SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

Waldstadion Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg· Robert Hartmann, Germany 29/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.54
SignalGOODModel53%RiskMediumGap+12.6%
SV Elversberg Rest
7 days
Bayer Leverkusen Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
25%5.00
X
21%4.42
2
54%1.60
Double Chance
1X
47%2.30
X2
75%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.50
No
43%2.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 1.55 = 2.83
Over 1.5
79%1.14
Over 2.5
57%1.47
Over 3.5
36%2.15
Under 1.5
21%5.65
Under 2.5
43%2.65
Under 3.5
64%1.70
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.2 + 4.3 = 8.5
Over 8.5
58%1.50
Over 9.5
41%1.84
Over 10.5
27%2.32
Under 8.5
42%2.42
Under 9.5
59%1.88
Under 10.5
73%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.5
57%1.83
Over 4.5
35%2.54
Under 3.5
43%1.86
Under 4.5
65%1.46

Match Events

8'Lukas PetkovAssist: Francis Onyeka
9'Cole Campbell
29'Maximilian RohrFoul
41'Cole CampbellFoul
46'David MokwaAssist: Lukas Petkov
53'Ibrahim MazaFoul
55'Loic Bade INJarell Quansah out
55'Ignacio Ezequiel Agustín Fernández Carballo INFacundo Medina out
55'Lucas Vázquez INChristian Kofane out
65'Francis Onyeka INNoah Darvich out
65'Cole Campbell INMaurice Krattenmacher out
65'Malik Tillman INJonas Hofmann out
75'David Mokwa INLuca Schnellbacher out
75'Jan Gyamerah INLuca Sirch out
77'Patrik SchickAssist: Ibrahim Maza
78'Facundo MedinaFoul
82'Maximilian Rohr INFlorian Le Joncour out
85'Afonso Moreira INVictor Okoh Boniface out
89'Nicolas KristofTime wasting
90+1'Christian Kofane

Lineups

SV Elversberg
4-2-3-1Coach: Vincent Wagner
Bayer Leverkusen
4-2-3-1Coach: Carles Martínez
N. Kristof20N. KristofN. Kristof
J. Gyamerah30J. GyamerahJ. Gyamerah
L. Pinckert19L. PinckertL. Pinckert
M. Rohr31M. RohrM. Rohr
L. Günther21L. GüntherL. Günther
F. Keidel43F. KeidelF. Keidel
Ł. Poręba8Ł. PorębaŁ. Poręba
L. Petkov25L. PetkovL. Petkov
Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka40F. OnyekaFrancis-Ikechukwu Onyeka
William Cole Campbell39W. Cole CampbellWilliam Cole Campbell
D. Mokwa42D. MokwaD. Mokwa
M. Flekken1M. FlekkenM. Flekken
Lucas Vázquez17L. VázquezLucas Vázquez
L. Badé5L. BadéL. Badé
E. Tapsoba12E. TapsobaE. Tapsoba
Miguel Gutiérrez3M. GutiérrezMiguel Gutiérrez
E. Fernández6E. FernándezE. Fernández
Aleix García24A. GarcíaAleix García
I. Maza30I. MazaI. Maza
M. Tillman10M. TillmanM. Tillman
Afonso Moreira9A. MoreiraAfonso Moreira
P. Schick14P. SchickP. Schick

SV Elversberg Substitutes

28T. BossG
6A. CondéM
10Noah DarvichM
9N. FutkeuF
7M. KrattenmacherM
3F. Le JoncourD
2N. MickelsonD
24L. SchnellbacherM
26L. SirchD

Bayer Leverkusen Substitutes

35Christian KofaneF
2F. MedinaD
4J. QuansahD
7J. HofmannM
22V. BonifaceF
28J. BlaswichG
44J. BelocianD
13ArthurD
8R. AndrichM

Match Stats

SV ElversbergBayer Leverkusen
33%Ball Possession67%
4Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots21
6Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal13
8Shots Inside Box13
3Shots Outside Box8
2Blocked Shots4
18Fouls15
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
293Total Passes582
212Passes Accurate511
72%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

SV ElversbergSV Elversberg
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
1743Elo Rating 1861
2.69Attack 2.67
1.22Defense 2.04
73%Hit Rate 61%
10.1Shots per Game 21.5
4.9Shots on Target 7.0
3.8Corners per Game 7.9
1.5Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend46% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

SV ElversbergSV Elversberg
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 2 historical meetings

SV Elversberg 46%Draw 0%54% Bayer Leverkusen
4.84Avg Goals
46%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

Recent Form

SV ElversbergSV Elversberg
4W1D0L
22/08/2026
MSV DuisburgSV Elversberg
13
W
15/08/2026
SV ElversbergLorient
41
W
08/08/2026
MallorcaSV Elversberg
11
D
04/08/2026
StrasbourgSV Elversberg
25
W
25/07/2026
NEC NijmegenSV Elversberg
01
W
Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
4W0D1L
22/08/2026
SV WehenBayer Leverkusen
04
W
15/08/2026
NewcastleBayer Leverkusen
12
W
12/08/2026
Nottingham ForestBayer Leverkusen
21
L
08/08/2026
Bayer LeverkusenSevilla
21
W
01/08/2026
Bayer LeverkusenRot-Weiß Essen
30
W

Referee Profile

Robert Hartmann, Germany · 14 matches analysed

3.9Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
23.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 25% of referees analysed

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund44009:2+712WWWW
2Bayern MünchenBayern München431014:2+1210WWDW
3SC FreiburgSC Freiburg431012:3+910DWWW
4FC AugsburgFC Augsburg421111:6+57LDWW
5Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen421110:5+57WDWL
6FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 05421110:6+47WLWD
7SV ElversbergSV Elversberg42118:7+17DLWW
8Werder BremenWerder Bremen42118:807WDWL
9RB LeipzigRB Leipzig42029:5+46LWLW
10Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt41219:10-15DWLD
11FC Schalke 04FC Schalke 0441213:4-15DWDL
12SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0741123:5-24WLLD
131. FC Köln1. FC Köln41126:9-34LDLW
141899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim41037:10-33LWLL
15VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart41036:9-33LLWL
16Hamburger SVHamburger SV41032:13-113WLLL
17Union BerlinUnion Berlin40134:17-131LLLD
18Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach40046:16-100LLLL
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Bundesliga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

SV Elversberg have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Bayer Leverkusen have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. SV Elversberg and Bayer Leverkusen have met 2 times recently, averaging 4.84 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.