Carlisle vs Southend Prediction
England · Regular Season - 7
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Carlisle vs Southend: the result in context
Carlisle and Southend drew 2-2 in the National League on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Carlisle have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game. Carlisle tend to win more corners, 11.0 a game to 9.0 for Southend.
Match Forecasts
Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match
Goal forecasts not available for this match
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Team Comparison
Carlisle
SouthendAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Carlisle- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.8 in first half)
Southend- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.6 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Carlisle3Wins · 75%0Wins · 0%Previous meetings
07/03/2026CarlisleSouthend08/11/2025SouthendCarlisle
03/04/2021SouthendCarlisle19/09/2020CarlisleSouthendRecent Form
Carlisle
Boreham WoodCarlisleCarlisle
Scunthorpe
WealdstoneCarlisleCarlisle
AFC Hornchurch
Yeovil TownCarlisleCarlisle
Worthing
Derby County U21CarlisleCarlisle
Salford City
Darlington 1883CarlisleCarlisleBoreham WoodSouthendSouthendYeovil Town
WokingSouthendSouthend
Kidderminster Harriers
Solihull MoorsSouthendSouthendScunthorpe
AltrinchamSouthendSouthend
AveleySouthend
Leyton OrientSouthend
NorthamptonSouthend
West HamLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44:17 | +27 | 44 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Harrogate Town | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34:23 | +11 | 32 | DLWWW |
| 3 | Southend | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 38:27 | +11 | 29 | LDDWW |
| 4 |  AFC Fylde | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30:24 | +6 | 29 | WWLWL |
| 5 | Yeovil Town | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 35:20 | +15 | 28 | LWLWW |
| 6 | Worthing | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32:25 | +7 | 28 | LDWWW |
| 7 | Altrincham | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 28 | LDWWL |
| 8 | Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32:23 | +9 | 26 | WWWDW |
| 9 |  Barrow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | +7 | 25 | WDWWW |
| 10 |  FC Halifax Town | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28:20 | +8 | 24 | WLDWW |
| 11 |  Sutton Utd | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | WWLLD |
| 12 | Woking | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25:24 | +1 | 21 | WLWLW |
| 13 | Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:16 | +1 | 21 | LDLDD |
| 14 |  Aldershot Town | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:19 | 0 | 21 | WLLLL |
| 15 | AFC Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 18:26 | -8 | 21 | LLLWL |
| 16 |  Forest Green | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:24 | -1 | 19 | WDLDD |
| 17 |  Eastleigh | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:25 | -6 | 19 | DLWLL |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23:29 | -6 | 18 | WLWLL |
| 19 |  Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 | WWLLL |
| 20 |  Tamworth | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25:32 | -7 | 17 | LWLWW |
| 21 |  Hartlepool | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 18:27 | -9 | 15 | LLWWL |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 19:40 | -21 | 13 | WWLLL |
| 23 | Scunthorpe | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 19:30 | -11 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 24 |  Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9:34 | -25 | 4 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 16 | 44:17 | 44 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 16 | 34:23 | 32 |
| 3 | Southend | 16 | 38:27 | 29 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 16 | 30:24 | 29 |
| 5 | Yeovil Town | 16 | 35:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Worthing | 16 | 32:25 | 28 |
| 7 | Altrincham | 16 | 24:24 | 28 |
| 8 | Carlisle | 16 | 32:23 | 26 |
| 9 | Barrow | 15 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 10 | FC Halifax Town | 16 | 28:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Sutton Utd | 16 | 20:21 | 24 |
| 12 | Woking | 16 | 25:24 | 21 |
| 13 | Kidderminster Harriers | 16 | 17:16 | 21 |
| 14 | Aldershot Town | 16 | 19:19 | 21 |
| 15 | AFC Hornchurch | 16 | 18:26 | 21 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 14 | 23:24 | 19 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 16 | 19:25 | 19 |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 16 | 23:29 | 18 |
| 19 | Boston United | 16 | 21:29 | 18 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 15 | 25:32 | 17 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 16 | 18:27 | 15 |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 16 | 19:40 | 13 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe | 15 | 19:30 | 10 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 15 | 9:34 | 4 |
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About the Carlisle vs Southend forecast
The forecasts for this National League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Carlisle and Southend in the National League table
In the National League table, Southend are 3rd and Carlisle 8th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Carlisle 32-23, Southend 38-27. The full standings are on the National League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.