RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction

Red Bull Arena, Leipzig· Sven Jablonski, Germany 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.55
SignalHIGHModel62%RiskMediumGap+8.2%
RB Leipzig Rest
6 days
Borussia Mönchengladbach Rest
6 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.57
X
23%4.50
2
21%5.33
Double Chance
1X
79%1.17
X2
44%2.37
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%1.55
No
31%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.06 + 1.3 = 3.36
Over 1.5
83%1.14
Over 2.5
66%1.47
Over 3.5
42%2.23
Under 1.5
17%5.50
Under 2.5
34%2.61
Under 3.5
58%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 3.7 = 9.4
Over 8.5
58%1.42
Over 9.5
46%1.74
Over 10.5
34%2.17
Under 8.5
42%2.60
Under 9.5
54%2.01
Under 10.5
66%1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.1 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%2.11
Over 4.5
30%3.26
Under 3.5
48%1.65
Under 4.5
70%1.30

Match Events

25'Ridle BakuAssist: Tidiam Gomis
49'Antonio NusaAssist: Tidiam Gomis
64'Robin Hack INIsac Lidberg out
64'Kevin Stöger INFranck Honorat out
64'Lukas Ullrich INmathieu nguefack out
64'Wael Mohya INDavid Herold out
64'Tidiam Gomis INChristopher Nkunku out
66'Rocco ReitzAssist: Christopher Nkunku
72'Antonio NusaFoul
73'Brajan Gruda INJohan Bakayoko out
73'Ridle Baku INBenjamin Henrichs out
76'Daiki Hashioka INJoe Scally out
83'Rocco Reitz INArthur Vermeeren out
83'Ezechiel Banzuzi INConrad Harder out
90+6'Goal cancelledHugo Bolin

Lineups

RB Leipzig
4-3-3Coach: Martin Demichelis
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4-2-3-1Coach: Eugen Polanski
M. Vandevoordt26M. VandevoordtM. Vandevoordt
R. Baku17R. BakuR. Baku
W. Orbán4W. OrbánW. Orbán
C. Lukeba23C. LukebaC. Lukeba
D. Raum22D. RaumD. Raum
R. Reitz20R. ReitzR. Reitz
N. Seiwald13N. SeiwaldN. Seiwald
E. Banzuzi6E. BanzuziE. Banzuzi
B. Gruda10B. GrudaB. Gruda
T. Gomis27T. GomisT. Gomis
A. Nusa7A. NusaA. Nusa
M. Nicolas1M. NicolasM. Nicolas
D. Hashioka14D. HashiokaD. Hashioka
K. Itakura6K. ItakuraK. Itakura
K. Diks4K. DiksK. Diks
L. Ullrich26L. UllrichL. Ullrich
P. Sander16P. SanderP. Sander
K. Stöger7K. StögerK. Stöger
H. Bolin38H. BolinH. Bolin
R. Hack25R. HackR. Hack
T. Kleindienst11T. KleindienstT. Kleindienst

RB Leipzig Substitutes

11J. BakayokoF
25L. ZingerleG
48A. VermeerenM
28C. NkunkuF
30A. MaksimovićM
39B. HenrichsD
9C. HarderF
35Max FinkgräfeD
3M. EstèveD

Borussia Mönchengladbach Substitutes

20D. HeroldD
33D. BatzG
29J. ScallyD
34M. NguefackM
18S. MachinoF
3I. LidbergF
5J. LeszczyńskiD
8E. LeopoldM
9F. HonoratM

Match Stats

RB LeipzigBorussia Mönchengladbach
47%Ball Possession53%
7Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards0
25Total Shots15
11Shots on Goal4
10Shots off Goal5
19Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots6
10Fouls13
0Offsides5
4Goalkeeper Saves8
427Total Passes475
358Passes Accurate411
84%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
1818Elo Rating 1681
3.11Attack 2.10
1.50Defense 0.00
58%Hit Rate 14%
19.3Shots per Game 17.8
6.6Shots on Target 5.7
7.0Corners per Game 6.6
1.3Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+137 Elo
High Goal Expectancy3.37 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 1.1 in first half)
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

RB Leipzig 41%Draw 39%19% Borussia Mönchengladbach
0.75Avg Goals
0%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
3W0D2L
22/08/2026
Eintracht TrierRB Leipzig
06
W
15/08/2026
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
31
L
08/08/2026
LeedsRB Leipzig
20
L
01/08/2026
RB LeipzigVerl
40
W
25/07/2026
RB LeipzigFC Ingolstadt 04
10
W
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
5W0D0L
23/08/2026
Schott MainzBorussia Mönchengladbach
05
W
15/08/2026
Borussia MönchengladbachAston Villa
21
W
12/08/2026
SSVg VelbertBorussia Mönchengladbach
08
W
01/08/2026
Hansa RostockBorussia Mönchengladbach
13
W
25/07/2026
Rot-Weiß EssenBorussia Mönchengladbach
12
W

Referee Profile

Sven Jablonski, Germany · 18 matches analysed

3.3Avg Yellows
3.4Avg Cards
22.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 2% of referees analysed

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund44009:2+712WWWW
2Bayern MünchenBayern München431014:2+1210WWDW
3SC FreiburgSC Freiburg431012:3+910DWWW
4FC AugsburgFC Augsburg421111:6+57LDWW
5Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen421110:5+57WDWL
6FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05421110:6+47WLWD
7SV ElversbergSV Elversberg42118:7+17DLWW
8Werder BremenWerder Bremen42118:807WDWL
9RB LeipzigRB Leipzig42029:5+46LWLW
10Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt41219:10-15DWLD
11FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0441213:4-15DWDL
12SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0741123:5-24WLLD
131. FC Köln1. FC Köln41126:9-34LDLW
141899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim41037:10-33LWLL
15VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart41036:9-33LLWL
16Hamburger SVHamburger SV41032:13-113WLLL
17Union BerlinUnion Berlin40134:17-131LLLD
18Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach40046:16-100LLLL
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Bundesliga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Bundesliga

ScorePredicts covers Germany football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

RB Leipzig have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. RB Leipzig and Borussia Mönchengladbach have met 5 times recently, averaging 0.75 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.