Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic Prediction

Centreville Bank Stadium 19/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.30
SignalSTRONGModel38%SurpriseHighGap+4.5%
Rhode Island Rest
7 days
Hartford Athletic Rest
7 days

Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic: the result in context

Rhode Island beat Hartford Athletic 1-0 in the USL Championship on 19 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 5 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%1.75
X
29%3.52
2
34%4.20
Double Chance
1X
66%1.17
X2
62%1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.76
No
56%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.25
Over 2.5
38%1.85
Over 3.5
19%3.08
Under 1.5
36%3.42
Under 2.5
62%1.85
Under 3.5
81%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'G. StonemanFoul
20'F. NodarseAssist: J. Kwizera
41'B. MakangilaFoul
45+2'A. TaofeekFoul
57'J. WilliamsFoul
61'A. Hernandez ING. Flynn out
66'A. Rodriguez IND. Atkinson out
70'A. Taofeek INS. Gordon out
72'J. KwizeraFoul
74'Leo Afonso INN. Fuson out
78'B. Makangila INC. Hadjipaschalis out
81'K. Yao INA. Sanchez out
81'J. Kwizera IND. Rovira out

Team Comparison

Rhode IslandRhode Island
Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic
1528Elo Rating 1566
0.86Attack 1.69
1.94Defense 1.47
17%Hit Rate 50%

Game State Tendencies

Rhode IslandRhode Island
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Rhode IslandRhode Island2Wins · 40%
Draws240%
Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic1Wins · 20%
2.0Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored1 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

US Open Cup02/04/2026
Rhode IslandHartford Athletic
20
USL Championship24/08/2025
Hartford AthleticRhode Island
30
USL Championship19/07/2025
Rhode IslandHartford Athletic
00
USL Championship11/08/2024
Rhode IslandHartford Athletic
30
USL Championship02/06/2024
Hartford AthleticRhode Island
11

Recent Form

Rhode IslandRhode Island
4W2D4L
12/07/2026
Rhode IslandBrooklyn
4131
W
09/07/2026
Sacramento RepublicRhode Island
21
L
05/07/2026
Rhode IslandOrange County SC
11
D
14/06/2026
Loudoun UnitedRhode Island
14
W
07/06/2026
Rhode IslandWestchester SC
30
W
31/05/2026
Indy ElevenRhode Island
10
L
24/05/2026
Rhode IslandBrooklyn
41
W
16/05/2026
Portland Hearts of PineRhode Island
21
L
10/05/2026
Rhode IslandTampa Bay Rowdies
11
D
03/05/2026
Rhode IslandBirmingham Legion
13
L
Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic
5W3D2L
12/07/2026
Hartford AthleticWestchester SC
21
W
09/07/2026
Hartford AthleticOrange County SC
22
D
05/07/2026
Louisville CityHartford Athletic
10
L
21/06/2026
Hartford AthleticPittsburgh Riverhounds
00
D
14/06/2026
Tampa Bay RowdiesHartford Athletic
01
W
07/06/2026
NY CosmosHartford Athletic
14
W
31/05/2026
Hartford AthleticNew Mexico United
00
D
23/05/2026
FC TulsaHartford Athletic
20
L
17/05/2026
BrooklynHartford Athletic
02
W
10/05/2026
Hartford AthleticDetroit City
21
W

League Table

USL Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies30187552:26+2661WWWLD
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery30165956:35+2153WWDLW
3Detroit CityDetroit City30149734:21+1351DLWWW
4Louisville CityLouisville City30138951:43+847DWWWD
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds301361133:30+345WDWLL
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic301013735:33+243WLDLD
7Rhode IslandRhode Island301261242:33+942LDWLW
8Miami FCMiami FC30991239:49-1036LLWWW
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven30971435:41-634LLLDL
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United306131138:48-1031WDLWD
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion306121240:46-630LWDWL
12BrooklynBrooklyn30561934:63-2921LLWLL
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX30352232:78-4614LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tampa Bay RowdiesTampa Bay Rowdies3052:2661
2Charleston BatteryCharleston Battery3056:3553
3Detroit CityDetroit City3034:2151
4Louisville CityLouisville City3051:4347
5Pittsburgh RiverhoundsPittsburgh Riverhounds3033:3045
6Hartford AthleticHartford Athletic3035:3343
7Rhode IslandRhode Island3042:3342
8Miami FCMiami FC3039:4936
9Indy ElevenIndy Eleven3035:4134
10Loudoun UnitedLoudoun United3038:4831
11Birmingham LegionBirmingham Legion3040:4630
12BrooklynBrooklyn3034:6321
13Sporting JAXSporting JAX3032:7814

About the Rhode Island vs Hartford Athletic forecast

The forecasts for this USL Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Rhode Island and Hartford Athletic in the USL Championship table

Hartford Athletic and Rhode Island are close in the USL Championship table, 6th and 7th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Rhode Island 42-33, Hartford Athletic 35-33. The full standings are on the USL Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rhode Island have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.