Sirius vs AIK Stockholm Prediction

Sirius
1-2
Finished
HT 1-2
AIK Stockholm
Studenternas IP, Uppsala·Adam Ladeback 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.16
SignalHIGHModel57%SurpriseMediumGap-7.2%
Sirius Rest
6 days
AIK Stockholm Rest
6 days

Sirius vs AIK Stockholm: result, form and history

AIK Stockholm beat Sirius 2-1 in the Allsvenskan on 24 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Sirius had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for AIK Stockholm.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Sirius tend to win more corners, 7.8 a game to 4.9 for AIK Stockholm.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.55
X
22%4.45
2
19%4.95
Double Chance
1X
81%1.16
X2
41%2.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.53
No
40%2.39
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.02 + 1.07 = 3.09
Over 1.5
83%1.13
Over 2.5
64%1.47
Over 3.5
43%2.20
Under 1.5
17%5.50
Under 2.5
36%2.52
Under 3.5
57%1.65
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.5 = 10.4
Over 8.5
69%1.26
Over 9.5
58%1.50
Over 10.5
47%1.87
Under 8.5
31%3.20
Under 9.5
42%2.32
Under 10.5
53%1.85
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 1.9 = 3.3
Over 3.5
42%-
Over 4.5
24%-
Under 3.5
58%-
Under 4.5
76%-

Match Events

30'axel kouameAssist: Abdihakin Ali
32'Joakim PerssonAssist: Marcus Lindberg
35'S. WilsonFoul
45'S. Wilson INLukas Bergquist out
45+2'Johan Hove(Penalty)
55'Ake Andersson INOtso Liimatta out
59'Victor Svensson INZalán Vancsa out
59'Otso Liimatta INN. Jönsson out
64'Sixten Gustafsson INLinus Carlstrand out
67'Mohamed SoumahFoul
72'Eskil Smidesang EdhFoul
76'Eskil Smidesang Edh INMads Thychosen out
76'Yannick Emilio Geiger INMartin Ellingsen out
85'Melker Heier INSimon Sandberg out
88'Taha Ayari INlinus jareteg out

Lineups

Sirius
4-3-3Coach: Andreas Engelmark
AIK Stockholm
4-3-3Coach: Jose Riveiro
Avg rating6.43
Avg rating6.68
D. Celic6.234D. Celic
H. Castegren7.25H. Castegren
Mohamed Soumah5.72M. Soumah
T. Anker6.74T. Anker
O. Krusnell6.022O. Krusnell
V. Svensson6.024V. Svensson
M. Heier6.510M. Heier
M. Lindberg7.56M. Lindberg
J. Persson7.67J. Persson
2929A. Andersson
I. Bjerkebo6.311I. Bjerkebo
K. Nordfeldt6.715K. Nordfeldt
E. Edh6.52E. Edh
D. Tomas6.833D. Tomas
W. Olofsson6.734W. Olofsson
S. Wilson6.421S. Wilson
T. Ayari6.345T. Ayari
A. Ali7.718A. Ali
Yannick Geiger6.446Y. Geiger
J. Hove7.68J. Hove
Sixten Gustafsson6.216S. Gustafsson
A. Kouame7.748A. Kouame

Sirius Substitutes

1I. Diawara
20V. Ekström
17N. Jönsson59'replaced by Otso Liimatta6.5
16O. Liimatta55'replaced by Ake Andersson59'for N. Jönsson6.1
21C. Nildén
15S. Sandberg85'for Melker Heier6.1
30Z. Vancsa59'for Victor Svensson5.9
18A. Wikman
25O. Adindu

AIK Stockholm Substitutes

14F. Nissen
17M. Thychosen76'for Eskil Smidesang Edh6.3
30K. Joelsson
28L. Järeteg88'for Taha Ayari6.3
7A. Mujanić
6M. Ellingsen76'for Yannick Emilio Geiger6.6
9L. Carlstrand64'for Sixten Gustafsson6.9
5L. Bergquist45'for S. Wilson6.0
10L. Assadi

Match Stats

SiriusAIK Stockholm
54%Ball Possession46%
12Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards2
20Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal2
17Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots4
10Fouls14
2Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
515Total Passes454
444Passes Accurate390
14Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

SiriusSirius
AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm
1795Elo Rating 1671
1.54Attack 2.28
1.84Defense 0.63
50%Hit Rate 27%
13.4Shots per Game 16.1
4.4Shots on Target 5.6
7.8Corners per Game 4.9
1.2Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+124 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.09 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

SiriusSirius
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

SiriusSirius3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm4Wins · 40%
2.8Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Allsvenskan30/05/2026
AIK StockholmSirius
03
Allsvenskan31/08/2025
AIK StockholmSirius
21
Allsvenskan01/06/2025
SiriusAIK Stockholm
31
Allsvenskan25/09/2024
SiriusAIK Stockholm
01
Allsvenskan11/05/2024
AIK StockholmSirius
13
Allsvenskan31/07/2023
SiriusAIK Stockholm
01
Allsvenskan29/04/2023
AIK StockholmSirius
00
Allsvenskan02/10/2022
SiriusAIK Stockholm
11
Allsvenskan21/05/2022
AIK StockholmSirius
22
Allsvenskan04/12/2021
AIK StockholmSirius
42

Referee Profile

Adam Ladeback165 matches

3.26Cards per match
3.21Yellow cards per match
0.06Red cards per match
24.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Adam Ladeback3.26
Other referees3.75

3.26 cards a match, 0.49 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.75).

Cards come from 140 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Allsvenskan 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SiriusSirius25174456:32+2455LDWWW
2Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF25153752:23+2948DWWLW
3Hammarby FFHammarby FF24144650:21+2946WLWWD
4BK HackenBK Hacken25129447:30+1745WWWWD
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg25119537:24+1342DDWWW
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK25115936:38-238LWLWW
7Malmo FFMalmo FF251141038:34+437DLWLW
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm25107840:43-337WDLLD
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg24106834:43-936DWWWW
10IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna25961039:43-433WLWLL
11GaisGais24861030:25+530LLWLD
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF24581128:40-1223LDLDD
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF25641523:41-1822LWLLL
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF25551521:41-2020LLDLL
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS25471431:56-2519DWLLL
16HalmstadHalmstad25451618:46-2817WLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1SiriusSirius2556:3255
2Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF2552:2348
3Hammarby FFHammarby FF2450:2146
4BK HackenBK Hacken2547:3045
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg2537:2442
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK2536:3838
7Malmo FFMalmo FF2538:3437
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm2540:4337
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg2434:4336
10IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna2539:4333
11GaisGais2430:2530
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF2428:4023
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF2523:4122
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF2521:4120
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS2531:5619
16HalmstadHalmstad2518:4617
Relegation

About the Sirius vs AIK Stockholm forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sirius and AIK Stockholm in the Allsvenskan table

In the Allsvenskan table, Sirius are 1st and AIK Stockholm 8th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Sirius 56-32, AIK Stockholm 40-43. The full standings are on the Allsvenskan Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.