Tacuary vs Independiente F.b.c. Prediction

Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni 21/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.24
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-8.1%
Tacuary Rest
11 days
Independiente F.b.c. Rest
10 days

Tacuary vs Independiente F.b.c.: the result in context

Tacuary beat Independiente F.b.c. 3-2 in the Division Intermedia on 20 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Independiente F.b.c. had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Tacuary.

Tacuary have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%3.50
X
25%3.14
2
48%1.95
Double Chance
1X
52%1.74
X2
73%1.24
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.85
No
46%1.79
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.73 = 3.00
Over 1.5
74%1.33
Over 2.5
52%2.06
Over 3.5
31%3.58
Under 1.5
26%2.83
Under 2.5
48%1.64
Under 3.5
69%1.21
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

13'G. Oviedo
29'P. Arce
51'P. Arce
76'A. Valdez
89'F. Morel

Team Comparison

TacuaryTacuary
Independiente F.b.c.Independiente F.b.c.
1381Elo Rating 1477
1.99Attack 2.09
0.79Defense 0.89
44%Hit Rate 36%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

TacuaryTacuary
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Independiente F.b.c.Independiente F.b.c.
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.9 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

TacuaryTacuary3Wins · 60%
Draws120%
Independiente F.b.c.Independiente F.b.c.1Wins · 20%
2.4Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Division Intermedia13/07/2026
Independiente F.b.c.Tacuary
22
Division Intermedia20/08/2025
TacuaryIndependiente F.b.c.
10
Division Intermedia14/05/2025
Independiente F.b.c.Tacuary
01
Division Intermedia17/09/2021
Independiente F.b.c.Tacuary
02
Division Intermedia13/06/2021
TacuaryIndependiente F.b.c.
13

Recent Form

TacuaryTacuary
1W3D6L
09/10/2026
TacuaryParaguari AC
24
L
03/10/2026
Atlético TembetaryTacuary
32
L
26/09/2026
TacuaryBenjamín Aceval
21
W
20/09/2026
Sportivo CarapeguáTacuary
00
D
16/09/2026
Tacuary12 de Junio VH
12
L
09/09/2026
EncarnaciónTacuary
11
D
05/09/2026
TacuaryDeportivo Santani
03
L
29/08/2026
Fernando De La MoraTacuary
11
D
23/08/2026
Tacuary3 de Noviembre
01
L
20/08/2026
TacuaryLibertad Asuncion
3040
L
Independiente F.b.c.Independiente F.b.c.
6W2D2L

League Table

Division Intermedia 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Deportivo SantaniDeportivo Santani30193852:28+2460WWLWW
2General CaballeroGeneral Caballero30176758:37+2157DLWWL
312 de Junio VH12 de Junio VH301510539:28+1155DWDDD
4Paraguari ACParaguari AC301451145:38+747WWWWL
5SOL DE AmericaSOL DE America301015537:30+745DWLDW
6Independiente F.b.c.Independiente F.b.c.301110946:41+543LLWWL
7Sportivo CarapeguáSportivo Carapeguá301271137:43-643DLWDW
8ResistenciaResistencia301191039:36+342WWDWL
9Benjamín AcevalBenjamín Aceval301261245:44+142LLLLL
10Deportivo CapiataDeportivo Capiata309111039:39038WWWDD
11Atlético TembetaryAtlético Tembetary301071341:48-737DLLWW
12Fernando De La MoraFernando De La Mora30971433:45-1234LLLLW
133 de Noviembre3 de Noviembre30791438:46-830DLWLW
14Guairena FCGuairena FC30781523:38-1529DLWLL
15TacuaryTacuary305121335:52-1727LWLLW
16EncarnaciónEncarnación30751830:44-1426DWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Deportivo SantaniDeportivo Santani3052:2860
2General CaballeroGeneral Caballero3058:3757
312 de Junio VH12 de Junio VH3039:2855
4Paraguari ACParaguari AC3045:3847
5SOL DE AmericaSOL DE America3037:3045
6Independiente F.b.c.Independiente F.b.c.3046:4143
7Sportivo CarapeguáSportivo Carapeguá3037:4343
8ResistenciaResistencia3039:3642
9Benjamín AcevalBenjamín Aceval3045:4442
10Deportivo CapiataDeportivo Capiata3039:3938
11Atlético TembetaryAtlético Tembetary3041:4837
12Fernando De La MoraFernando De La Mora3033:4534
133 de Noviembre3 de Noviembre3038:4630
14Guairena FCGuairena FC3023:3829
15TacuaryTacuary3035:5227
16EncarnaciónEncarnación3030:4426

About the Tacuary vs Independiente F.b.c. forecast

The forecasts for this Division Intermedia match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tacuary and Independiente F.b.c. in the Division Intermedia table

In the Division Intermedia table, Independiente F.b.c. are 6th and Tacuary 15th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Tacuary 35-52, Independiente F.b.c. 46-41. The full standings are on the Division Intermedia Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.