Challenge Cup Predictions

About Challenge Cup Predictions

Our model analyzes Challenge Cup fixtures in Scotland using Elo ratings, recent form, head-to-head history, expected goals and live market movement. Predictions are updated as new data becomes available and ahead of every scheduled kickoff.

As a knockout competition, Challenge Cup also includes two-legged ties, extra-time and penalty scenarios. Our bracket view tracks each tie's aggregate score and the predicted path through to the final.

How to Read the Forecasts

Every Challenge Cup pick comes with a confidence signal ranging from Neutral up through Solid, Good, High and Strong. A Strong signal means the model sees a large, well-supported probability gap behind that pick; a Neutral signal means the match is closer to a coin flip and the forecast should be treated with more caution. We show this openly so you can weigh each forecast against your own read of the match, rather than trusting a single number in the dark.

Challenge Cup Season Statistics

So far this season, Challenge Cup matches have averaged 3.95 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 62% of matches and 77% going over 2.5 total goals.

Home teams have won 49% of Challenge Cup matches this season, compared to 15% draws and 36% away wins.

Since we started covering Challenge Cup, our Best Pick model has correctly forecast 100% of 1 graded predictions.