Sagamihara vs Kitakyushu Prediction

Sagamihara
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Kitakyushu
Sagamihara Gion Stadium, Sagamihara 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.24
SignalGOODModel54%SurpriseMediumGap-7.8%
Sagamihara Rest
6 days
Kitakyushu Rest
7 days

Sagamihara vs Kitakyushu: the result in context

Kitakyushu beat Sagamihara 2-1 in the J3 League on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.80
X
23%3.50
2
25%3.60
Double Chance
1X
75%1.24
X2
48%1.83
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

29'S. KohAssist: S. Yasumitsu
46'T. Takeuchi INK. Kambe out
49'S. Yasumitsu
56'R. Nakayama INM. Handai out
58'K. Sasaki
63'M. Yoshinaga INK. Hara out
63'K. Yoshida INM. Nishimura out
65'A. Tanahashi
71'T. Shimakawa INT. Maeda out
71'S. Okita INY. Okuyama out
78'S. Koh INR. Nagai out
79'K. Sasaki INY. Muto out
87'Y. Sakashita INH. Izawa out
87'K. Fukumori INK. Hasegawa out
90'T. MaedaAssist: K. Watahiki

Team Comparison

SagamiharaSagamihara
KitakyushuKitakyushu
1471Elo Rating 1363
1.40Attack 1.63
2.44Defense 2.06
64%Hit Rate 56%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+107 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

SagamiharaSagamihara
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
KitakyushuKitakyushu
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

SagamiharaSagamihara5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
KitakyushuKitakyushu2Wins · 20%
2.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

J3 League23/08/2025
SagamiharaKitakyushu
10
J3 League20/04/2025
KitakyushuSagamihara
11
J3 League06/10/2024
SagamiharaKitakyushu
03
J3 League24/02/2024
KitakyushuSagamihara
01
J3 League30/09/2023
SagamiharaKitakyushu
21
J3 League29/04/2023
KitakyushuSagamihara
11
J3 League06/11/2022
KitakyushuSagamihara
31
J3 League04/06/2022
SagamiharaKitakyushu
32
J2 League30/10/2021
KitakyushuSagamihara
12
J2 League03/07/2021
SagamiharaKitakyushu
00

Recent Form

SagamiharaSagamihara
5W2D3L
13/09/2026
Matsumoto YamagaSagamihara
13
W
05/09/2026
SagamiharaParceiro Nagano
11
D
02/09/2026
SagamiharaJubilo Iwata
03
L
29/08/2026
FC RyukyuSagamihara
21
L
23/08/2026
SagamiharaKanazawa
21
W
15/08/2026
Thespakusatsu GunmaSagamihara
14
W
08/08/2026
SagamiharaRoasso Kumamoto
00
D
06/06/2026
SagamiharaRoasso Kumamoto
30
W
30/05/2026
SagamiharaFujieda MYFC
4131
W
23/05/2026
Thespakusatsu GunmaSagamihara
72
L
KitakyushuKitakyushu
2W3D5L
12/09/2026
KitakyushuGainare Tottori
24
L
09/09/2026
FC RyukyuKitakyushu
30
L
05/09/2026
Ehime FCKitakyushu
42
L
02/09/2026
KitakyushuIwaki
10
W
30/08/2026
KitakyushuMatsumoto Yamaga
11
D
22/08/2026
Tochigi SCKitakyushu
22
D
19/08/2026
KitakyushuOkinawa SV
1121
L
15/08/2026
KitakyushuKamatamare Sanuki
00
D
18/07/2026
Yokohama FCKitakyushu
32
L
11/07/2026
Avispa FukuokaKitakyushu
12
W

League Table

J3 League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nara ClubNara Club16102433:21+1232WWWLL
2FC GifuFC Gifu16101529:15+1431WWWLW
3SagamiharaSagamihara1694326:15+1131WWWDL
4Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United1694329:19+1031LDDLW
5Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi1693422:13+930WDLWL
6OsakaOsaka1685327:16+1129WWLWW
7Ehime FCEhime FC1692531:25+629WLLLW
8Roasso KumamotoRoasso Kumamoto1666418:12+624LLDWW
9KanazawaKanazawa1672728:21+723WLWWL
10Parceiro NaganoParceiro Nagano1672722:21+123LWWLL
11FC RyukyuFC Ryukyu1672724:24023LLWWW
12Tochigi SCTochigi SC1656515:16-121WDWDW
13KitakyushuKitakyushu1654721:24-319LLWWL
14Fukushima UnitedFukushima United1653831:33-218WDLWW
15Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga1645715:18-317LLWLW
16Biwako ShigaBiwako Shiga1652919:28-917LWLLL
17Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori1643915:30-1515LLLDL
18Kamatamare SanukiKamatamare Sanuki16421017:27-1014WWLLW
19Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma16411113:31-1813LLLWL
20Kochi UnitedKochi United16231110:36-269LWLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nara ClubNara Club1633:2132
2FC GifuFC Gifu1629:1531
3SagamiharaSagamihara1626:1531
4Kagoshima UnitedKagoshima United1629:1931
5Renofa YamaguchiRenofa Yamaguchi1622:1330
6OsakaOsaka1627:1629
7Ehime FCEhime FC1631:2529
8Roasso KumamotoRoasso Kumamoto1618:1224
9KanazawaKanazawa1628:2123
10Parceiro NaganoParceiro Nagano1622:2123
11FC RyukyuFC Ryukyu1624:2423
12Tochigi SCTochigi SC1615:1621
13KitakyushuKitakyushu1621:2419
14Fukushima UnitedFukushima United1631:3318
15Matsumoto YamagaMatsumoto Yamaga1615:1817
16Biwako ShigaBiwako Shiga1619:2817
17Gainare TottoriGainare Tottori1615:3015
18Kamatamare SanukiKamatamare Sanuki1617:2714
19Thespakusatsu GunmaThespakusatsu Gunma1613:3113
20Kochi UnitedKochi United1610:369
PromotionRelegation

About the Sagamihara vs Kitakyushu forecast

The forecasts for this J3 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sagamihara and Kitakyushu in the J3 League table

In the J3 League table, Sagamihara are 3rd and Kitakyushu 13th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Sagamihara 26-15, Kitakyushu 21-24. The full standings are on the J3 League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.