Vasteras SK FK vs Sirius Prediction

Vasteras SK FK
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Sirius
Hitachi Energy Arena, Westeros·Adi Aganovic 05/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-4.5%
Value Analysis
54%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.88
SignalNEUTRALModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+5.1%
Vasteras SK FK Rest
7 days
Sirius Rest
4 days

Vasteras SK FK vs Sirius: the result in context

Sirius beat Vasteras SK FK 1-0 in the Allsvenskan on 5 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Vasteras SK FK had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Sirius.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
23%3.65
X
24%3.75
2
53%1.88
Double Chance
1X
47%1.84
X2
77%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.50
No
42%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1.69 = 2.89
Over 1.5
83%1.17
Over 2.5
59%1.55
Over 3.5
34%2.38
Under 1.5
17%4.75
Under 2.5
41%2.35
Under 3.5
66%1.56
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 4.8 = 9.1
Over 8.5
53%1.29
Over 9.5
40%1.52
Over 10.5
31%1.93
Under 8.5
47%3.04
Under 9.5
60%2.27
Under 10.5
69%1.80
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.9 = 4
Over 3.5
56%-
Over 4.5
37%-
Under 3.5
44%-
Under 4.5
63%-

Match Events

34'Axel Sountonoma TaonsaArgument
44'philip bondeFoul
51'Jesper Uneken
63'Jesper Uneken INAke Andersson out
70'Bonaventure Lendambi INCasper Risbjerg Andreasen out
70'jens magnusson INAbdelrahman Saidi out
73'Mattias Hellisdal INIsmet Lushaku out
76'Victor Svensson INN. Jönsson out
76'Zalán Vancsa INCharlie Nildén out
83'Isak Bjerkebo INVictor Ekstrom out
88'Mamadou Diagne INkarl gunnarsson out
88'Simon Gefvert INJonny Melvin Ljungqvist out

Lineups

Vasteras SK FK
3-4-3Coach: Alexander Rubin
Sirius
4-2-3-1Coach: Andreas Engelmark
Avg rating6.44
Avg rating6.68
E. Jäger7.934E. Jäger
J. Tagesson6.924J. Tagesson
P. Bonde6.44P. Bonde
H. Magnusson6.42H. Magnusson
S. Gefvert6.311S. Gefvert
M. Hellisdal6.330M. Hellisdal
M. Diagne6.38M. Diagne
J. Karlsson6.615J. Karlsson
J. Magnusson6.019J. Magnusson
Bonaventure Lendambi6.216B. Lendambi
A. Taonsa6.617A. Taonsa
D. Celic6.734D. Celic
H. Castegren6.95H. Castegren
S. Sandberg6.415S. Sandberg
T. Anker7.24T. Anker
O. Krusnell7.322O. Krusnell
M. Heier6.110M. Heier
M. Lindberg6.06M. Lindberg
Z. Vancsa6.630Z. Vancsa
V. Svensson6.424V. Svensson
I. Bjerkebo6.311I. Bjerkebo
J. Uneken8.09J. Uneken

Vasteras SK FK Substitutes

7A. Boudah70'for jens magnusson6.5
23P. Amoran
22L. Bark
1A. Fagerström
5K. Gunnarsson88'for Mamadou Diagne5.9
20M. Ljungqvist88'for Simon Gefvert6.7
14I. Lushaku73'for Mattias Hellisdal6.1
9C. Risbjerg70'for Bonaventure Lendambi5.9
21V. Wernersson

Sirius Substitutes

29Ake Andersson63'replaced by Jesper Uneken
1I. Diawara
20V. Ekström83'for Isak Bjerkebo6.6
17N. Jönsson76'for Victor Svensson6.5
16O. Liimatta
27B. Magnusson
21C. Nildén76'for Zalán Vancsa6.5
7J. Persson
25O. Adindu

Match Stats

Vasteras SK FKSirius
57%Ball Possession43%
8Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards0
12Total Shots10
2Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box9
1Shots Outside Box1
5Blocked Shots4
16Fouls12
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves1
481Total Passes365
400Passes Accurate273
12Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK
SiriusSirius
1726Elo Rating 1774
1.51Attack 1.07
2.38Defense 1.47
61%Hit Rate 31%
16.3Shots per Game 14.2
6.4Shots on Target 4.2
6.9Corners per Game 8.0
1.0Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.89 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SiriusSirius
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK0Wins · 0%
Draws133%
SiriusSirius2Wins · 67%
2.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Allsvenskan18/04/2026
SiriusVasteras SK FK
41
Allsvenskan31/08/2024
Vasteras SK FKSirius
12
Allsvenskan20/05/2024
SiriusVasteras SK FK
00

Referee Profile

Adi Aganovic133 matches

3.65Cards per match
3.56Yellow cards per match
0.09Red cards per match
22.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Adi Aganovic3.65
Other referees3.67

3.65 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.67).

Cards come from 82 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Allsvenskan 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Hammarby FFHammarby FF27174656:22+3455WWWWL
2SiriusSirius26174556:34+2255LLDWW
3Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF27164755:25+3052WDDWW
4BK HackenBK Hacken271310448:30+1849WDWWW
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg271210541:27+1446WDDDW
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK27135940:38+244WWLWL
7Malmo FFMalmo FF271241142:36+640LWDLW
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm26108842:45-338DWDLL
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg27108936:46-1038LDDDW
10GaisGais26971032:26+634WDLLW
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna27971139:44-534LDWLW
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF26681230:43-1326WLLDL
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF26641623:42-1922LLWLL
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF27551722:46-2420LLLLD
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS27471633:60-2719LLDWL
16HalmstadHalmstad26451718:49-3117LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Hammarby FFHammarby FF2756:2255
2SiriusSirius2656:3455
3Djurgardens IFDjurgardens IF2755:2552
4BK HackenBK Hacken2748:3049
5IF ElfsborgIF Elfsborg2741:2746
6Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK2740:3844
7Malmo FFMalmo FF2742:3640
8AIK StockholmAIK Stockholm2642:4538
9IFK GoteborgIFK Goteborg2736:4638
10GaisGais2632:2634
11IF BrommapojkarnaIF Brommapojkarna2739:4434
12Mjallby AIFMjallby AIF2630:4326
13Kalmar FFKalmar FF2623:4222
14Degerfors IFDegerfors IF2722:4620
15Orgryte ISOrgryte IS2733:6019
16HalmstadHalmstad2618:4917
Relegation

About the Vasteras SK FK vs Sirius forecast

The forecasts for this Allsvenskan match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vasteras SK FK and Sirius in the Allsvenskan table

In the Allsvenskan table, Sirius are 2nd and Vasteras SK FK 6th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Vasteras SK FK 40-38, Sirius 56-34. The full standings are on the Allsvenskan Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Vasteras SK FK have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.