San Diego vs FC Dallas Prediction

San Diego
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
FC Dallas
Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego· V. Rivas 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.42
SignalGOODModel47%RiskMediumGap+5.6%
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.97
SignalGOODModel45%RiskMediumGap+10.5%
San Diego Rest
3 days
FC Dallas Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.25
X
30%3.89
2
24%2.75
Double Chance
1X
76%1.42
X2
54%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
75%1.36
No
25%2.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.3 = 2.94
Over 1.5
81%1.11
Over 2.5
60%1.40
Over 3.5
38%2.06
Under 1.5
19%6.20
Under 2.5
40%2.88
Under 3.5
62%1.78
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.7 = 10
Over 8.5
64%1.49
Over 9.5
55%1.81
Over 10.5
39%2.27
Under 8.5
36%2.45
Under 9.5
45%1.91
Under 10.5
61%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.3 = 4.7
Over 3.5
71%1.38
Over 4.5
54%1.85
Under 3.5
29%2.76
Under 4.5
46%1.85

Match Events

19'Daniel INJ. Sirois out
46'J. Valiente INB. Kamungo out
50'A. Alvarado JrAssist: M. Duah
61'P. Delgado INS. Moreno out
61'R. Binyamin INA. A. Julio Santos out
73'A. Alvarado Jr INA. Godoy out
73'M. Ingvartsen IND. Vazquez out
79'S. Ibeagha INL. Farrington out
81'B. Kamungo
86'K. Sargeant INL. Bombino out
87'O. Valakari INL. Morgan out
88'A. A. Julio Santos

Lineups

San Diego
4-3-3Coach: Mikey Varas
FC Dallas
4-2-3-1Coach: Eric Quill
CJ Dos Santos1C. Dos SantosCJ Dos Santos
Oscar Verhoeven33O. VerhoevenOscar Verhoeven
Christopher McVey97C. McVeyChristopher McVey
Manu Duah26M. DuahManu Duah
Kieran Sargeant5K. SargeantKieran Sargeant
Alejandro Alvarado Jr70A. Alvarado JrAlejandro Alvarado Jr
Jeppe Tverskov6J. TverskovJeppe Tverskov
Onni Valakari8O. ValakariOnni Valakari
Anders Dreyer10A. DreyerAnders Dreyer
Marcus Ingvartsen7M. IngvartsenMarcus Ingvartsen
Alex Mighten77A. MightenAlex Mighten
Daniel42DanielDaniel
Shaq Moore18S. MooreShaq Moore
Osaze Urhoghide3O. UrhoghideOsaze Urhoghide
Sebastien Ibeagha25S. IbeaghaSebastien Ibeagha
Nolan Norris32N. NorrisNolan Norris
Kaick55KaickKaick
Christian Cappis12C. CappisChristian Cappis
Joaquín Valiente21J. ValienteJoaquín Valiente
Patrickson Delgado8P. DelgadoPatrickson Delgado
Ran Binyamin6R. BinyaminRan Binyamin
Petar Musa9P. MusaPetar Musa

San Diego Substitutes

20Aníbal GodoyM
19David VazquezM
27Luca BombinoD
9Lewis MorganF
18Duran FerreeG
32Ian MurphyD
15Pedro SomaM
3Dagur Dan ÞórhallssonD
14Bryan ZambléF

FC Dallas Substitutes

40Jonathan SiroisG
77Bernard KamungoF
10Santiago MorenoF
11Anderson JulioF
23Logan FarringtonF
5Lalas AbubakarD
14Herman JohanssonM
27Caleb SwannM
28Sam SarverF

Match Stats

San DiegoFC Dallas
74%Ball Possession26%
8Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
19Total Shots6
8Shots on Goal1
3Shots off Goal2
9Shots Inside Box3
10Shots Outside Box3
8Blocked Shots3
10Fouls10
4Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves7
834Total Passes287
756Passes Accurate216
91%Pass Accuracy75%

Team Comparison

San DiegoSan Diego
FC DallasFC Dallas
1589Elo Rating 1693
1.38Attack 2.27
0.60Defense 0.72
31%Hit Rate 69%
10.5Shots per Game 9.2
4.8Shots on Target 5.0
5.4Corners per Game 4.3
2.6Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.94 goals
📈BTTS Trend72% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

San DiegoSan Diego
  • No tendency data available
FC DallasFC Dallas
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 3 historical meetings

San Diego 61%Draw 39%0% FC Dallas
5.39Avg Goals
72%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Recent Form

San DiegoSan Diego
1W2D2L
23/07/2026
Colorado RapidsSan Diego
10
L
24/05/2026
San DiegoVancouver Whitecaps
24
L
17/05/2026
San DiegoFC Cincinnati
33
D
14/05/2026
San DiegoAustin
50
W
10/05/2026
Seattle SoundersSan Diego
11
D
FC DallasFC Dallas
3W1D1L
23/07/2026
Portland TimbersFC Dallas
22
D
24/05/2026
Colorado RapidsFC Dallas
12
W
17/05/2026
San Jose EarthquakesFC Dallas
23
W
14/05/2026
FC DallasVancouver Whitecaps
23
L
10/05/2026
FC DallasReal Salt Lake
31
W

Referee Profile

V. Rivas · 104 matches analysed

4.5Avg Yellows
4.7Avg Cards
24.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 65% of referees analysed

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps25154656:23+3349WLWLW
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo26135834:30+444DLWDD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City26128645:36+944WWDWD
4FC DallasFC Dallas26128649:42+744DWWWD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes26126846:38+842DWWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC27118843:29+1441DLWDD
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids261131236:35+136DWDLW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy27891034:42-833WDLWL
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers26951247:48-132LLDWL
10San DiegoSan Diego26871144:44031DLLLW
11AustinAustin26791032:44-1230DWDDW
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake25851237:42-529LLLDL
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2478928:33-529DDDDD
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC26781139:46-729LLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City25531729:63-3418LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps2556:2349
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2634:3044
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City2645:3644
4FC DallasFC Dallas2649:4244
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2646:3842
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC2743:2941
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids2636:3536
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy2734:4233
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers2647:4832
10San DiegoSan Diego2644:4431
11AustinAustin2632:4430
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake2537:4229
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2428:3329
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC2639:4629
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City2529:6318
Promotion

San Diego vs FC Dallas Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

San Diego and FC Dallas have met 3 times recently, averaging 5.39 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.