San Martín Burzaco vs Deportivo Merlo Prediction

Francisco Boga Stadium, Buenos Aires 02/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalHIGHModel31%SurpriseHighGap+3.6%
San Martín Burzaco Rest
8 days
Deportivo Merlo Rest
7 days

San Martín Burzaco vs Deportivo Merlo: the result in context

San Martín Burzaco and Deportivo Merlo drew 1-1 in the Primera B Metropolitana on 2 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Deportivo Merlo have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.40
X
34%2.75
2
27%3.17
Double Chance
1X
73%1.30
X2
61%1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%2.20
No
57%1.59
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 0.86 = 2.06
Over 1.5
60%1.55
Over 2.5
31%2.67
Over 3.5
16%4.70
Under 1.5
40%2.23
Under 2.5
69%1.38
Under 3.5
84%1.11
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

25'(Penalty missed)
25'B. Chavez
39'I. Sandoval
45+3'F. Aguerre
58'D. Cabrera IND. Maguicha out
58'G. Ojeda INE. Quinteros out
61'K. Denis
62'K. Denis INR. Peralta out
72'F. Benitez
72'
76'L. Vallejo
77'E. Treppo INN. A. Gauna out
80'L. Vallejo INL. Barrientos out
85'S. Modon INA. Funes out
85'S. Modon INA. Funes out
90'L. Miguez
90+2'E. Quinteros

Team Comparison

San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco
Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo
1462Elo Rating 1430
1.50Attack 1.05
1.21Defense 2.19
34%Hit Rate 41%

Game State Tendencies

San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco1Wins · 20%
Draws00%
Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4Wins · 80%
2.6Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
60%3+ goals3 of 5

Previous meetings

Primera B Metropolitana21/03/2026
Deportivo MerloSan Martín Burzaco
04
Primera B Metropolitana16/11/2025
San Martín BurzacoDeportivo Merlo
13
Primera B Metropolitana22/06/2025
Deportivo MerloSan Martín Burzaco
10
Primera B Metropolitana01/09/2024
Deportivo MerloSan Martín Burzaco
10
Primera B Metropolitana14/04/2024
San Martín BurzacoDeportivo Merlo
12

Recent Form

San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco
2W4D4L
25/07/2026
Deportivo CamionerosSan Martín Burzaco
20
L
18/07/2026
San Martín BurzacoSportivo Italiano
12
L
15/07/2026
ItuzaingóSan Martín Burzaco
12
W
10/07/2026
Villa San CarlosSan Martín Burzaco
00
D
05/07/2026
San Martín BurzacoLiniers
11
D
27/06/2026
Real PilarSan Martín Burzaco
00
D
20/06/2026
UAI UrquizaSan Martín Burzaco
00
D
13/06/2026
San Martín BurzacoVilla Dalmine
02
L
06/06/2026
ExcursionistasSan Martín Burzaco
20
L
01/06/2026
San Martín BurzacoArsenal Sarandi
20
W
Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo
2W3D5L
26/07/2026
Deportivo MerloVilla San Carlos
12
L
18/07/2026
LiniersDeportivo Merlo
11
D
15/07/2026
Deportivo MerloReal Pilar
32
W
10/07/2026
UAI UrquizaDeportivo Merlo
00
D
04/07/2026
Deportivo MerloVilla Dalmine
12
L
27/06/2026
ExcursionistasDeportivo Merlo
50
L
21/06/2026
Arsenal SarandiDeportivo Merlo
42
L
15/06/2026
Deportivo MerloArgentino de Merlo
22
D
06/06/2026
Talleres RemediosDeportivo Merlo
20
L
03/06/2026
Deportivo MerloDeportivo Laferrere
21
W

League Table

Primera B Metropolitana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas40239864:31+3378DWLWW
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi402013753:26+2773DWLWL
3Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano401912947:29+1869DWWWD
4Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4019111042:26+1668LDLWD
5Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros401813947:32+1567WDLLL
6Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine401714939:27+1265LDLDW
7Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4017111242:38+462DDWWW
8Real PilarReal Pilar4017111242:39+362DLWLW
9ComunicacionesComunicaciones4014151139:34+557DDDDW
10Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4014131349:52-355WDWLL
11San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4012151341:45-451DLWLW
12Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4012141440:43-350WLWWD
13Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4011151439:53-1448WDDLW
14Dock SudDock Sud4011141541:45-447LLLWD
15LiniersLiniers4010151533:41-845DDWLL
16FlandriaFlandria401291936:48-1245WWDLL
17Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4011111836:44-844LLLLW
18Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes409171432:40-844LDDDD
19Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue409161525:37-1243DWDWD
20Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos409151633:40-742DLDWL
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza406211323:36-1339DWWDL
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó401142527:64-3717DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ExcursionistasExcursionistas4064:3178
2Arsenal SarandiArsenal Sarandi4053:2673
3Sportivo ItalianoSportivo Italiano4047:2969
4Talleres RemediosTalleres Remedios4042:2668
5Deportivo CamionerosDeportivo Camioneros4047:3267
6Villa DalmineVilla Dalmine4039:2765
7Deportivo ArmenioDeportivo Armenio4042:3862
8Real PilarReal Pilar4042:3962
9ComunicacionesComunicaciones4039:3457
10Deportivo LaferrereDeportivo Laferrere4049:5255
11San Martín BurzacoSan Martín Burzaco4041:4551
12Villa San CarlosVilla San Carlos4040:4350
13Deportivo MerloDeportivo Merlo4039:5348
14Dock SudDock Sud4041:4547
15LiniersLiniers4033:4145
16FlandriaFlandria4036:4845
17Argentino de MerloArgentino de Merlo4036:4444
18Argentino QuilmesArgentino Quilmes4032:4044
19Brown DE AdrogueBrown DE Adrogue4025:3743
20Defensores UnidosDefensores Unidos4033:4042
21UAI UrquizaUAI Urquiza4023:3639
22ItuzaingóItuzaingó4027:6417
PromotionRelegation

About the San Martín Burzaco vs Deportivo Merlo forecast

The forecasts for this Primera B Metropolitana match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

San Martín Burzaco and Deportivo Merlo in the Primera B Metropolitana table

San Martín Burzaco and Deportivo Merlo are close in the Primera B Metropolitana table, 11th and 13th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: San Martín Burzaco 41-45, Deportivo Merlo 39-53. The full standings are on the Primera B Metropolitana Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

San Martín Burzaco have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.