Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction

UEFA Champions LeagueWorld World · Qualifying Round 2
Cup
Sturm Graz
4-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Heart Of Midlothian
Merkur Arena, Graz· Gergo Bogar, Hungary 21/07/2026
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
4-0
Finished
Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.63
SignalGOODModel44%RiskMediumGap+14.8%
Sturm Graz Rest
6 days
Heart Of Midlothian Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%1.74
X
20%3.75
2
40%4.30
Double Chance
1X
60%1.19
X2
61%2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.68
No
51%2.08
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.22 + 1.58 = 2.80
Over 1.5
77%1.22
Over 2.5
52%1.73
Over 3.5
32%2.77
Under 1.5
23%4.00
Under 2.5
48%2.05
Under 3.5
68%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 3.5 = 8.9
Over 8.5
54%1.48
Over 9.5
41%1.85
Over 10.5
30%2.30
Under 8.5
46%2.39
Under 9.5
59%1.87
Under 10.5
70%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 1.9 = 4.4
Over 3.5
66%1.33
Over 4.5
52%1.78
Under 3.5
34%2.85
Under 4.5
48%1.94

Match Events

4'J. Gorenc StankovicAssist: J. Mitchell
46'S. Seidl INO. Kiteishvili out
48'C. BorchgrevinkRoughing
50'J. MitchellAssist: O. Kiteishvili
53'L. WeinhandlAssist: S. Jatta
57'J. Gorenc Stankovic
59'J. HeilAssist: L. Weinhandl
59'A. Kyziridis INS. Guendouz out
59'P. Kabore INA. Ba-Sy out
59'C. Miller INS. Kerjota out
70'S. Wlodarczyk ING. Haider out
70'S. Jatta INN. Weiper out
70'J. Hodl INR. Fosso out
75'B. Spittal INT. Renaud out
79'E. Soglo INA. Malic out
84'O. McEntee INT. Magnusson out
87'C. BragaFoul

Lineups

Sturm Graz
4-4-2Coach: Fabio Ingolitsch
Heart Of Midlothian
4-2-3-1Coach: Wouter Vrancken
Daniil Khudyakov53D. KhudyakovDaniil Khudyakov
Jurgen Heil28J. HeilJurgen Heil
Albert Vallci5A. VallciAlbert Vallci
Jeyland Mitchell2J. MitchellJeyland Mitchell
Emran Soglo18E. SogloEmran Soglo
Simon Seidl19S. SeidlSimon Seidl
Jon Gorenc Stanković4J. Gorenc StankovićJon Gorenc Stanković
Luca Weinhandl39L. WeinhandlLuca Weinhandl
Jacob Hödl43J. HödlJacob Hödl
Szymon Włodarczyk17S. WłodarczykSzymon Włodarczyk
Seedy Jatta20S. JattaSeedy Jatta
Alexander Schwolow1A. SchwolowAlexander Schwolow
Christian Borchgrevink2C. BorchgrevinkChristian Borchgrevink
Malachi Fagan-Walcott64M. Fagan-WalcottMalachi Fagan-Walcott
Jamie McCart5J. McCartJamie McCart
Harry Milne18H. MilneHarry Milne
Blair Spittal16B. SpittalBlair Spittal
Oisin McEntee6O. McEnteeOisin McEntee
Calvin Miller7C. MillerCalvin Miller
Cláudio Braga10C. BragaCláudio Braga
Alexandros Kyziridis89A. KyziridisAlexandros Kyziridis
Pierre Landry Kaboré11P. Landry KaboréPierre Landry Kaboré

Sturm Graz Substitutes

22Ammar HelacG
41Elias LorenzG
21Petar PetrovićD
23Arjan MalićD
30Paul KollerD
27Gabriel HaiderD
10Otar KiteishviliM
15Gizo MamageishviliM
80Ryan FossoM
11Axel KayomboF
26Belmin BeganovićF
44Nelson WeiperF

Heart Of Midlothian Substitutes

28Zander ClarkG
30Ryan FultonG
3Stephen KingsleyD
17Stuart FindlayD
23Jordi AltenaD
12Tom RenaudM
22Tomas MagnussonM
19Severin Sabri GuendouzF
21James WilsonF
29Sabah KerjotaF
77Amadou Ba-SyF

Match Stats

Sturm GrazHeart Of Midlothian
34%Ball Possession66%
4Corner Kicks11
1Yellow Cards2
20Total Shots19
6Shots on Goal6
9Shots off Goal8
16Shots Inside Box11
4Shots Outside Box8
5Blocked Shots5
18Fouls13
0Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves2
220Total Passes429
145Passes Accurate343
66%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

Sturm GrazSturm Graz
Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian
1724Elo Rating 1731
1.96Attack 2.32
1.75Defense 2.27
64%Hit Rate 86%
14.4Shots per Game 17.6
4.7Shots on Target 6.5
5.5Corners per Game 9.5
2.3Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Sturm GrazSturm Graz
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Recent Form

Sturm GrazSturm Graz
3W1D1L
15/07/2026
Sturm GrazPogon Szczecin
10
W
11/07/2026
Sturm GrazSanfrecce Hiroshima
41
W
08/07/2026
Sturm GrazKalsdorf
41
W
03/07/2026
Sturm GrazFK Košice
22
D
30/06/2026
Sturm GrazLNZ Cherkasy
26
L
Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian
2W1D2L
17/07/2026
Heart Of MidlothianRayo Vallecano
21
W
10/07/2026
LivingstonHeart Of Midlothian
21
L
16/05/2026
CelticHeart Of Midlothian
31
L
13/05/2026
Heart Of MidlothianFalkirk
30
W
09/05/2026
MotherwellHeart Of Midlothian
11
D

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
Mjallby AIF
Seeded
Slovan Bratislava
Seeded
Aarhus
Seeded
Lech Poznan
Seeded
FC Thun
Seeded
Dinamo Zagreb
Seeded
Fenerbahçe
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Sturm Graz
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Seeded
FK Crvena Zvezda
Seeded
Omonia Nicosia
Seeded
Celje
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
AEK Athens FC
Seeded
Viking
Seeded
Celtic
Seeded
Lask Linz
Seeded
Sparta Praha
Seeded
Lyon
Seeded
Union St. Gilloise
Seeded
Bodo/Glimt
Seeded
Olympiakos Piraeus
Seeded
NEC Nijmegen
Seeded

Sturm Graz vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction

As a knockout-stage UEFA Champions League fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Champions League

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Key Factors for This Match

Heart Of Midlothian have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Sturm Graz and Heart Of Midlothian have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.