Santa Fe vs Caracas FC Prediction

Santa Fe
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Caracas FC
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin, Bogota· Guillermo Enrique Guerrero Alcivar, Ecuador 24/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.22
SignalSOLIDModel58%RiskMediumGap+0.2%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Over 1.5
1.67
SignalHIGHModel57%RiskMediumGap+14.5%
Santa Fe Rest
57 days
Caracas FC Rest
29 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.36
X
25%4.38
2
17%9.66
Double Chance
1X
84%1.05
X2
42%3.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%2.58
No
57%1.44
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 0.77 = 2.41
Over 1.5
70%1.36
Over 2.5
38%2.20
Over 3.5
18%4.00
Under 1.5
30%2.90
Under 2.5
62%1.65
Under 3.5
82%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 2.6 = 8.1
Over 8.5
55%1.73
Over 9.5
44%2.19
Over 10.5
33%2.80
Under 8.5
45%2.00
Under 9.5
56%1.60
Under 10.5
67%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.8 = 3.6
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
30%1.73
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
70%1.98

Match Events

30'H. RodallegaAssist: N. Bustos
62'K. D. Toscano Bassa INJ. Torres out
62'O. Fernandez INM. Lovera out
66'W. Correa INA. Villarreal out
67'S. Gonzalez INJ. De Santis out
78'J. Obrian INA. Zapata out
78'J. Angulo INC. Mafla out
82'Robert Hernandez INC. Vegas out
82'M. Covea INA. Figueroa out
84'N. Bustos INF. Fagundez out
84'F. FagundezAssist: C. Mafla

Lineups

Santa Fe
4-2-3-1Coach: Jose Lopez Fierro
Caracas FC
4-2-3-1Coach: Fernando Aristeguieta
Andrés Mosquera1A. MosqueraAndrés Mosquera
Helibelton Palacios13H. PalaciosHelibelton Palacios
Emanuel Olivera18E. OliveraEmanuel Olivera
Victor Moreno3V. MorenoVictor Moreno
Jeison Angulo24J. AnguloJeison Angulo
Kilian Toscano6K. ToscanoKilian Toscano
Daniel Torres16D. TorresDaniel Torres
Jader Obrian77J. ObrianJader Obrian
Nahuel Bustos19N. BustosNahuel Bustos
Omar Fernández8O. FernándezOmar Fernández
Hugo Rodallega11H. RodallegaHugo Rodallega
Frankarlos Benítez1F. BenítezFrankarlos Benítez
Eduardo Fereira2E. FereiraEduardo Fereira
Jesús Quintero4J. QuinteroJesús Quintero
Francisco La Mantía14F. La MantíaFrancisco La Mantía
Jesus Yendis13J. YendisJesus Yendis
Christian Larotonda15C. LarotondaChristian Larotonda
Irving Gudiño8I. GudiñoIrving Gudiño
Wilfred Correa Sanmartín33W. Correa SanmartínWilfred Correa Sanmartín
Michael Covea10M. CoveaMichael Covea
Robert Hernández7R. HernándezRobert Hernández
Sebastián González27S. GonzálezSebastián González

Santa Fe Substitutes

7Jhojan TorresF
17Maximiliano LoveraF
32Christian MaflaD
10Alexis ZapataM
9Franco FagúndezF
12Weibmar AsprillaG
4Mateo PuertaD
15Ivan ScarpetaD
43Jean CaicedoD
20Yilmar VelázquezD
40Martin PalaciosF
14Luis Angel PalaciosF

Caracas FC Substitutes

39Alejandro VillarealF
9Jeriel De SantisF
22Angel FigueroaM
37Charly VegasF
12Juan VegasG
30Aytor HerreraD
41Ángel LópezD
3Luigi PaganoD
20Luis MaestreM
5Miguel VegasM
17Lucciano ReinosoF
11Mauricio MárquezF

Match Stats

Santa FeCaracas FC
57%Ball Possession43%
5Corner Kicks2
13Total Shots10
2Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal7
4Shots Inside Box6
9Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots3
10Fouls6
0Offsides3
480Total Passes368
403Passes Accurate303
84%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

Santa FeSanta Fe
Caracas FCCaracas FC
1699Elo Rating 1528
1.30Attack 1.51
2.14Defense 2.56
44%Hit Rate 42%
14.4Shots per Game -
4.2Shots on Target -
5.3Corners per Game -
2.6Cards per Game -

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+171 Elo

Game State Tendencies

Santa FeSanta Fe
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Caracas FCCaracas FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)

Recent Form

Santa FeSanta Fe
3W1D1L
28/05/2026
PenarolSanta Fe
01
W
24/05/2026
JuniorSanta Fe
5040
L
20/05/2026
Santa FePlatense
21
W
17/05/2026
Santa FeJunior
11
D
13/05/2026
Santa FeAmerica de Cali
40
W
Caracas FCCaracas FC
1W3D1L
24/06/2026
Caracas FCAragua FC
11
D
28/05/2026
Caracas FCBotafogo
13
L
22/05/2026
Racing ClubCaracas FC
22
D
06/05/2026
Independiente PetroleroCaracas FC
23
W
30/04/2026
Caracas FCRacing Club
11
D

Referee Profile

Guillermo Enrique Guerrero Alcivar, Ecuador · 10 matches analysed

3.8Avg Yellows
4.1Avg Cards
23.8Avg Fouls
Stricter than 11% of referees analysed

League Table

CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BotafogoBotafogo651015:5+1016WWWWW
2Caracas FCCaracas FC62319:909LDWDW
3Racing ClubRacing Club622211:9+28WDLDL
4IndependienteIndependiente60063:15-120LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BotafogoBotafogo615:516
2Caracas FCCaracas FC69:99
3Racing ClubRacing Club611:98
4IndependienteIndependiente63:150
Promotion

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Deportivo Recoleta
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Atletico Torque
Seeded
Olimpia
Seeded
Macara
Seeded
Botafogo
Seeded
River Plate
Seeded
Deportivo Recoleta
Seeded
Sao Paulo
Seeded
Atletico-MG
Seeded
Atletico Torque
Seeded
Olimpia
Seeded
Macara
Seeded
Botafogo
Seeded
River Plate
Seeded

Santa Fe vs Caracas FC Prediction

As a knockout-stage CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About CONMEBOL Sudamericana

ScorePredicts covers CONMEBOL Sudamericana across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Santa Fe and Caracas FC have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.