Ried vs Grazer AK Prediction

Ried
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Grazer AK
Josko Arena, Ried im Innkreis·Daniel Pfister, Austria 21/08/2026
RiedRied
1-0
Finished
Grazer AKGrazer AK

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.92
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+9.3%
Ried Rest
7 days
Grazer AK Rest
5 days

Ried vs Grazer AK: the result in context

Ried beat Grazer AK 1-0 in the Bundesliga on 21 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game. Referee Daniel Pfister averages 5.30 cards a game, 0.79 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%2.00
X
27%3.40
2
24%3.58
Double Chance
1X
76%1.27
X2
51%1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.75
No
47%1.97
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 1.12 = 2.61
Over 1.5
74%1.29
Over 2.5
50%1.94
Over 3.5
26%3.30
Under 1.5
26%3.33
Under 2.5
50%1.83
Under 3.5
74%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.5 = 9.7
Over 8.5
62%1.71
Over 9.5
49%2.15
Over 10.5
40%2.80
Under 8.5
38%2.00
Under 9.5
51%1.62
Under 10.5
60%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.8 = 5.5
Over 3.5
76%-
Over 4.5
61%-
Under 3.5
24%-
Under 4.5
39%-

Match Events

5'Samuel Johansen ChukwudiFoul
28'Goal cancelledAnderson
33'Yannick OberleitnerFoul
39'AndersonFoul
45'P. Sissoko(Penalty)
45+2'Niama Pape SissokoArgument
45+2'Peter MichorlArgument
57'Beres OwusuFoul
59'P. Sissoko INT. Kusanovic out
59'E. E. Aisowieren INJ. Boguo out
67'Anderson INM. Gragger out
67'A. Hofleitner IND. Maderner out
72'J. Nasrawe INM. Rasner out
73'C. Lichtenberger INM. Grosse out
83'P. Michorl INS. Mandey out
87'A. Bajic IND. Radonjic out
90+3'Tino KusanovićFoul

Lineups

Ried
4-2-3-1Coach: Mario Despotovic
Grazer AK
3-1-4-2Coach: Joachim Standfest
Avg rating6.98
Avg rating6.65
A. LeitnerC8.61A. Leitner
L. Malicsek6.94L. Malicsek
S. Chukwudi7.228S. Chukwudi
O. Steurer7.230O. Steurer
O. Sorg7.27O. Sorg
S. Schwab7.222S. Schwab
Y. Maart7.26Y. Maart
A. Bajic7.212A. Bajic
J. Nasrawe7.210J. Nasrawe
E. E. Aisowieren6.347E. E. Aisowieren
P. Sissoko9P. Sissoko
C. Stankovic6.923C. Stankovic
B. Owusu6.782B. Owusu
D. Pines7.22D. Pines
Y. Oberleitner6.627Y. Oberleitner
T. KochC6.98T. Koch
Anderson6.928Anderson
P. Michorl6.334P. Michorl
I. Guerti7.029I. Guerti
L. Klassen6.032L. Klassen
C. Lichtenberger6.710C. Lichtenberger
A. Hofleitner6.525A. Hofleitner

Ried Substitutes

77F. Wimmer
5D. Radonjic87'for A. Bajic6.5
33A. Goiginger
42F. Lechner
8M. Rasner72'for J. Nasrawe6.5
38N. Mesic
19T. Lund-Jensen
21T. Kusanovic59'for P. Sissoko90+3'6.7
15J. Boguo59'for E. E. Aisowieren

Grazer AK Substitutes

1J. Meierhofer
48M. Gragger67'for Anderson6.7
72P. Markovic
30C. Hasenhuttl
17S. Mandey83'for P. Michorl6.7
11M. Grosse73'for C. Lichtenberger6.3
6L. Hermesh
9D. Maderner67'for A. Hofleitner6.3
38M. Jus

