SHANGHAI SIPG vs Beijing Guoan Prediction

Pudong Football Stadium, Shanghai·Yuchen Mu, China 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.58
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+9.9%
SHANGHAI SIPG Rest
4 days
Beijing Guoan Rest
4 days

SHANGHAI SIPG vs Beijing Guoan: result, form and history

SHANGHAI SIPG and Beijing Guoan drew 0-0 in the Super League on 5 Sep 2026. SHANGHAI SIPG had gone in with the better form, having won 5 of their previous five against 3 for Beijing Guoan.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.4 goals, and both sides scored in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%2.20
X
27%3.75
2
45%2.80
Double Chance
1X
55%1.40
X2
72%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%1.38
No
34%2.81
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.62 = 3.04
Over 1.5
83%1.10
Over 2.5
60%1.41
Over 3.5
38%2.04
Under 1.5
17%5.80
Under 2.5
40%2.70
Under 3.5
62%1.73
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.7 = 10.2
Over 8.5
62%1.31
Over 9.5
56%1.53
Over 10.5
42%1.80
Under 8.5
38%3.04
Under 9.5
44%2.30
Under 10.5
58%1.92
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.9 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%-
Over 4.5
33%-
Under 3.5
48%-
Under 4.5
67%-

Match Events

35'Wang YuFoul
46'Zhang Xizhe INDeng Jiefu out
70'Li Shuai INYue Xin out
70'Leonardo INWu Lei out
79'P. O. Ampem INKuai Jiwen out
79'Liu Zhurun INX. Li out
81'Serginho INJia Feifan out
81'Wang Yu INCheng Xi out
90'Yang Liyu INLi Lei out
90+3'A. Yang INWang Shenchao out

Lineups

SHANGHAI SIPG
3-4-3Coach: Kevin Muscat
Beijing Guoan
4-1-4-1Coach: Nick Montgomery
Avg rating6.96
Avg rating6.96
Yan JunlingC6.91Y. Junling
Jean Claude7.28J. Claude
Browning Tyias6.33B. Tyias
Wei Zhen7.313W. Zhen
A. Yang22A. Yang
O. Melendo7.521O. Melendo
Mateus Vital7.310M. Vital
Li Shuai7.732L. Shuai
Liu Zhurun6.233L. Zhurun
Leonardo6.645Leonardo
P. O. Ampem7.217P. O. Ampem
Hou Sen8.934H. Sen
Yue Tze-Nam6.921Y. Tze-Nam
Wang Gang6.627W. Gang
G. Ramos7.95G. Ramos
Bai Yang6.926B. Yang
Wang Yu6.918W. Yu
Yang Liyu6.917Y. Liyu
Cao Yongjing6.637C. Yongjing
Serginho6.77Serginho
Zhang XizheC6.510Z. Xizhe
Zhang Yuning6.59Z. Yuning

SHANGHAI SIPG Substitutes

12Chen Wei
4Wang Shenchao90+3'for A. Yang
28Yue Xin70'for Li Shuai6.9
5Zhang Linpeng
23Fu Huan
6Zhang Yuan
20Yang Shiyuan
47Kuai Jiwen79'for P. O. Ampem6.3
7Wu Lei70'for Leonardo7.3
14M. Orr
49X. Li79'for Liu Zhurun6.2
38Lu Yongtao

Beijing Guoan Substitutes

33Abbas Nureli
4Li Lei90'for Yang Liyu
30Fan Shuangjie
47Deng Jiefu46'for Zhang Xizhe7.3
36Jia Feifan81'for Serginho6.3
24Abdugheni Abduhamit
41Cheng Xi81'for Wang Yu6.6
50H. Zhang
43X. Xiaoyu

Match Stats

SHANGHAI SIPGBeijing Guoan
60%Ball Possession40%
14Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards1
21Total Shots5
6Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal1
16Shots Inside Box1
5Shots Outside Box4
8Blocked Shots2
10Fouls9
1Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves6
501Total Passes366
436Passes Accurate277
87%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG
Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan
1724Elo Rating 1768
2.54Attack 2.24
1.51Defense 1.77
56%Hit Rate 73%
14.2Shots per Game 12.6
5.6Shots on Target 4.9
4.9Corners per Game 5.0
2.7Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.04 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan4Wins · 40%
3.4Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Super League10/05/2026
Beijing GuoanSHANGHAI SIPG
22
Super Cup01/03/2026
SHANGHAI SIPGBeijing Guoan
02
Super League21/09/2025
Beijing GuoanSHANGHAI SIPG
23
Super League01/05/2025
SHANGHAI SIPGBeijing Guoan
12
Super League12/07/2024
SHANGHAI SIPGBeijing Guoan
51
Super League05/04/2024
Beijing GuoanSHANGHAI SIPG
22
Super League20/10/2023
SHANGHAI SIPGBeijing Guoan
12
Super League29/06/2023
Beijing GuoanSHANGHAI SIPG
12
Super League27/12/2022
Beijing GuoanSHANGHAI SIPG
03
Super League05/10/2022
SHANGHAI SIPGBeijing Guoan
01

Referee Profile

Yuchen Mu12 matches

4.40Cards per match
4.20Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
26.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Yuchen Mu4.40
Other referees4.19

4.40 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.19).

Cards come from 10 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City29157751:35+1652LLLDW
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing291541046:43+349WWWWD
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan291410557:36+2147WWWDD
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng29155957:47+1044WWDDW
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG29138850:36+1442WWWDW
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun291171157:60-340DDLWL
7Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island29815632:38-639DLLDD
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua291451063:50+1337LWWWL
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long29812931:34-336WDDLD
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown291161251:54-334WLLWL
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu29951539:51-1232WLDDL
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda291181039:35+431LWWWW
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban29851641:52-1129LWDLL
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye298101138:42-428LLDDD
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns295121244:55-1122LLDLD
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon29632034:62-2814LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City2951:3552
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing2946:4349
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan2957:3647
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng2957:4744
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG2950:3642
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun2957:6040
7Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island2932:3839
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua2963:5037
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long2931:3436
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown2951:5434
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu2939:5132
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda2939:3531
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban2941:5229
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye2938:4228
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns2944:5522
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon2934:6214
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the SHANGHAI SIPG vs Beijing Guoan forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

SHANGHAI SIPG and Beijing Guoan in the Super League table

Beijing Guoan and SHANGHAI SIPG are close in the Super League table, 3rd and 5th, with 5 points between them. League goal record so far: SHANGHAI SIPG 50-36, Beijing Guoan 57-36. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.