San Martin Formosa vs Sarmiento de La Banda Prediction

17 De Octubre, Formosa 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.68
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+8.2%
San Martin Formosa Rest
7 days
Sarmiento de La Banda Rest
7 days

San Martin Formosa vs Sarmiento de La Banda: result, form and history

San Martin Formosa beat Sarmiento de La Banda 3-0 in the Torneo Federal A on 13 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: San Martin Formosa had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Sarmiento de La Banda.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.8 goals a game across 8 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
65%1.68
X
21%3.18
2
14%4.90
Double Chance
1X
86%1.13
X2
35%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%2.18
No
61%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 0.66 = 2.30
Over 1.5
66%1.43
Over 2.5
41%2.36
Over 3.5
22%4.40
Under 1.5
34%2.52
Under 2.5
59%1.51
Under 3.5
78%1.14
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'ricardo tapia
16'Nicolás Juárez
19'ricardo tapia
30'Mauro siergiejuk
43'
61'
61'
67'
82'
84'
86'
86'
90'

Lineups

San Martin Formosa
Sarmiento de La Banda

San Martin Formosa Starting XI

11G. Alegre
5M. Bobadilla
7L. Ceratto
4B. Finardi
3A. Griego
6D. Leiva
10G. Núñez
2O. Piris
9M. Siergiejuk30'
8R. Tapia10'19'
1K. Humeler

Sarmiento de La Banda Starting XI

7G. Triverio
3Marcos Sánchez
10I. Roldán
8A. Ochoa
2C. Nunez
5N. Juárez16'
6G. Guzmán
9N. Gonzalez
11M. Díaz
4C. Díaz
1F. Acuna

San Martin Formosa Substitutes

Sarmiento de La Banda Substitutes

Match Stats

San Martin FormosaSarmiento de La Banda
48%Ball Possession52%
5Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards7
9Total Shots18
4Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal12
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

San Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa
Sarmiento de La BandaSarmiento de La Banda
1622Elo Rating 1474
1.13Attack 0.37
2.58Defense 1.32
44%Hit Rate 0%
14.0Shots per Game 13.2
5.4Shots on Target 5.5
4.7Corners per Game 5.4
0.8Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+149 Elo
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

San Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sarmiento de La BandaSarmiento de La Banda
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

San Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa2Wins · 25%
Draws225%
Sarmiento de La BandaSarmiento de La Banda4Wins · 50%
1.8Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored2 of 8
13%3+ goals1 of 8

Previous meetings

Torneo Federal A12/07/2026
Sarmiento de La BandaSan Martin Formosa
20
Torneo Federal A10/05/2026
San Martin FormosaSarmiento de La Banda
42
Torneo Federal A31/08/2025
Sarmiento de La BandaSan Martin Formosa
10
Torneo Federal A08/06/2025
San Martin FormosaSarmiento de La Banda
10
Torneo Federal A06/04/2025
Sarmiento de La BandaSan Martin Formosa
10
Torneo Federal A11/08/2024
San Martin FormosaSarmiento de La Banda
00
Torneo Federal A30/06/2024
San Martin FormosaSarmiento de La Banda
11
Torneo Federal A05/05/2024
Sarmiento de La BandaSan Martin Formosa
10

Recent Form

League Table

Torneo Federal A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Olimpo Bahia BlancaOlimpo Bahia Blanca1687113:4+931WWDDD
2Douglas HaigDouglas Haig1894522:15+731WLDWD
3Sportivo BelgranoSportivo Belgrano1879221:9+1230DDDDD
4San Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa1693425:19+630WLDLW
5AlvaradoAlvarado1676319:7+1227DWLWD
6Gimnasia ChivilcoyGimnasia Chivilcoy1876517:12+527DDWLW
7Defensores de Belgrano VRDefensores de Belgrano VR1876524:20+427DWDDW
8Kimberley Mar del PlataKimberley Mar del Plata1668215:9+626DWWDD
9Bartolomé MitreBartolomé Mitre1675413:7+626LWLDD
10Sol de AméricaSol de América1682619:14+526LWWWL
11Juventud AntonianaJuventud Antoniana1674519:11+825DWWDW
12CipollettiCipolletti1674519:15+425WWDDW
13Sarmiento de La BandaSarmiento de La Banda1674517:15+225DWLWW
149 de Julio Rafaela9 de Julio Rafaela1874728:27+125DLLLW
15Sportivo Las ParejasSportivo Las Parejas1859412:13-124DDDDW
16Villa MitreVilla Mitre1658314:8+623DWDWW
17Argentino Monte MaízArgentino Monte Maíz1658316:12+423DDDDD
18AtenasAtenas1665512:13-123LDDLW
19Huracan Las HerasHuracan Las Heras1665511:13-223DWWLW
20Atletico EscobarAtletico Escobar1864821:29-822DWDWL
21Fundacion AmigosFundacion Amigos1649317:14+321DDWDD
22Deportivo RinconDeportivo Rincon1654713:16-319WLLLL
23San Martín MendozaSan Martín Mendoza1647511:15-419DDDWL
24Defensores de VilelasDefensores de Vilelas1661921:26-519LWLWL
25Independiente De ChivilcoyIndependiente De Chivilcoy1847715:22-719DLDLL
26El LinqueñoEl Linqueño1854914:21-719WWLDL
27Costa BravaCosta Brava1646612:13-118LLWDW
28Sol de MayoSol de Mayo1646615:18-318DLLWD
29Boca UnidosBoca Unidos1653819:25-618LLWLW
30Germinal de RawsonGerminal de Rawson164667:14-718LLLWD
31Juventud Unida Univ.Juventud Unida Univ.1638510:10017LDLDD
32Tucuman CentralTucuman Central1652914:19-517DLLLW
33Gimnasia ConcepciónGimnasia Concepción1845912:18-617LDWLL
34Guillermo BrownGuillermo Brown1645713:20-717WLWLL
35Sarmiento ResistenciaSarmiento Resistencia1636712:23-1115LWLWL
36SantamarinaSantamarina162779:17-813LDLLD
37Circulo DeportivoCirculo Deportivo162778:16-813DWLDL

About the San Martin Formosa vs Sarmiento de La Banda forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

San Martin Formosa and Sarmiento de La Banda in the Torneo Federal A table

In the Torneo Federal A table, San Martin Formosa are 4th and Sarmiento de La Banda 13th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: San Martin Formosa 25-19, Sarmiento de La Banda 17-15. The full standings are on the Torneo Federal A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.