The Strongest vs Universitario de Vinto Prediction

Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.85
SignalNEUTRALModel55%SurpriseHighGap+5.8%
The Strongest Rest
2 days
Universitario de Vinto Rest
3 days

The Strongest vs Universitario de Vinto: the result in context

The Strongest beat Universitario de Vinto 4-3 in the Primera División on 21 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: The Strongest had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Universitario de Vinto.

The Strongest have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game. Universitario de Vinto tend to win more corners, 9.7 a game to 3.1 for The Strongest.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
78%1.16
X
14%7.00
2
8%13.00
Double Chance
1X
92%1.03
X2
22%4.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.85
No
47%1.81
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.48 + 0.84 = 3.32
Over 1.5
84%1.06
Over 2.5
66%1.33
Over 3.5
44%1.85
Under 1.5
16%6.85
Under 2.5
34%2.97
Under 3.5
56%1.85
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'P. AlcocerOG
15'J. CalichoFoul
29'M. Chiatti
32'A. Jara
41'Esdras MendozaFoul
45'A. Jara
46'F. Quaglio INY. Portuncho out
46'V. Cuellar INR. Castro out
46'P. Pedraza INK. Romay out
50'M. Chiatti
54'A. EstacioFoul
58'B. PovedaUnsportsmanlike conduct
58'D. A. Camacho Almanza INH. Rodriguez out
58'M. Gomez INF. Pasadore out
65'M. ChiattiUnsportsmanlike conduct
66'H. Rodriguez
70'O. Blanco INR. Llano out
71'W. Saucedo INK. F. Salvatierra Flores out
71'R. Ribera INSaavedra out
78'J. Calicho INJ. Veizaga out
78'Esdras Mendoza INM. Cuadiay Fernandez out
85'K. F. Salvatierra FloresAssist: Saavedra
90+4'J. ArrascaitaUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

The Strongest
Coach: Carlos Paz Garcia Juan
Universitario de Vinto
Coach: Walter Flores

The Strongest Starting XI

1L. Banegas
22W. Saucedo71'replaced by K. F. Salvatierra Flores
4M. Chiatti29'50'65'
5A. Jusino
3P. Pedraza46'replaced by K. Romay
21F. Quaglio46'replaced by Y. Portuncho
17A. Estacio54'
30J. Arrascaita90+4'
16V. Cuellar46'replaced by R. Castro
36R. Ribera71'replaced by Saavedra
9C. Ventura

Universitario de Vinto Starting XI

12J. Careaga
76Esdras Mendoza41'78'replaced by M. Cuadiay Fernandez
5P. Alcocer7'
34A. Jara32'45'
70J. Lazarte
17D. Torrico
6M. Gomez58'replaced by F. Pasadore
21G. Cuellar
8D. A. Camacho Almanza58'replaced by H. Rodriguez
22J. Calicho15'78'replaced by J. Veizaga
79O. Blanco70'replaced by R. Llano

The Strongest Substitutes

12D. Valdivia
19C. Roca
29Y. Portuncho46'for F. Quaglio
24K. Adin Chacon Arrascayta
10R. Castro46'for V. Cuellar
15S. Arce
6J. Welch
8K. F. Salvatierra Flores71'for W. Saucedo85'
31J. Cuellar
27Saavedra71'for R. Ribera
7K. Romay46'for P. Pedraza
26G. Sotomayor

Universitario de Vinto Substitutes

1B. Poveda58'
24H. Rodriguez58'for D. A. Camacho Almanza66'
27B. Calderon
19J. Veizaga78'for J. Calicho
28Jose Pinto
50D. Vargas
30M. Cuadiay Fernandez78'for Esdras Mendoza
9R. Llano70'for O. Blanco
26S. Mendoza
32F. Pasadore58'for M. Gomez
90D. Saavedra

Team Comparison

The StrongestThe Strongest
Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto
1589Elo Rating 1370
1.60Attack 1.52
1.69Defense 0.68
37%Hit Rate 41%
12.0Shots per Game 19.1
4.5Shots on Target 5.8
3.1Corners per Game 9.7
3.5Cards per Game 5.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+219 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.31 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

