Portsmouth vs Blackburn Prediction

Portsmouth
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Blackburn
Fratton Park, Portsmouth·John Busby 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.59
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+3.9%
Portsmouth Rest
7 days
Blackburn Rest
7 days

Portsmouth vs Blackburn: the result in context

Portsmouth and Blackburn drew 2-2 in the Championship on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.13
X
26%3.32
2
32%3.40
Double Chance
1X
68%1.30
X2
58%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.81
No
44%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 1.14 = 2.52
Over 1.5
75%1.35
Over 2.5
53%2.06
Over 3.5
29%3.58
Under 1.5
25%3.20
Under 2.5
47%1.74
Under 3.5
71%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 5.1 = 10
Over 8.5
64%1.27
Over 9.5
54%1.54
Over 10.5
44%1.90
Under 8.5
36%3.18
Under 9.5
46%2.35
Under 10.5
56%1.84
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.1 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%1.67
Over 4.5
33%2.38
Under 3.5
48%2.11
Under 4.5
67%1.54

Match Events

4'Zak Swanson
11'Oladapo AfolayanAssist: Harry Pickering
40'Marlon PackFoul
45'Rocco Robert Shein INEbou Adams out
47'Tom AtchesonFoul
56'Ryoya MorishitaAssist: Oladapo Afolayan
63'Marlon Pack INOdin Bailey out
63'Conor Shaughnessy INRegan Poole out
68'Oladapo Afolayan INAndri Guðjohnsen out
69'Tom Atcheson INMoussa·Baradji out
71'Adrian Segecic INColby·Bishop out
74'Colby·BishopAssist: Ryan Kavuma-McQueen
83'Todd Cantwell INJ. Fevrier out
87'Ryan Kavuma-McQueen INIyad Mohamed out
89'Zak SwansonFoul

Lineups

Portsmouth
4-2-3-1Coach: John Mousinho
Blackburn
5-4-1Coach: Tony Mowbray
Avg rating6.41
Avg rating6.50
D. Bielica5.931D. Bielica
Z. Swanson6.422Z. Swanson
M. Dia6.255M. Dia
C. Shaughnessy6.66C. Shaughnessy
J. Meghoma6.716J. Meghoma
M. Pack6.27M. Pack
R. Shein6.319R. Shein
A. Kamara6.111A. Kamara
A. Segecic6.110A. Segecic
R. Kavuma McQueen7.625R. Kavuma McQueen
T. Shade6.317T. Shade
B. Tóth6.722B. Tóth
R. Alebiosu6.22R. Alebiosu
Tom Atcheson6.16T. Atcheson
H. Carter6.117H. Carter
S. McLoughlin6.015S. McLoughlin
H. Pickering6.23H. Pickering
R. Morishita7.025R. Morishita
Sam Morsy6.68S. Morsy
Kristi Montgomery6.331K. Montgomery
O. Afolayan8.221O. Afolayan
T. Cantwell6.610T. Cantwell

Portsmouth Substitutes

38E. Adams45'for Rocco Robert Shein6.6
27O. Bailey63'for Marlon Pack6.0
9C. Bishop71'for Adrian Segecic74'8.0
24T. Devlin
32E. Kenny
37I. Mohamed87'for Ryan Kavuma-McQueen6.0
5R. Poole63'for Conor Shaughnessy5.8
1N. Schmid
8J. Swift

Blackburn Substitutes

24M. Baradji69'for Tom Atcheson5.7
27Gady Beyuku
14D. De Neve
11J. Fevrier83'for Todd Cantwell6.8
30J. Garrett
9A. Guðjohnsen68'for Oladapo Afolayan6.7
42Harry Lister
1A. Pears
39H. Pates

Match Stats

PortsmouthBlackburn
54%Ball Possession46%
9Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards1
22Total Shots8
7Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal2
17Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box1
8Blocked Shots1
16Fouls9
2Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves5
345Total Passes336
255Passes Accurate245
9Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

PortsmouthPortsmouth
BlackburnBlackburn
1612Elo Rating 1619
1.36Attack 1.91
1.89Defense 1.52
42%Hit Rate 56%
14.6Shots per Game 10.6
3.4Shots on Target 3.7
4.6Corners per Game 6.4
2.6Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

