Real CartagenaTigres FC03
L25/08/2026
Leones FCReal Cartagena
Leones FCReal Cartagena16
W21/08/2026Real Cartagena
Bogota FC
Real CartagenaBogota FC20
W07/08/2026Real Cartagena
Ind. Yumbo
02/08/2026Real CartagenaInd. Yumbo02
LReal SoachaReal Cartagena11
D30/07/2026Real Cartagena
America de Cali
Real CartagenaAmerica de Cali11
DPopayan5W2D3L
27/09/2026Popayan
Patriotas
PopayanPatriotas41
W19/09/2026Leones FCPopayan
Leones FCPopayan12
W13/09/2026Popayan
Real Santander
PopayanReal Santander20
W06/09/2026PopayanEnvigado
PopayanEnvigado22
D02/09/2026
BarranquillaPopayan
BarranquillaPopayan21
L25/08/2026PopayanBogota FC
PopayanBogota FC12
L06/08/2026Real SoachaPopayan
01/08/2026Real SoachaPopayan31
LPopayanTigres FC00
D24/07/2026
QuindioPopayan
QuindioPopayan01
W21/05/2026
BucaramangaPopayan
BucaramangaPopayan23
WLeague Table
Primera B: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quindio | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 40:26 | +14 | 67 | W |
| 2 | Envigado | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 51:33 | +18 | 64 | WWWDD |
| 3 | Real Cartagena | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 60:43 | +17 | 61 | DWDDL |
| 4 | Union Magdalena | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 50:34 | +16 | 61 | DWWDD |
| 5 | Internacional Palmira | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 43:33 | +10 | 61 | WWWWW |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 35:31 | +4 | 48 | LDDDW |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 33:23 | +10 | 47 | LLWDD |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 44 | WWDWL |
| 9 | Real Cundinamarca | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 34:32 | +2 | 41 | L |
| 10 | Barranquilla | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 44:48 | -4 | 40 | WLWLW |
| 11 | Patriotas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 30:40 | -10 | 35 | LWWLD |
| 12 | Popayan | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 35:40 | -5 | 34 | DWLLL |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 24:31 | -7 | 34 | DLLDW |
| 14 |  Depor FC | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 28:44 | -16 | 27 | LLLDW |
| 15 | Real Santander | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 27 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Leones FC | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 20:46 | -26 | 24 | DWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quindio | 37 | 40:26 | 67 |
| 2 | Envigado | 38 | 51:33 | 64 |
| 3 | Real Cartagena | 38 | 60:43 | 61 |
| 4 | Union Magdalena | 36 | 50:34 | 61 |
| 5 | Internacional Palmira | 36 | 43:33 | 61 |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 36 | 35:31 | 48 |
| 7 | Ind. Yumbo | 30 | 33:23 | 47 |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 36 | 30:36 | 44 |
| 9 | Real Cundinamarca | 31 | 34:32 | 41 |
| 10 | Barranquilla | 36 | 44:48 | 40 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 30 | 30:40 | 35 |
| 12 | Popayan | 30 | 35:40 | 34 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 30 | 24:31 | 34 |
| 14 | Depor FC | 30 | 28:44 | 27 |
| 15 | Real Santander | 30 | 26:43 | 27 |
| 16 | Leones FC | 30 | 20:46 | 24 |
Primera B: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | +16 | 38 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27:15 | +12 | 32 | DWWDD |
| 3 | Quindio | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 31 | W |
| 4 | Envigado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:14 | +10 | 29 | WWWDD |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 23:15 | +8 | 26 | DWDDL |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | +2 | 23 | WWDWL |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:20 | +1 | 20 | WLWLW |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15:14 | +1 | 20 | LDDDW |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 19 | LLWDD |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 17 | DLLDW |
| 11 | Patriotas | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 17 | LWWLD |
| 12 | Popayan | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 15:20 | -5 | 13 | DWLLL |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 13 | L |
| 14 | Leones FC | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 | DWLLL |
| 15 | Depor FC | 15 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 12:23 | -11 | 9 | LLLDW |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9:23 | -14 | 7 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 29:13 | 38 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 27:15 | 32 |
| 3 | Quindio | 15 | 20:10 | 31 |
| 4 | Envigado | 15 | 24:14 | 29 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 23:15 | 26 |
| 6 | Bogota FC | 15 | 16:14 | 23 |
| 7 | Barranquilla | 15 | 21:20 | 20 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 15:14 | 20 |
| 9 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 13:14 | 19 |
| 10 | Orsomarso | 15 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 11 | Patriotas | 15 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 12 | Popayan | 15 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 14:19 | 13 |
| 14 | Leones FC | 15 | 8:24 | 10 |
| 15 | Depor FC | 15 | 12:23 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 15 | 9:23 | 7 |
Primera B: Apertura - Quadrangular — Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | +2 | 13 | DWDDL |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 9 | DWWDD |
| 3 | Barranquilla | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 | WLWLW |
| 4 | Bogota FC | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | WWDWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 6 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 6 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Barranquilla | 6 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Bogota FC | 6 | 3:8 | 3 |
Primera B: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:9 | +11 | 28 | LLWDD |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 20:11 | +9 | 28 | L |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 16:9 | +7 | 24 | LDDDW |
| 4 | Quindio | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 14:13 | +1 | 23 | W |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:18 | +8 | 21 | DWDDL |
| 6 | Popayan | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 21 | DWLLL |
| 7 | Envigado | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 17:13 | +4 | 20 | WWWDD |
| 8 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Real Santander | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 17:20 | -3 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 10 | Bogota FC | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 18 | WWDWL |
| 11 | Depor FC | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 18 | LLLDW |
| 12 | Patriotas | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 | LWWLD |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 17 | DLLDW |
| 14 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 15 | Barranquilla | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 | WLWLW |
| 16 | Leones FC | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 14 | DWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Yumbo | 15 | 20:9 | 28 |
| 2 | Real Cundinamarca | 15 | 20:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 15 | 16:9 | 24 |
| 4 | Quindio | 15 | 14:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Real Cartagena | 15 | 26:18 | 21 |
| 6 | Popayan | 15 | 20:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Envigado | 15 | 17:13 | 20 |
| 8 | Union Magdalena | 15 | 15:15 | 20 |
| 9 | Real Santander | 15 | 17:20 | 20 |
| 10 | Bogota FC | 15 | 11:14 | 18 |
| 11 | Depor FC | 15 | 16:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Patriotas | 15 | 17:23 | 18 |
| 13 | Orsomarso | 15 | 11:14 | 17 |
| 14 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 11:17 | 16 |
| 15 | Barranquilla | 15 | 18:22 | 14 |
| 16 | Leones FC | 15 | 12:22 | 14 |
Primera B: Clausura - Quadrangular — Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Envigado | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | WWWDD |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | DWWDD |
| 3 | Popayan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | DWLLL |
| 4 | Ind. Yumbo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | LLWDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Envigado | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Union Magdalena | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Popayan | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ind. Yumbo | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Primera B: Clausura - Quadrangular — Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quindio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | +2 | 3 | W |
| 2 | Real Cartagena | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | DWDDL |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | LDDDW |
| 4 | Real Cundinamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 | L |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quindio | 1 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Real Cartagena | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | Tigres FC | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Real Cundinamarca | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
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About the Real Cartagena vs Popayan forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Real Cartagena and Popayan in the Primera B table
In the Primera B table, Real Cartagena are 3rd and Popayan 12th, 27 points apart. League goal record so far: Real Cartagena 60-43, Popayan 35-40. The full standings are on the Primera B Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.