Rhode Island vs Miami FC Prediction

Rhode Island
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Miami FC
Centreville Bank Stadium·G. Flores 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel66%SurpriseMediumGap-6.2%
Rhode Island Rest
7 days
Miami FC Rest
7 days

Rhode Island vs Miami FC: result, form and history

Miami FC beat Rhode Island 2-1 in the USL Championship on 20 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Rhode Island had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Miami FC.

Rhode Island have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 3.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
70%1.36
X
17%4.60
2
13%6.60
Double Chance
1X
87%1.08
X2
30%2.77
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

25'A. RochaAssist: H. Al Zubaidi
29'J. KwizeraFoul
36'K. YaoAssist: Y. Tsukada
39'R. ToriFoul
53'M. TunbridgeUnsportsmanlike conduct
54'A. Shapiro-ThompsonFoul
56'F. NodarseFoul
59'O. Foyo INN. Fuson out
64'H. Al Zubaidi INM. Romero out
66'N. FusonFoul
69'C. D. Milanes NavarroFoul
70'J. Sonora ING. Diaz out
74'C. D. Milanes Navarro
79'Y. Tsukada IND. Atkinson out
79'N. Scardina INZ. Herivaux out
80'A. Shapiro-Thompson INE. Klein out
81'R. Tori INA. Calfo out
83'M. Tunbridge IND. Mello out

Team Comparison

Rhode IslandRhode Island
Miami FCMiami FC
1534Elo Rating 1437
1.14Attack 1.60
2.37Defense 1.64
54%Hit Rate 50%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Rhode IslandRhode Island
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Miami FCMiami FC
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Rhode IslandRhode Island3Wins · 60%
Draws00%
Miami FCMiami FC2Wins · 40%
3.8Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
60%3+ goals3 of 5

Previous meetings

USL Championship29/03/2026
Miami FCRhode Island
21
USL Championship20/09/2025
Miami FCRhode Island
01
USL Championship08/06/2025
Rhode IslandMiami FC
01
USL Championship27/10/2024
Rhode IslandMiami FC
81
USL Championship14/07/2024
Miami FCRhode Island
23

Recent Form

Rhode IslandRhode Island
6W1D3L
13/09/2026
Sporting JAXRhode Island
03
W
06/09/2026
Rhode IslandLouisville City
11
D
30/08/2026
FC TulsaRhode Island
10
L
23/08/2026
Rhode IslandMonterey Bay
31
W
16/08/2026
Tampa Bay RowdiesRhode Island
20
L
09/08/2026
Rhode IslandColorado Springs
20
W
03/08/2026
Birmingham LegionRhode Island
10
L
26/07/2026
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsRhode Island
01
W
19/07/2026
Rhode IslandHartford Athletic
10
W
12/07/2026
Rhode IslandBrooklyn
4131
W
Miami FCMiami FC
1W3D6L

Referee Profile

G. Flores6 matches analysed

4.53Cards per match
4.10Yellow cards per match
0.43Red cards per match
25.6Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 37% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies29177550:26+2458WWLDW
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery29155955:35+2050WDLWW
3Detroit CityDetroit City29148734:21+1350LWWWD
4Louisville CityLouisville City29137951:43+846WWWDW
5Rhode IslandRhode Island291261141:31+1042DWLWW
6Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds291261131:29+242DWLLW
7Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic29913733:32+140LDLDD
8Miami FCMiami FC30991239:49-1036LLWWW
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven29971335:40-534LLDLL
10Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion296121139:44-530WDWLW
11Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United295131134:45-1128DLWDW
12BrooklynBrooklyn29561831:59-2821LWLLL
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX29352132:76-4414LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies2950:2658
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery2955:3550
3Detroit CityDetroit City2934:2150
4Louisville CityLouisville City2951:4346
5Rhode IslandRhode Island2941:3142
6Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds2931:2942
7Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic2933:3240
8Miami FCMiami FC3039:4936
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven2935:4034
10Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion2939:4430
11Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United2934:4528
12BrooklynBrooklyn2931:5921
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX2932:7614

About the Rhode Island vs Miami FC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rhode Island and Miami FC in the USL Championship table

In the USL Championship table, Rhode Island are 5th and Miami FC 8th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Rhode Island 41-31, Miami FC 39-49. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rhode Island have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Miami FC have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.