U. Catolica vs Universidad de Concepcion Prediction

Claro Arena, Santiago de Chile· H. Jona 14/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.47
SignalGOODModel95%RiskMediumGap-2.7%
Value Analysis
55%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
2.10
SignalSTRONGModel90%RiskMediumGap+10.5%
U. Catolica Rest
7 days
Universidad de Concepcion Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
65%1.47
X
17%4.30
2
18%6.00
Double Chance
1X
82%1.10
X2
35%2.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.80
No
48%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.9 + 0.82 = 2.72
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
57%1.68
Over 3.5
35%2.72
Under 1.5
21%4.08
Under 2.5
43%2.10
Under 3.5
65%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 4 = 10.1
Over 8.5
59%1.47
Over 9.5
48%1.78
Over 10.5
39%2.28
Under 8.5
41%2.48
Under 9.5
52%1.93
Under 10.5
61%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 3.1 = 5.7
Over 3.5
78%-
Over 4.5
64%-
Under 3.5
22%-
Under 4.5
36%-

Match Events

24'F. ZampedriAssist: J. A. Martinez
40'F. ZampedriAssist: D. Corral
45+4'J. Fuentealba(Penalty)
46'D. Corral INC. Montes out
46'D. Sabando INA. Diaz out
54'B. AmpueroFoul
60'F. ZampedriAssist: C. Cuevas
65'D. Retamal INL. Gonzalez out
68'C. CuevasAssist: J. Giani
72'A. Urzi INA. Uribe out
73'F. Zuqui INA. Canales out
73'J. Valencia ING. Medel out
75'L. GonzalezFoul
80'J. GianiAssist: F. Zampedri
81'B. Ogaz INP. Parra out
85'J. Giani INV. Carcamo out
85'F. Zampedri INM. Gomez out
89'L. GonzalezFoul
89'L. GonzalezFoul
90+2'O. GonzalezUnsportsmanlike conduct

Match Stats

U. CatolicaUniversidad de Concepcion
55%Ball Possession45%
5Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
14Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal7
13Shots Inside Box6
1Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots3
11Fouls7
2Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves1
439Total Passes364
369Passes Accurate297
84%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

U. CatolicaU. Catolica
Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion
1711Elo Rating 1405
2.09Attack 0.82
1.62Defense 1.26
86%Hit Rate 19%
10.9Shots per Game 9.0
3.7Shots on Target 3.6
4.6Corners per Game 4.6
2.4Cards per Game 4.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+307 Elo
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

U. CatolicaU. Catolica
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.9 in second half)
Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

U. CatolicaU. Catolica
4W0D1L
07/06/2026
U. CatolicaCobresal
51
W
31/05/2026
HuachipatoU. Catolica
03
W
29/05/2026
Boca JuniorsU. Catolica
01
W
25/05/2026
U. CatolicaColo Colo
12
L
22/05/2026
U. CatolicaBarcelona SC
20
W
Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion
1W2D2L
07/06/2026
NublenseUniversidad de Concepcion
21
L
30/05/2026
Universidad de ConcepcionUnion La Calera
00
D
23/05/2026
NublenseUniversidad de Concepcion
22
D
16/05/2026
O'HigginsUniversidad de Concepcion
01
W
26/04/2026
Universidad de ConcepcionColo Colo
12
L

Referee Profile

H. Jona · 56 matches analysed

5.2Avg Yellows
5.5Avg Cards
21.5Avg Fouls
Stricter than 93% of referees analysed

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo23173348:22+2654DDWWD
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica23133750:33+1742WWWWL
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile23126535:19+1642WWLLW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina23106737:25+1236WLWWD
5PalestinoPalestino23113936:33+336LWLWW
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache231031043:35+833LWWLW
7NublenseNublense2388728:31-332LLLLW
8ConcepciónConcepción23941025:26-131DLWDW
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2379734:38-430LWWDW
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2285931:31029LLLWL
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2377926:31-528WWLDD
12O'HigginsO'Higgins23831228:36-827LWLLD
13HuachipatoHuachipato21741029:39-1025WDLLL
14CobresalCobresal23731334:44-1024WLWDL
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion22641217:37-2022LLWLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera23451419:40-2117WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2348:2254
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica2350:3342
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2335:1942
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2337:2536
5PalestinoPalestino2336:3336
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2343:3533
7NublenseNublense2328:3132
8ConcepciónConcepción2325:2631
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2334:3830
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2231:3129
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2326:3128
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2328:3627
13HuachipatoHuachipato2129:3925
14CobresalCobresal2334:4424
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2217:3722
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2319:4017

U. Catolica vs Universidad de Concepcion Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primera División

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Key Factors for This Match

U. Catolica have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. U. Catolica and Universidad de Concepcion have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.