Stabaek vs Sogndal Prediction

Stabaek
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Sogndal
Nadderud Stadion, Bekkestua·O. Valen 20/09/2026
StabaekStabaek
2-1
Finished
SogndalSogndal

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.32
SignalSOLIDModel67%SurpriseMediumGap-8.2%
Stabaek Rest
3 days
Sogndal Rest
3 days

Stabaek vs Sogndal: the result in context

Stabaek beat Sogndal 2-1 in the 1. Division on 20 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 7 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
69%1.32
X
17%5.65
2
14%6.85
Double Chance
1X
86%1.08
X2
31%3.16
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.38
No
36%2.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.11 + 1.2 = 3.31
Over 1.5
88%1.03
Over 2.5
74%1.20
Over 3.5
55%1.56
Under 1.5
12%8.70
Under 2.5
26%4.20
Under 3.5
45%2.31
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

26'J. HanstadAssist: A. Hoven
49'K. SkaanesAssist: L. Gausdal
54'F. Riise INA. Aamodt out
70'F. Krogstad IND. Santos out
83'J. HanstadAssist: D. Santos
85'A. Hoven INE. Lereng out
86'O. Solnordal
90'M. Oren INP. Asp out
90'L. Gausdal INE. Flo out
90'E. L. Hillestad INF. Flo out
90+3'

Team Comparison

StabaekStabaek
SogndalSogndal
1576Elo Rating 1412
1.86Attack 1.53
1.91Defense 1.24
64%Hit Rate 27%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+165 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.31 goals
📈BTTS Trend71% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

StabaekStabaek
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SogndalSogndal
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

StabaekStabaek2Wins · 29%
Draws343%
SogndalSogndal2Wins · 28%
3.3Avg Goals
71%Both teams scored5 of 7
57%3+ goals4 of 7

Previous meetings

1. Division20/05/2026
SogndalStabaek
22
1. Division18/08/2025
StabaekSogndal
12
1. Division26/07/2025
SogndalStabaek
11
1. Division28/09/2024
StabaekSogndal
20
1. Division01/06/2024
SogndalStabaek
23
1. Division25/07/2022
SogndalStabaek
43
1. Division11/04/2022
StabaekSogndal
00

Recent Form

StabaekStabaek
6W0D4L
16/09/2026
Pors GrenlandStabaek
2111
L
12/09/2026
BryneStabaek
20
L
05/09/2026
StabaekMoss
23
L
30/08/2026
hoddStabaek
21
L
26/08/2026
StabaekRanheim
42
W
22/08/2026
HemingStabaek
02
W
16/08/2026
EgersundStabaek
04
W
08/08/2026
StabaekLyn
43
W
02/08/2026
RaufossStabaek
02
W
27/07/2026
Stabaekhodd
60
W
SogndalSogndal
4W2D4L
16/09/2026
SotraSogndal
3151
W
13/09/2026
SogndalStrommen
11
D
05/09/2026
HaugesundSogndal
20
L
30/08/2026
SogndalStromsgodset
23
L
26/08/2026
MossSogndal
22
D
21/08/2026
FjøraSogndal
08
W
16/08/2026
SogndalSandnes ULF
20
W
09/08/2026
SogndalBryne
02
L
02/08/2026
LynSogndal
32
L
26/07/2026
SogndalRanheim
32
W

League Table

1. Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1StromsgodsetStromsgodset27186376:33+4360WWWWW
2KongsvingerKongsvinger27185481:42+3959WLWWW
3HaugesundHaugesund27192678:45+3359LWDWW
4StabaekStabaek27164764:34+3052WWDLW
5ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb27136854:41+1345LWWWW
6BryneBryne271231237:38-139LDLWW
7hoddhodd271151147:53-638WDLLL
8RanheimRanheim271051268:67+135WDLWW
9EgersundEgersund27971142:53-1134DDWLL
10StrommenStrommen27961248:59-1133WWDDL
11LynLyn27941441:57-1631WLLLL
12MossMoss27851440:56-1629LDWLW
13SogndalSogndal27761444:60-1627WDLLL
14Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF27751537:54-1726LLDDL
15AsaneAsane27651637:61-2423LLWLL
16RaufossRaufoss27621930:71-4120LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1StromsgodsetStromsgodset2776:3360
2KongsvingerKongsvinger2781:4259
3HaugesundHaugesund2778:4559
4StabaekStabaek2764:3452
5ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb2754:4145
6BryneBryne2737:3839
7hoddhodd2747:5338
8RanheimRanheim2768:6735
9EgersundEgersund2742:5334
10StrommenStrommen2748:5933
11LynLyn2741:5731
12MossMoss2740:5629
13SogndalSogndal2744:6027
14Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF2737:5426
15AsaneAsane2737:6123
16RaufossRaufoss2730:7120
PromotionRelegation

About the Stabaek vs Sogndal forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Stabaek and Sogndal in the 1. Division table

The table shows a wide gap: Stabaek are 4th in the 1. Division, while Sogndal sit 13th, 25 points behind. League goal record so far: Stabaek 64-34, Sogndal 44-60. The full standings are on the 1. Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.