SHANGHAI SIPG vs Beijing Guoan Prediction

Pudong Football Stadium, Shanghai· Yuchen Mu, China 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 5.5
1.58
SignalGOODModel46%RiskMediumGap+9.9%
SHANGHAI SIPG Rest
4 days
Beijing Guoan Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%2.20
X
27%3.75
2
45%2.80
Double Chance
1X
55%1.40
X2
72%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%1.38
No
34%2.81
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 1.62 = 3.04
Over 1.5
83%1.10
Over 2.5
60%1.41
Over 3.5
38%2.04
Under 1.5
17%5.80
Under 2.5
40%2.70
Under 3.5
62%1.73
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.7 = 10.2
Over 8.5
62%1.31
Over 9.5
56%1.53
Over 10.5
42%1.80
Under 8.5
38%3.04
Under 9.5
44%2.30
Under 10.5
58%1.92
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.9 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%-
Over 4.5
33%-
Under 3.5
48%-
Under 4.5
67%-

Match Events

35'Wang YuFoul
46'Zhang Xizhe INDeng Jiefu out
70'Li Shuai INYue Xin out
70'Leonardo INWu Lei out
79'P. O. Ampem INKuai Jiwen out
79'Liu Zhurun INX. Li out
81'Serginho INJia Feifan out
81'Wang Yu INCheng Xi out
90+3'A. Yang INWang Shenchao out
90'Yang Liyu INLi Lei out

Lineups

SHANGHAI SIPG
3-4-3Coach: Kevin Muscat
Beijing Guoan
4-1-4-1Coach: Nick Montgomery
Yan Junling1Y. JunlingYan Junling
Jean Claude8J. ClaudeJean Claude
Browning Tyias3B. TyiasBrowning Tyias
Wei Zhen13W. ZhenWei Zhen
A. Yang22A. YangA. Yang
O. Melendo21O. MelendoO. Melendo
Mateus Vital10M. VitalMateus Vital
Li Shuai32L. ShuaiLi Shuai
Liu Zhurun33L. ZhurunLiu Zhurun
Leonardo45LeonardoLeonardo
P. O. Ampem17P. O. AmpemP. O. Ampem
Hou Sen34H. SenHou Sen
Yue Tze-Nam21Y. Tze-NamYue Tze-Nam
Wang Gang27W. GangWang Gang
G. Ramos5G. RamosG. Ramos
Bai Yang26B. YangBai Yang
Wang Yu18W. YuWang Yu
Yang Liyu17Y. LiyuYang Liyu
Cao Yongjing37C. YongjingCao Yongjing
Serginho7SerginhoSerginho
Zhang Xizhe10Z. XizheZhang Xizhe
Zhang Yuning9Z. YuningZhang Yuning

SHANGHAI SIPG Substitutes

12Chen WeiG
4Wang ShenchaoD
28Yue XinD
5Zhang LinpengD
23Fu HuanD
6Zhang Yuan
20Yang ShiyuanD
47Kuai JiwenF
7Wu LeiF
14M. OrrF
49X. LiF
38Lu YongtaoM

Beijing Guoan Substitutes

33Abbas NureliG
4Li LeiD
30Fan ShuangjieD
47Deng JiefuD
36Jia FeifanM
24Abdugheni AbduhamitD
41Cheng XiM
50H. ZhangM
43X. XiaoyuM

Match Stats

SHANGHAI SIPGBeijing Guoan
60%Ball Possession40%
14Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards1
21Total Shots5
6Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal1
16Shots Inside Box1
5Shots Outside Box4
8Blocked Shots2
10Fouls9
1Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves6
501Total Passes366
436Passes Accurate277
87%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG
Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan
1688Elo Rating 1737
2.65Attack 1.98
1.78Defense 1.95
77%Hit Rate 46%
13.4Shots per Game 10.1
5.3Shots on Target 4.6
5.5Corners per Game 2.7
0.7Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.04 goals
📈BTTS Trend77% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

SHANGHAI SIPG 34%Draw 27%39% Beijing Guoan
3.85Avg Goals
77%BTTS Rate
77%Over 2.5

Referee Profile

Yuchen Mu, China · 8 matches analysed

4.2Avg Yellows
4.5Avg Cards
26.0Avg Fouls
Stricter than 41% of referees analysed

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City26157451:30+2152DWLWL
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing261241038:42-440WDWLW
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan261110549:33+1638DDDWW
4Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun261151054:51+338WLDWW
5Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island26814431:32-138DDWDD
6Shandong LunengShandong Luneng26134946:43+337DWLWW
7SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG26108840:33+733DWWWW
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua26125952:46+631WLWLW
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long26710927:32-531LDLDL
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown25961041:42-128LWDLL
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu26841434:45-1128DLDWL
12Henan JianyeHenan Jianye2689933:35-227DDDDL
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban26741534:47-1325LLLDL
14Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda2698936:32+425WWDDL
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns25511938:42-421DDWDL
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon26631734:53-1914LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City2651:3052
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing2638:4240
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan2649:3338
4Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun2654:5138
5Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island2631:3238
6Shandong LunengShandong Luneng2646:4337
7SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG2640:3333
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua2652:4631
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long2627:3231
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown2541:4228
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu2634:4528
12Henan JianyeHenan Jianye2633:3527
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban2634:4725
14Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda2636:3225
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns2538:4221
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon2634:5314
Champions LeagueRelegation

SHANGHAI SIPG vs Beijing Guoan Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Super League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Super League

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Key Factors for This Match

Beijing Guoan have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. SHANGHAI SIPG and Beijing Guoan have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.85 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.