Match Stats

RiedGrazer AK
46%Ball Possession54%
7Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards4
17Total Shots15
3Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal9
9Shots Inside Box8
8Shots Outside Box7
8Blocked Shots3
15Fouls10
3Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves2
392Total Passes461
297Passes Accurate377
76%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

RiedRied
Grazer AKGrazer AK
1636Elo Rating 1511
2.13Attack 0.36
1.18Defense 0.00
31%Hit Rate 0%
10.9Shots per Game 15.9
4.3Shots on Target 4.4
4.4Corners per Game 4.8
2.1Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+125 Elo
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

RiedRied
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Grazer AKGrazer AK
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

RiedRied1Wins · 17%
Draws233%
Grazer AKGrazer AK3Wins · 50%
1.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6

Previous meetings

Bundesliga21/04/2026
RiedGrazer AK
21
Bundesliga17/04/2026
Grazer AKRied
11
Bundesliga01/03/2026
Grazer AKRied
21
Bundesliga27/09/2025
RiedGrazer AK
00
2. Liga29/03/2024
RiedGrazer AK
01
2. Liga01/09/2023
Grazer AKRied
10

Recent Form

RiedRied
2W3D5L
14/08/2026
Lask LinzRied
41
L
09/08/2026
RiedRapid Vienna
12
L
02/08/2026
Austria LustenauRied
11
D
24/07/2026
DornbirnRied
15
W
18/07/2026
Mlada BoleslavRied
40
L
17/07/2026
RiedRot-Weiß Essen
30
W
10/07/2026
RiedBaşakşehir
11
D
03/07/2026
RiedSSV Jahn Regensburg
24
L
26/06/2026
RiedAustria Salzburg
22
D
25/05/2026
Rapid ViennaRied
30
L
Grazer AKGrazer AK
4W1D5L
16/08/2026
Rapid ViennaGrazer AK
80
L
08/08/2026
Grazer AKAustria Lustenau
21
W
31/07/2026
Lask LinzGrazer AK
30
L
25/07/2026
Fach-DonaufeldGrazer AK
04
W
18/07/2026
Grazer AKDynamo Dresden
05
L
11/07/2026
Grazer AKSV Kapfenberg
10
W
07/07/2026
Grazer AKFirst Vienna
24
L
24/06/2026
Grazer AKSlovan Bratislava
01
L
19/06/2026
Grazer AKGyori ETO FC
22
D
16/05/2026
FC BW LinzGrazer AK
03
W

Referee Profile

Daniel Pfister101 matches

5.30Cards per match
4.93Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
25.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Daniel Pfister5.30
Other referees4.51

5.30 cards a match, 0.79 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.51).

Cards come from 61 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna12110139:9+3033WWWWW
2Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg1293033:9+2430WWWWD
3Lask LinzLask Linz1281330:15+1525WWLWL
4TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg1262423:19+420WWWLW
5Sturm GrazSturm Graz1254322:17+519LDDWW
6RiedRied1244421:22-116LDDWW
7WSG WattensWSG Wattens1234515:18-313DLDWL
8Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau1232715:30-1511WLLLL
9SCR AltachSCR Altach1231811:20-910LDWLW
10Grazer AKGrazer AK122469:29-2010LLDLD
11Austria ViennaAustria Vienna1222811:23-128DLLLL
12Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC121388:26-186LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna1239:933
2Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg1233:930
3Lask LinzLask Linz1230:1525
4TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg1223:1920
5Sturm GrazSturm Graz1222:1719
6RiedRied1221:2216
7WSG WattensWSG Wattens1215:1813
8Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau1215:3011
9SCR AltachSCR Altach1211:2010
10Grazer AKGrazer AK129:2910
11Austria ViennaAustria Vienna1211:238
12Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC128:266
PromotionRelegation

About the Ried vs Grazer AK forecast

The forecasts for this Bundesliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ried and Grazer AK in the Bundesliga table

In the Bundesliga table, Ried are 6th and Grazer AK 10th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Ried 21-22, Grazer AK 9-29. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ried have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.