The StrongestThe Strongest
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

The StrongestThe Strongest7Wins · 70%
Draws110%
Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto2Wins · 20%
2.9Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División05/04/2026
Universitario de VintoThe Strongest
12
Primera División04/12/2025
Universitario de VintoThe Strongest
01
Primera División30/06/2025
The StrongestUniversitario de Vinto
32
Torneo Amistoso de Verano20/02/2025
Universitario de VintoThe Strongest
30
Torneo Amistoso de Verano15/02/2025
The StrongestUniversitario de Vinto
11
Primera División26/10/2024
Universitario de VintoThe Strongest
24
Primera División14/07/2024
The StrongestUniversitario de Vinto
10
Primera División28/04/2024
The StrongestUniversitario de Vinto
8192
Primera División20/04/2024
Universitario de VintoThe Strongest
01
Primera División10/07/2023
Universitario de VintoThe Strongest
13

Recent Form

The StrongestThe Strongest
4W4D2L
19/08/2026
The StrongestOriente Petrolero
21
W
15/08/2026
GuabiráThe Strongest
31
L
08/08/2026
The StrongestIndependiente Petrolero
12
L
06/08/2026
Nacional PotosíThe Strongest
23
W
31/07/2026
The StrongestAurora
11
D
26/07/2026
BloomingThe Strongest
11
D
19/07/2026
Gualberto Villarroel SJThe Strongest
00
D
16/07/2026
The StrongestOriente Petrolero
21
W
14/05/2026
Always ReadyThe Strongest
01
W
10/05/2026
The StrongestReal Potosí
00
D
Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto
1W1D8L
19/08/2026
GuabiráUniversitario de Vinto
21
L
14/08/2026
Universitario de VintoReal Tomayapo
01
L
10/08/2026
Oriente PetroleroUniversitario de Vinto
50
L
06/08/2026
Universitario de VintoReal Potosí
02
L
31/07/2026
Universitario de VintoGuabirá
11
D
27/07/2026
Gualberto Villarroel SJUniversitario de Vinto
21
L
18/07/2026
Always ReadyUniversitario de Vinto
40
L
09/07/2026
Real OruroUniversitario de Vinto
41
L
02/06/2026
Universitario de VintoAurora
12
L
16/05/2026
Universitario de VintoBolívar
32
W

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BolívarBolívar22163356:22+3451WWWWW
2Always ReadyAlways Ready22146250:15+3548LWWWW
3The StrongestThe Strongest22136341:24+1745WLWWW
4Real PotosíReal Potosí23108530:16+1438LWWWW
5Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero22104838:28+1034DWWLL
6AuroraAurora22710533:30+331LDLWW
7GuabiráGuabirá2286834:44-1030DLWLD
8Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero23851031:39-829WDLLL
9BloomingBlooming23610731:25+628LDLDW
10Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí22841032:31+128LDLWW
11Real OruroReal Oruro22831136:51-1527WWLLW
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo23731324:43-1924WLDWL
13Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto22631329:43-1421WLDWL
14Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ23481127:40-1320WLWLL
15ABBABB23621533:51-1820LLLLL
16Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo22551216:39-2320WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BolívarBolívar2256:2251
2Always ReadyAlways Ready2250:1548
3The StrongestThe Strongest2241:2445
4Real PotosíReal Potosí2330:1638
5Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero2238:2834
6AuroraAurora2233:3031
7GuabiráGuabirá2234:4430
8Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero2331:3929
9BloomingBlooming2331:2528
10Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí2232:3128
11Real OruroReal Oruro2236:5127
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2324:4324
13Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto2229:4321
14Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ2327:4020
15ABBABB2333:5120
16Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo2216:3920

About the The Strongest vs Universitario de Vinto forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

The Strongest and Universitario de Vinto in the Primera División table

The table shows a wide gap: The Strongest are 3rd in the Primera División, while Universitario de Vinto sit 13th, 24 points behind. League goal record so far: The Strongest 41-24, Universitario de Vinto 29-43. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.