Shatin vs Hong Kong FC Prediction

Shatin
2-2
After Penalties
HT 1-2AET 0-0PEN 4-5
Hong Kong FC
01/10/2026
ShatinShatin
2-2
After Penalties
Hong Kong FCHong Kong FC

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.5 / 10
Value Analysis
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalSTRONGModel78%SurpriseMediumGap+7.0%
Shatin Rest
12 days
Hong Kong FC Rest
12 days

Shatin vs Hong Kong FC: result, form and history

Hong Kong FC beat Shatin on penalties (5-4) after a 2-2 draw in the League Cup on 1 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.94
X
22%3.90
2
23%3.06
Double Chance
1X
77%1.29
X2
45%1.70
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'N. Kedwards
12'J. Scott
20'D. Johns
62'K. Lam INLam Hok-Hei out
62'A. Aldalur INMauricio out
67'Lam Hok-Hei
74'J. Bennie INO. J. Benavides Medeiros out
74'D. Johns INA. Wong out
81'M. Otubu INR. Cheng Chun-Wang out
81'Joao Vitor INC. Chiu out
85'R. Cheng Chun-Wang
90'A. Wong
90+3'L. Leung INC. Wong out
90+4'R. Cheng Chun-Wang
90+5'C. McGunnigle

Penalty Shootout4 - 5

1C. McGunnigle(Penalty)
1J. Scott(Penalty)
2C. Weston(Penalty)
2C. Wong(Penalty)
3N. Kedwards(Penalty)
3Lam Hok-Hei(Penalty)
4Yiu Ho-Ming(Penalty)
4H. Kametani(Penalty)
5M. Bleda(Penalty)
5(Penalty missed)

Team Comparison

ShatinShatin
Hong Kong FCHong Kong FC
1479Elo Rating 1177
1.33Attack 1.38
0.61Defense 0.35
0%Hit Rate 14%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+302 Elo
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

ShatinShatin
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
Hong Kong FCHong Kong FC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

ShatinShatin
1W0D4L
19/09/2026
ShatinWarriors
01
L
13/09/2026
ShatinKowloon City
23
L
06/09/2026
ShatinNorth District
05
L
28/08/2026
WarriorsShatin
30
L
21/08/2026
EasternShatin
13
W
Hong Kong FCHong Kong FC
3W1D6L
19/09/2026
Kowloon CityHong Kong FC
41
L
12/09/2026
Wofoo Tai PoHong Kong FC
12
W
06/09/2026
Hong Kong FCWarriors
03
L
22/08/2026
Southern DistrictHong Kong FC
32
L
16/05/2026
Kowloon CityHong Kong FC
11
D
10/05/2026
Hong Kong FCBC Rangers
21
W
03/05/2026
Hong Kong FCSouthern District
14
L
25/04/2026
Eastern DistrictHong Kong FC
12
W
11/04/2026
EasternHong Kong FC
50
L
15/03/2026
Hong Kong FCWarriors
04
L

Bracket

Round of 32
Eastern3
Kitchee1
North District2
Southern District1
Kowloon City1
Eastern District2
BC Rangers1
Wofoo Tai Po3
Eastern3
Kitchee1
North District2
Southern District1
Kowloon City1
Eastern District2
BC Rangers1
Wofoo Tai Po3

About the Shatin vs Hong Kong FC forecast

As a knockout tie in the League Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

More League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Hong Kong FC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Shatin and Hong Kong FC have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.