Lincoln vs Portsmouth Prediction

Lincoln
1-3
Finished
HT 1-2
Portsmouth
Sincil Bank, Lincoln· Tony Harrington, England 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel55%RiskMediumGap+2.8%
Lincoln Rest
6 days
Portsmouth Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%2.44
X
26%3.30
2
23%2.80
Double Chance
1X
77%1.40
X2
48%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.73
No
40%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.69 + 1.15 = 2.84
Over 1.5
79%1.30
Over 2.5
54%1.95
Over 3.5
30%3.35
Under 1.5
21%3.30
Under 2.5
46%1.83
Under 3.5
70%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 3.6 = 9
Over 8.5
55%1.50
Over 9.5
46%1.82
Over 10.5
31%2.29
Under 8.5
45%2.40
Under 9.5
54%1.91
Under 10.5
69%1.53
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.5 = 4.3
Over 3.5
57%1.80
Over 4.5
35%2.52
Under 3.5
43%1.91
Under 4.5
65%1.40

Match Events

7'R. Kavuma McQueenAssist: A. Kamara
16'A. Segecic
32'R. Hackett-Fairchild(Penalty)
34'F. DraperFoul
55'T. Darikwa INA. Coubis out
55'R. R. SheinFoul
58'R. Kavuma McQueen INJ. Murphy out
58'R. R. Shein INE. Adams out
66'I. Varfolomeev INT. Bayliss out
66'D. Jefferies INR. Street out
68'T. BaylissFoul
69'E. Adams
71'T. HamerFoul
75'B. House INM. Melia out
75'F. Draper INT. Olaofe out
77'J. Murphy INMarezi out
86'A. Kamara INL. Brooke-Smith out
86'M. Pack INJ. Knight out

Lineups

Lincoln
4-2-3-1Coach: Tom Shaw
Portsmouth
4-2-3-1Coach: John Mousinho
George Wickens1G. WickensGeorge Wickens
Tendayi Darikwa2T. DarikwaTendayi Darikwa
Tom Hamer22T. HamerTom Hamer
Deji Elerewe25D. ElereweDeji Elerewe
Adam Reach3A. ReachAdam Reach
Conor McGrandles14C. McGrandlesConor McGrandles
Ivan Varfolomeev24I. VarfolomeevIvan Varfolomeev
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild7R. Hackett-FairchildReeco Hackett-Fairchild
Ben House18B. HouseBen House
Dom Jefferies16D. JefferiesDom Jefferies
Freddie Draper34F. DraperFreddie Draper
Nicolas Schmid1N. SchmidNicolas Schmid
Terry Devlin24T. DevlinTerry Devlin
Benjamin Arthur2B. ArthurBenjamin Arthur
Conor Shaughnessy6C. ShaughnessyConor Shaughnessy
Zak Swanson22Z. SwansonZak Swanson
Marlon Pack7M. PackMarlon Pack
Rocco Robert Shein19R. Robert SheinRocco Robert Shein
Abu Kamara11A. KamaraAbu Kamara
Adrian Segečić10A. SegečićAdrian Segečić
Ryan Kavuma-McQueen25R. Kavuma-McQueenRyan Kavuma-McQueen
Colby Bishop9C. BishopColby Bishop

Lincoln Substitutes

4Andrei CoubișD
8Tom BaylissM
17Robert StreetF
10Mason MeliaF
19Tanto OlaofeF
46Joe GauciG
6Ryley TowlerD
26Yunus KonakM
20Callum ElderD

Portsmouth Substitutes

38Ebou AdamsM
23Josh MurphyM
29Marko MilovanovićF
4Josh KnightD
28Luke Brooke-SmithF
31Daniel BielicaG
55Madiodio DiaD
27Odin BaileyM
8John SwiftM

Match Stats

LincolnPortsmouth
39%Ball Possession61%
8Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal7
6Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots4
17Fouls15
9Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves4
219Total Passes369
140Passes Accurate271
64%Pass Accuracy73%

Team Comparison

LincolnLincoln
PortsmouthPortsmouth
1734Elo Rating 1586
0.61Attack 1.05
1.89Defense 2.14
41%Hit Rate 37%
8.9Shots per Game 12.4
2.7Shots on Target 3.9
2.2Corners per Game 5.7
2.4Cards per Game 0.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+148 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

LincolnLincoln
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PortsmouthPortsmouth
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Lincoln 0%Draw 36%64% Portsmouth
1.93Avg Goals
37%BTTS Rate
37%Over 2.5

Recent Form

LincolnLincoln
2W0D3L
15/08/2026
MiddlesbroughLincoln
21
L
08/08/2026
DerbyLincoln
12
W
01/08/2026
BarnsleyLincoln
30
L
01/08/2026
DoncasterLincoln
01
W
28/07/2026
GrimsbyLincoln
51
L
PortsmouthPortsmouth
0W2D3L
15/08/2026
PortsmouthQPR
13
L
08/08/2026
West HamPortsmouth
31
L
01/08/2026
SV Darmstadt 98Portsmouth
00
D
29/07/2026
FarnboroughPortsmouth
11
D
25/07/2026
WycombePortsmouth
31
L

Referee Profile

Tony Harrington, England · 4 matches analysed

4.0Avg Yellows
4.3Avg Cards
23.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 33% of referees analysed

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1West HamWest Ham742120:9+1114WWWWD
2SwanseaSwansea742111:5+614WLDWW
3MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough742114:10+414DWWDW
4West BromWest Brom742110:7+314DWWDL
5QPRQPR73318:5+312DDLWW
6CharltonCharlton73316:7-112DDLDW
7WolvesWolves632114:10+411WDLWW
8LincolnLincoln73226:6011WWDDW
9SouthamptonSouthampton742118:8+1010WWDDW
10BirminghamBirmingham724110:9+110WLDDW
11MillwallMillwall731313:13010DLWLL
12Stoke CityStoke City731311:11010WDWWL
13Bristol CityBristol City731310:12-210LLWWW
14NorwichNorwich730413:1309LWWLW
15Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd72328:9-19LWLWD
16BlackburnBlackburn722310:1008WLLDL
17WatfordWatford72237:9-28LWLLD
18PortsmouthPortsmouth62137:8-17DWLLW
19WrexhamWrexham71427:11-47LDDWL
20BoltonBolton72147:12-57WLLLL
21CardiffCardiff70437:11-44LDLLD
22DerbyDerby71156:13-74LLLWL
23PrestonPreston71066:13-73LLWLL
24BurnleyBurnley70348:16-83LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1West HamWest Ham720:914
2SwanseaSwansea711:514
3MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough714:1014
4West BromWest Brom710:714
5QPRQPR78:512
6CharltonCharlton76:712
7WolvesWolves614:1011
8LincolnLincoln76:611
9SouthamptonSouthampton718:810
10BirminghamBirmingham710:910
11MillwallMillwall713:1310
12Stoke CityStoke City711:1110
13Bristol CityBristol City710:1210
14NorwichNorwich713:139
15Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd78:99
16BlackburnBlackburn710:108
17WatfordWatford77:98
18PortsmouthPortsmouth67:87
19WrexhamWrexham77:117
20BoltonBolton77:127
21CardiffCardiff77:114
22DerbyDerby76:134
23PrestonPreston76:133
24BurnleyBurnley78:163
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Lincoln vs Portsmouth Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Championship fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Championship

ScorePredicts covers England football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Lincoln and Portsmouth have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.93 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.