PortsmouthPortsmouth
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BlackburnBlackburn
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

PortsmouthPortsmouth2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
BlackburnBlackburn1Wins · 25%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Championship07/03/2026
BlackburnPortsmouth
11
Championship13/12/2025
PortsmouthBlackburn
21
Championship29/03/2025
PortsmouthBlackburn
10
Championship15/01/2025
BlackburnPortsmouth
30

Recent Form

PortsmouthPortsmouth
2W3D5L
12/09/2026
CharltonPortsmouth
00
D
05/09/2026
PortsmouthCardiff
20
W
01/09/2026
PortsmouthDerby
02
L
29/08/2026
Bristol CityPortsmouth
21
L
22/08/2026
LincolnPortsmouth
13
W
15/08/2026
PortsmouthQPR
13
L
08/08/2026
West HamPortsmouth
31
L
01/08/2026
SV Darmstadt 98Portsmouth
00
D
29/07/2026
FarnboroughPortsmouth
11
D
25/07/2026
WycombePortsmouth
31
L
BlackburnBlackburn
3W3D4L
12/09/2026
BlackburnMillwall
31
W
08/09/2026
BlackburnSheffield Utd
12
L
05/09/2026
PrestonBlackburn
21
L
01/09/2026
LincolnBlackburn
00
D
29/08/2026
BlackburnQPR
12
L
25/08/2026
BlackburnSheffield Utd
12
L
22/08/2026
BlackburnMiddlesbrough
21
W
14/08/2026
WolvesBlackburn
22
D
08/08/2026
Burton AlbionBlackburn
12
W
01/08/2026
HuddersfieldBlackburn
11
D

Referee Profile

John Busby199 matches

3.66Cards per match
3.56Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

John Busby3.66
Other referees3.80

3.66 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.80).

Cards come from 196 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SwanseaSwansea1172216:8+823LWWWW
2West HamWest Ham1164130:12+1822WWDDW
3MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1164122:16+622DWWDD
4BirminghamBirmingham1155120:11+920WWWDW
5West BromWest Brom1162315:12+320WWLLD
6Stoke CityStoke City1161418:16+219WLWWW
7WolvesWolves1153319:16+318DWLLW
8SouthamptonSouthampton1163221:10+1117DWWLW
9QPRQPR1145215:12+317LWDDD
10BlackburnBlackburn1143417:16+115LWWDW
11Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1143415:14+115WLWLL
12MillwallMillwall1143418:18015DLWDD
13PortsmouthPortsmouth1143414:14015DWWLD
14WrexhamWrexham1135315:16-114WLDWL
15BoltonBolton1142515:18-314DWLWW
16Bristol CityBristol City1142512:15-314LLDWL
17CharltonCharlton1135310:15-514LDDLD
18LincolnLincoln113359:19-1012DLLLW
19CardiffCardiff1125418:17+111DWLWL
20WatfordWatford1132610:19-911WLLLL
21NorwichNorwich1130817:21-49LLLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1115516:21-58LDWDL
23DerbyDerby111379:20-116LLDDL
24PrestonPreston111199:24-154LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1SwanseaSwansea1116:823
2West HamWest Ham1130:1222
3MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1122:1622
4BirminghamBirmingham1120:1120
5West BromWest Brom1115:1220
6Stoke CityStoke City1118:1619
7WolvesWolves1119:1618
8SouthamptonSouthampton1121:1017
9QPRQPR1115:1217
10BlackburnBlackburn1117:1615
11Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1115:1415
12MillwallMillwall1118:1815
13PortsmouthPortsmouth1114:1415
14WrexhamWrexham1115:1614
15BoltonBolton1115:1814
16Bristol CityBristol City1112:1514
17CharltonCharlton1110:1514
18LincolnLincoln119:1912
19CardiffCardiff1118:1711
20WatfordWatford1110:1911
21NorwichNorwich1117:219
22BurnleyBurnley1116:218
23DerbyDerby119:206
24PrestonPreston119:244
PromotionRelegation

About the Portsmouth vs Blackburn forecast

The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Portsmouth and Blackburn in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Portsmouth (13th) and Blackburn (10th) are level on 15 points. League goal record so far: Portsmouth 14-14, Blackburn 17-16. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Blackburn have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.