Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali Prediction

National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia· Ventsislav Mitrev, Bulgaria 18/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.36
SignalGOODModel29%RiskHighGap+7.6%
Septemvri Sofia Rest
8 days
Arda Kardzhali Rest
8 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%3.60
X
35%3.12
2
33%2.05
Double Chance
1X
67%1.67
X2
68%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.89
No
51%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.49 = 2.76
Over 1.5
75%1.36
Over 2.5
51%2.19
Over 3.5
27%3.92
Under 1.5
25%2.88
Under 2.5
49%1.63
Under 3.5
73%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'B. Karagaren
24'P. Georgiev ING. Ivanov out
34'Y. Baurenski
40'D. Idowu
46'Z. A. Atanasov INA. Dzhamov out
53'S. Wade
55'K. Onasci
62'S. Vasilev INA. Kabov out
64'F. Herard INS. Stoichkov out
72'B. Karagaren
73'A. Vutov INV. Popov out
86'E. Ribeiro INA. Liberal out
87'D. Velkovski INB. Akandzha out
90+3'V. Lyubenov

Lineups

Septemvri Sofia
3-4-1-2Coach: Simao Freitas
Arda Kardzhali
4-2-3-1Coach: Blagov Tunchev Aleksander
Vladimir Ivanov12V. IvanovVladimir Ivanov
Martin Hristov4M. HristovMartin Hristov
Kubrat Onashchi13K. OnashchiKubrat Onashchi
Sebas Wade3S. WadeSebas Wade
Zahari Atanasov24Z. AtanasovZahari Atanasov
Preslav Georgiev22P. GeorgievPreslav Georgiev
Pedro Ferreira6P. FerreiraPedro Ferreira
Bozhidar Penchev8B. PenchevBozhidar Penchev
Yoan Baurenski5Y. BaurenskiYoan Baurenski
Frantzety Herard29F. HerardFrantzety Herard
Edney Ribeiro7E. RibeiroEdney Ribeiro
Anatoli Gospodinov1A. GospodinovAnatoli Gospodinov
Vyacheslav Velev21V. VelevVyacheslav Velev
Adama Ardile Traoré88A. Ardile TraoréAdama Ardile Traoré
Viktor Lyubenov5V. LyubenovViktor Lyubenov
Dimitar Velkovski35D. VelkovskiDimitar Velkovski
Lachezar Kotev80L. KotevLachezar Kotev
Idowu David Akintola4I. David AkintolaIdowu David Akintola
Birsent Karagaren99B. KaragarenBirsent Karagaren
Antonio Vutov39A. VutovAntonio Vutov
Simeon Vasilev14S. VasilevSimeon Vasilev
Svetoslav Kovachev10S. KovachevSvetoslav Kovachev

Septemvri Sofia Substitutes

33Galin IvanovM
11Aleksandar DzhamovF
28Stoyan StoichkovM
99André LiberalF
12Nikolay KrastevG
20Bozhidar TomovskiD
26Valentine OzornwaforD
23Borislav StoichkovD
30Viktor DobrevM
14Aleksandar VutovM
16Venislav MihaylovM

Arda Kardzhali Substitutes

8Atanas KabovM
26Viktor PopovD
26Burak AkandzhaM
22Yanko GeorgievG
24Martin PaskalevD

Team Comparison

Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
1452Elo Rating 1592
1.23Attack 1.71
1.58Defense 1.09
31%Hit Rate 50%
7.8Shots per Game 13.0
3.4Shots on Target 7.4
6.8Corners per Game 4.8
3.1Cards per Game 3.4

Game State Tendencies

Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Septemvri Sofia 23%Draw 0%77% Arda Kardzhali
2.99Avg Goals
44%BTTS Rate
63%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
3W0D2L
10/07/2026
LudogoretsSeptemvri Sofia
10
L
07/07/2026
Septemvri SofiaHebar 1918
21
W
04/07/2026
Septemvri SofiaSlavia Sofia
23
L
01/07/2026
Septemvri SofiaVihren
20
W
27/06/2026
Septemvri SofiaMarek
30
W
Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
1W1D3L
10/07/2026
Botev VratsaArda Kardzhali
10
L
07/07/2026
Arda KardzhaliBeitar Jerusalem
00
D
04/07/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivArda Kardzhali
20
L
01/07/2026
Rilski SportistArda Kardzhali
02
W
26/06/2026
Botev PlovdivArda Kardzhali
21
L

Referee Profile

Ventsislav Mitrev, Bulgaria · 9 matches analysed

5.0Avg Yellows
5.2Avg Cards
23.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 89% of referees analysed

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia981021:4+1725DWWWW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia972023:6+1723WWDWW
3LudogoretsLudogorets972016:7+923WWDDW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 1948961217:9+819WLWLW
5Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali951314:11+316LLWWW
6Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv941413:14-113WWLLL
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia92528:6+211DWLDD
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna924310:14-410DDDLL
9Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa92257:17-108DWLWL
10Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia92258:15-78LLDWW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv92074:12-86LWLLL
12Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna912610:19-95DLLWL
13Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia904510:18-84LDLDL
14Dunav RuseDunav Ruse91178:17-94LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia921:425
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia923:623
3LudogoretsLudogorets916:723
4CSKA 1948CSKA 1948917:919
5Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali914:1116
6Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv913:1413
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia98:611
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna910:1410
9Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa97:178
10Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia98:158
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv94:126
12Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna910:195
13Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia910:184
14Dunav RuseDunav Ruse98:174
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

Septemvri Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this First League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About First League

ScorePredicts covers Bulgaria football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Septemvri Sofia and Arda Kardzhali have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.99 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.