Toledo vs Marchamalo Prediction

Toledo
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Marchamalo
08/11/2026
ToledoToledo
2-0
Finished
MarchamaloMarchamalo

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.26
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-8.4%
Value Analysis
80%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.26
SignalSTRONGModel80%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Toledo Rest
7 days
Marchamalo Rest
7 days

Toledo vs Marchamalo: the result in context

Toledo beat Marchamalo 2-0 in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 on 8 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Toledo had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Marchamalo.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
70%1.26
X
19%4.90
2
11%9.80
Double Chance
1X
89%1.05
X2
30%3.31
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'
90+6'

Team Comparison

ToledoToledo
MarchamaloMarchamalo
1552Elo Rating 1483
2.05Attack 1.68
1.96Defense 0.73
81%Hit Rate 19%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

ToledoToledo
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
MarchamaloMarchamalo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

ToledoToledo2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
MarchamaloMarchamalo0Wins · 0%
3.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Segunda División RFEF - Group 520/02/2022
MarchamaloToledo
02
Segunda División RFEF - Group 503/10/2021
ToledoMarchamalo
32

Recent Form

ToledoToledo
6W1D3L
31/10/2026
San ClementeToledo
23
W
25/10/2026
ToledoAlmansa
20
W
17/10/2026
ManchegoToledo
10
L
11/10/2026
ToledoHuracán Balazote
31
W
03/10/2026
VillacañasToledo
12
W
27/09/2026
ToledoLa Solana
40
W
19/09/2026
NoblejasToledo
21
L
12/09/2026
ToledoVillarrubia
11
D
06/09/2026
Quintanar del ReyToledo
24
W
24/05/2026
ToledoAlbacete II
01
L
MarchamaloMarchamalo
4W3D3L
31/10/2026
MarchamaloQuintanar del Rey
33
D
25/10/2026
San ClementeMarchamalo
31
L
17/10/2026
MarchamaloSocuéllamos
10
W
10/10/2026
AlmansaMarchamalo
31
L
03/10/2026
MarchamaloTarancón
22
D
27/09/2026
ManchegoMarchamalo
32
L
20/09/2026
MarchamaloGuadalajara II
22
D
13/09/2026
Huracán BalazoteMarchamalo
02
W
05/09/2026
MarchamaloCD Villa
20
W
30/08/2026
MarchamaloUnión Adarve
20
W

League Table

Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ManchegoManchego1080218:8+1024WWLWL
2ToledoToledo1071222:10+1222WWWLW
3VillacañasVillacañas1053219:10+918DWWWD
4CD VillaCD Villa1060415:13+218WLWLW
5VillarrobledoVillarrobledo1045111:5+617LDWDD
6IllescasIllescas1052313:12+117WLLLW
7TarancónTarancón1043316:13+315LDDWW
8San ClementeSan Clemente1043318:17+115WLWDW
9NoblejasNoblejas1042416:17-114LDWWL
10TorrijosTorrijos1042411:12-114LLLLW
11VillarrubiaVillarrubia1034312:13-113WWDWL
12AlmansaAlmansa1033413:11+212LDLDW
13MarchamaloMarchamalo1033416:18-212LDLWL
14La SolanaLa Solana104069:11-212WWLWL
15SocuéllamosSocuéllamos102447:9-210WLWLL
16Huracán BalazoteHuracán Balazote102179:23-147LWWDL
17Quintanar del ReyQuintanar del Rey1013612:20-86LDLLW
18Guadalajara IIGuadalajara II100379:24-153DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ManchegoManchego1018:824
2ToledoToledo1022:1022
3VillacañasVillacañas1019:1018
4CD VillaCD Villa1015:1318
5VillarrobledoVillarrobledo1011:517
6IllescasIllescas1013:1217
7TarancónTarancón1016:1315
8San ClementeSan Clemente1018:1715
9NoblejasNoblejas1016:1714
10TorrijosTorrijos1011:1214
11VillarrubiaVillarrubia1012:1313
12AlmansaAlmansa1013:1112
13MarchamaloMarchamalo1016:1812
14La SolanaLa Solana109:1112
15SocuéllamosSocuéllamos107:910
16Huracán BalazoteHuracán Balazote109:237
17Quintanar del ReyQuintanar del Rey1012:206
18Guadalajara IIGuadalajara II109:243
PromotionRelegation

About the Toledo vs Marchamalo forecast

The forecasts for this Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Toledo and Marchamalo in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 table

In the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 table, Toledo are 2nd and Marchamalo 13th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Toledo 22-10, Marchamalo 16-18. The full standings are on the Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Toledo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Toledo and Marchamalo have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.