Stabaek vs Stromsgodset Prediction

Stabaek
2-3
Finished
HT 2-2
Stromsgodset
Nadderud Stadion, Bekkestua·M. Kellerhals 08/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.35
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-5.2%
Stabaek Rest
5 days
Stromsgodset Rest
6 days

Stabaek vs Stromsgodset: result, form and history

Stromsgodset beat Stabaek 3-2 in the 1. Division on 8 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Stromsgodset have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 2.7 goals a game. Referee M. Kellerhals averages 2.67 cards a game, 0.99 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.04
X
23%3.98
2
32%2.88
Double Chance
1X
68%1.35
X2
55%1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%1.26
No
31%3.44
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 1.49 = 3.08
Over 1.5
86%1.05
Over 2.5
70%1.26
Over 3.5
51%1.67
Under 1.5
14%7.70
Under 2.5
30%3.45
Under 3.5
49%2.10
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'A. MaticAssist: A. Hoven
8'K. KrasniqiAssist: S. Pingel
14'K. Krasniqi
24'F. P. Vilaseca ArdraaAssist: S. Pingel
45'E. Lereng
46'K. Krasniqi INK. Antonsen out
46'G. Valsvik INB. Sormo out
70'A. Heredia-Randen INA. Skistad out
70'M. Mehnert INE. Melkersen out
73'F. Riise INA. Aamodt out
74'A. Matic IND. Santos out
74'G. Vetti INO. Solnordal out
75'S. PingelAssist: E. Melkersen
84'A. Hoven INO. Veum out
85'F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa ING. Wikheim out
90'J. Hanstad
90+1'J. Hanstad INS. Olderheim out

Team Comparison

StabaekStabaek
StromsgodsetStromsgodset
1605Elo Rating 1647
2.14Attack 2.57
2.28Defense 1.75
86%Hit Rate 58%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.08 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

StabaekStabaek
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.8 in second half)
StromsgodsetStromsgodset
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

StabaekStabaek0Wins · 0%
Draws117%
StromsgodsetStromsgodset5Wins · 83%
2.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6

Previous meetings

1. Division05/04/2026
StromsgodsetStabaek
21
Eliteserien03/09/2023
StromsgodsetStabaek
21
Eliteserien03/07/2023
StabaekStromsgodset
01
Eliteserien29/09/2021
StabaekStromsgodset
00
NM Cupen22/09/2021
StromsgodsetStabaek
51
Eliteserien18/07/2021
StromsgodsetStabaek
21

Referee Profile

M. Kellerhals95 matches

2.67Cards per match
2.58Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
21.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

M. Kellerhals2.67
Other referees3.66

2.67 cards a match, 0.99 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.66).

Cards come from 12 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

1. Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1StromsgodsetStromsgodset30206482:36+4666WWLWW
2HaugesundHaugesund30212786:51+3565LWWLW
3KongsvingerKongsvinger30185784:50+3459LLLWL
4StabaekStabaek30184870:38+3258LWWWW
5ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb30147960:48+1249WDLLW
6BryneBryne301441246:42+446WWDLD
7RanheimRanheim301251374:72+241LWWWD
8EgersundEgersund301181150:57-741WWDDD
9StrommenStrommen301161352:62-1039WLWWW
10hoddhodd301161349:59-1039DLLWD
11LynLyn301041646:61-1534LWLWL
12Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF30961545:59-1433WDWLL
13MossMoss30951644:63-1932WLLLD
14SogndalSogndal30871548:63-1531DLWWD
15AsaneAsane30751842:68-2626LLWLL
16RaufossRaufoss30622231:80-4920LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1StromsgodsetStromsgodset3082:3666
2HaugesundHaugesund3086:5165
3KongsvingerKongsvinger3084:5059
4StabaekStabaek3070:3858
5ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3060:4849
6BryneBryne3046:4246
7RanheimRanheim3074:7241
8EgersundEgersund3050:5741
9StrommenStrommen3052:6239
10hoddhodd3049:5939
11LynLyn3046:6134
12Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3045:5933
13MossMoss3044:6332
14SogndalSogndal3048:6331
15AsaneAsane3042:6826
16RaufossRaufoss3031:8020
PromotionRelegation

About the Stabaek vs Stromsgodset forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Stabaek and Stromsgodset in the 1. Division table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Stromsgodset are 1st in the 1. Division, 8 points ahead of Stabaek in 4th. League goal record so far: Stabaek 70-38, Stromsgodset 82-36. The full standings are on the 1. Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Stabaek have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Stromsgodset have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.