Real Sociedad II vs Castellón Prediction

Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta, San Sebastian·Eder Mallo Fernandez, Spain 14/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.46
SignalHIGHModel30%SurpriseHighGap+11.5%
Real Sociedad II Rest
6 days
Castellón Rest
6 days

Real Sociedad II vs Castellón: result, form and history

Castellón beat Real Sociedad II 1-0 in the Segunda División on 14 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 4 previous meetings averaged 4.8 goals, and both sides scored in 4 of them. Real Sociedad II tend to win more corners, 7.0 a game to 4.5 for Castellón.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%3.85
X
28%3.75
2
33%1.82
Double Chance
1X
67%1.91
X2
61%1.24
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.57
No
54%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 0.94 = 2.21
Over 1.5
69%1.20
Over 2.5
46%1.65
Over 3.5
25%2.62
Under 1.5
31%4.40
Under 2.5
54%2.20
Under 3.5
75%1.46
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'O. Camara
57'J. GarroFoul
58'BarriFoul
60'A. JakobsenDelay of game
66'A. Jakobsen INA. Gala out
66'P. Santiago INI. Cordoba out
66'D. Diaz INA. Mariezkurrena out
73'I. Aguirre INJ. Eceizabarrena out
73'I. Calderon INJ. Balda out
78'Barri INM. Doue out
78'R. Sanchez INH. Bellari out
83'G. Carrera INE. Orobengoa out
83'G. Gorosabel INJ. Soroeta out
83'I. CordobaFoul
86'U. AgoteFoul
87'Alvaro INJ. Vlak out
90+2'J. VlakFoul

Lineups

Real Sociedad II
4-2-3-1Coach: Ion Ansotegi
Castellón
3-4-3Coach: Pablo Hernandez
Avg rating6.58
Avg rating6.85
Aitor Fraga6.61A. Fraga
Jon Garro6.52J. Garro
Iker Calderon6.315I. Calderon
Kazunari Kita6.75K. Kita
Unax AgoteC6.923U. Agote
Tomy Carbonell7.214T. Carbonell
Ibai Aguirre6.78I. Aguirre
Dani Díaz6.57D. Díaz
Gorka Gorosabel6.716G. Gorosabel
Lander Astiazaran6.517L. Astiazaran
Gorka Carrera Zarranz6.518G. Carrera Zarranz
Romain Matthys6.913R. Matthys
Jeremy Mellot7.222J. Mellot
Alberto JiménezC7.65A. Jiménez
Agustín Sienra7.24A. Sienra
Pablo Santiago6.318P. Santiago
Álvaro Martín7.521Á. Martín
Diego Barri6.98D. Barri
Juanjo Nieto7.02J. Nieto
Adam Jakobsen6.016A. Jakobsen
Ousmane Camara7.39O. Camara
Raúl Sánchez7.07R. Sánchez

Real Sociedad II Substitutes

32Lander Olasagasti
30Unax Ayo Larrañaga
26Beñat Isasa
3Jon Balda73'for I. Calderon6.6
21Jon Eceizabarrena73'for I. Aguirre6.6
12Joan Oleaga
31Oihan Telletxea Sein
9Ekain Orobengoa83'for G. Carrera6.3
10Arkaitz Mariezkurrena66'for D. Diaz6.5
19Javier Soroeta83'for G. Gorosabel6.2
20Sydney Osazuwa
33Eloy Nebreda

Castellón Substitutes

1Amir Saipi
12Lucas Alcazar
6Marc-Olivier Doué78'for Barri6.3
19Hamza Bellari78'for R. Sanchez6.7
27Antonio Gala66'for A. Jakobsen6.6
17Francisco Castillo
25Jari Vlak87'for Alvaro90+2'
14Íñigo Cordoba66'for P. Santiago83'6.2
10Israel Suero
26Rodrigo Rego
23Alvaro Garcia
24David Nzanza

Match Stats

Real Sociedad IICastellón
41%Ball Possession59%
5Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards4
4Total Shots13
1Shots on Goal5
1Shots off Goal4
4Shots Inside Box7
0Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots4
22Fouls21
5Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves1
348Total Passes519
265Passes Accurate440
76%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II
CastellónCastellón
1499Elo Rating 1726
1.55Attack 2.04
0.54Defense 2.58
14%Hit Rate 58%
17.9Shots per Game 13.7
5.6Shots on Target 4.8
7.0Corners per Game 4.5
2.7Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
CastellónCastellón
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.7 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1Wins · 25%
Draws250%
CastellónCastellón1Wins · 25%
4.8Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored4 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Segunda División07/03/2026
Real Sociedad IICastellón
42
Segunda División15/11/2025
CastellónReal Sociedad II
54
Primera División RFEF - Group 227/05/2023
Real Sociedad IICastellón
11
Primera División RFEF - Group 217/12/2022
CastellónReal Sociedad II
11

Recent Form

Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II
2W3D5L
08/08/2026
ZaragozaReal Sociedad II
21
L
01/08/2026
Real Sociedad IIHuesca
02
L
29/07/2026
Real Sociedad IIEibar
01
L
25/07/2026
Real Sociedad IIPAU
40
W
30/05/2026
Real Sociedad IICultural Leonesa
11
D
24/05/2026
AlbaceteReal Sociedad II
31
L
16/05/2026
Real Sociedad IIMirandes
22
D
11/05/2026
HuescaReal Sociedad II
12
W
03/05/2026
Real Sociedad IIBurgos
00
D
25/04/2026
ValladolidReal Sociedad II
10
L
CastellónCastellón
5W2D3L
08/08/2026
CastellónLevante
13
L
07/08/2026
HérculesCastellón
4050
W
31/07/2026
AlavesCastellón
30
L
29/07/2026
GironaCastellón
33
D
25/07/2026
ValenciaCastellón
12
W
18/07/2026
CastellónSabadell
20
W
09/06/2026
AlmeriaCastellón
32
L
06/06/2026
CastellónAlmeria
11
D
31/05/2026
CastellónEibar
21
W
24/05/2026
HuescaCastellón
01
W

Referee Profile

Eder Mallo Fernandez104 matches

5.47Cards per match
5.33Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
25.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Eder Mallo Fernandez5.47
Other referees5.25

5.47 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.25).

Cards come from 51 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6BurgosBurgos1162316:12+420WWLLW
7MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
9OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6BurgosBurgos1116:1220
7MallorcaMallorca1113:619
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
9OviedoOviedo1115:1218
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Real Sociedad II vs Castellón forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Real Sociedad II and Castellón in the Segunda División table

The table shows a wide gap: Castellón are 1st in the Segunda División, while Real Sociedad II sit 20th, 18 points behind. League goal record so far: Real Sociedad II 14-22, Castellón 22-4. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Castellón have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.