Sutton Utd vs Hartlepool Prediction

Sutton Utd
2-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Hartlepool
VBS Community Stadium, London 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.42
SignalSOLIDModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-1.5%
Sutton Utd Rest
3 days
Hartlepool Rest
6 days

Sutton Utd vs Hartlepool: result, form and history

Sutton Utd beat Hartlepool 2-1 in the National League on 22 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Sutton Utd had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for Hartlepool.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.1 goals, and both sides scored in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%2.33
X
20%3.58
2
28%2.63
Double Chance
1X
72%1.42
X2
48%1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.56
No
56%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.21
Over 2.5
39%1.67
Over 3.5
19%2.67
Under 1.5
36%3.95
Under 2.5
61%2.07
Under 3.5
81%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'T. BabalolaAssist: D. Urpens
27'E. OsadebeAssist: D. Urpens
34'C. McKeownAssist: C. John
54'B. Ilunga INJ. Hugill out
54'J. Hunter INT. Bondo out
62'D. Ogbonna INN. Nzuzi out
62'C. Bell INS. Folarin out
63'J. Taylor
66'S. Folarin
67'N. Sheron
73'C. McKeown INC. Popov out
79'R. McNally INL. Gibson out
82'C. John
89'J. Hugill

Team Comparison

Sutton UtdSutton Utd
HartlepoolHartlepool
1489Elo Rating 1411
1.46Attack 1.46
1.70Defense 0.96
63%Hit Rate 37%
7.0Shots per Game 18.0
1.0Shots on Target 5.0
7.0Corners per Game 6.0
1.0Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Sutton UtdSutton Utd
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
HartlepoolHartlepool
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sutton UtdSutton Utd4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
HartlepoolHartlepool3Wins · 30%
3.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

National League03/03/2026
HartlepoolSutton Utd
02
National League18/10/2025
Sutton UtdHartlepool
33
National League08/02/2025
Sutton UtdHartlepool
12
National League05/10/2024
HartlepoolSutton Utd
43
League Two11/02/2023
HartlepoolSutton Utd
22
League Two17/09/2022
Sutton UtdHartlepool
20
League Two19/02/2022
HartlepoolSutton Utd
11
League Two14/09/2021
Sutton UtdHartlepool
10
National League23/05/2021
Sutton UtdHartlepool
30
National League30/01/2021
HartlepoolSutton Utd
10

Recent Form

Sutton UtdSutton Utd
7W2D1L
18/08/2026
Sutton UtdLeicester City U21
3010
W
15/08/2026
Sutton UtdAltrincham
10
W
08/08/2026
WokingSutton Utd
03
W
01/08/2026
Sutton UtdSouthampton U21
32
W
28/07/2026
Sutton UtdFolkestone Invicta
21
W
25/07/2026
Sutton UtdHorsham
20
W
21/07/2026
Sutton UtdWalton & Hersham
11
D
18/07/2026
Sutton UtdAFC Wimbledon
12
L
14/07/2026
Tonbridge AngelsSutton Utd
02
W
11/07/2026
AFC TottonSutton Utd
22
D
HartlepoolHartlepool
7W0D3L
15/08/2026
Aldershot TownHartlepool
01
W
11/08/2026
HartlepoolMiddlesbrough U21
010
L
08/08/2026
HartlepoolBarrow
20
W
01/08/2026
HartlepoolFleetwood Town
10
W
25/07/2026
HartlepoolGrimsby
03
L
21/07/2026
Hebburn TownHartlepool
23
W
18/07/2026
Spennymoor TownHartlepool
12
W
14/07/2026
Redcar AthleticHartlepool
24
W
25/04/2026
Boston UnitedHartlepool
31
L
21/04/2026
HartlepoolSouthend
43
W

League Table

National League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Boreham WoodBoreham Wood15132040:14+2641WWWWW
2Harrogate TownHarrogate Town16102434:23+1132DLWWW
3SouthendSouthend1585236:24+1229DDWWD
4AFC FyldeAFC Fylde1692530:24+629WWLWL
5Yeovil TownYeovil Town1684435:20+1528LWLWW
6WorthingWorthing1584332:22+1028DWWWD
7AltrinchamAltrincham1591522:20+228DWWLW
8FC Halifax TownFC Halifax Town1673628:20+824WLDWW
9BarrowBarrow1473425:18+724DWWWW
10CarlisleCarlisle1565428:21+723WWDWW
11Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers1556416:14+221DLDDL
12Sutton UtdSutton Utd1563617:21-421WLLDL
13AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch1670918:26-821LLLWL
14Forest GreenForest Green1454523:24-119WDLDD
15WokingWoking1553724:24018LWLWL
16Aldershot TownAldershot Town1553718:19-118LLLLL
17EastleighEastleigh1553718:24-618LWLLD
18TamworthTamworth1452725:31-617WLWWL
19WealdstoneWealdstone1543820:27-715LWLLD
20HartlepoolHartlepool15501015:23-815LWWLL
21Boston UnitedBoston United1543819:28-915WLLLD
22ScunthorpeScunthorpe14311018:28-1010LLLLW
23Solihull MoorsSolihull Moors15311117:39-2210WLLLW
24GatesheadGateshead1411129:33-244LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Boreham WoodBoreham Wood1540:1441
2Harrogate TownHarrogate Town1634:2332
3SouthendSouthend1536:2429
4AFC FyldeAFC Fylde1630:2429
5Yeovil TownYeovil Town1635:2028
6WorthingWorthing1532:2228
7AltrinchamAltrincham1522:2028
8FC Halifax TownFC Halifax Town1628:2024
9BarrowBarrow1425:1824
10CarlisleCarlisle1528:2123
11Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster Harriers1516:1421
12Sutton UtdSutton Utd1517:2121
13AFC HornchurchAFC Hornchurch1618:2621
14Forest GreenForest Green1423:2419
15WokingWoking1524:2418
16Aldershot TownAldershot Town1518:1918
17EastleighEastleigh1518:2418
18TamworthTamworth1425:3117
19WealdstoneWealdstone1520:2715
20HartlepoolHartlepool1515:2315
21Boston UnitedBoston United1519:2815
22ScunthorpeScunthorpe1418:2810
23Solihull MoorsSolihull Moors1517:3910
24GatesheadGateshead149:334
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About the Sutton Utd vs Hartlepool forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sutton Utd and Hartlepool in the National League table

In the National League table, Sutton Utd are 12th and Hartlepool 20th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Sutton Utd 17-21, Hartlepool 15-23. The full standings are on the National League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sutton Utd have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.