União de Leiria vs Academica Prediction

União de Leiria
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Academica
Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria·Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.24
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-5.7%
União de Leiria Rest
22 days
Academica Rest
22 days

União de Leiria vs Academica: the result in context

Academica beat União de Leiria 2-0 in the Segunda Liga on 11 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: União de Leiria had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Academica.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.91
X
28%3.40
2
25%3.67
Double Chance
1X
75%1.24
X2
53%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.72
No
46%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 1.14 = 2.59
Over 1.5
73%1.25
Over 2.5
50%1.85
Over 3.5
30%3.10
Under 1.5
27%3.50
Under 2.5
50%1.91
Under 3.5
70%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'Ricardo Teixeira
36'Leandro Silva(Penalty)
46'Kouassi Eboue INTharlley Oliveira Da Silva out
46'Hugo Masaki INMarc Baró out
46'Ricardo Teixeira INGabriel Miranda Rodrigues out
49'Kevin Zohi
54'Kaka INAlioune Mané out
60'Leverton Pierre INMarcos Paulo out
66'José Nabil Ondo Onva Adjugu INDamien Loppy out
66'Jose Pedro Barros Goncalves INJair silva da goncalves out
67'
69'Leandro Silva INHugo Nunes out
69'Kevin Zohi INRui Gomes out
75'Miguel Ângelo Moreira de Magalhães
81'jaiminho INSamuel Ntanda-Lukisa out
85'Afonso Rodrigues
85'Ibrahima Kalil·Guirassy
87'Amadou Coundoul INIlies Faure out

Lineups

União de Leiria
4-4-2Coach: Fábio Pereira
Academica
4-3-3Coach: António Barbosa
J. Odehnal99J. Odehnal
Maga68Maga
Marcelo44Marcelo
Zé Pedro16Z. Pedro
H. Masaki70H. Masaki
Jaime21Jaime
E. Kouassi6E. Kouassi
Ibrahima98Ibrahima
Pablo Fernández17P. Fernández
Jose Adjugu7J. Adjugu
Juan Muñoz9J. Muñoz
Victor Braga12V. Braga
Xavi2Xavi
Ricardo Teixeira3R. Teixeira
44G. Willian da Silva
1515Kaka
L. Pierre25L. Pierre
Leandro Silva5L. Silva
J. Sinisterra20J. Sinisterra
K. Zohi8K. Zohi
A. Coundoul92A. Coundoul
Afonso Rodrigues19A. Rodrigues

União de Leiria Substitutes

82S. Lukisa81'for jaiminho
80Christian Joel
8Reko
25Diogo Amado
88Diogo Martins
29D. Loppy66'for José Nabil Ondo Onva Adjugu
34Quilma
3Marc Baró46'for Hugo Masaki
18Tharlley Oliveira Da Silva46'for Kouassi Eboue66'for Jose Pedro Barros Goncalves
79Pedro Oliveira
42Tomas Caturra
11Jair da Silva46'for Kouassi Eboue66'for Jose Pedro Barros Goncalves

Academica Substitutes

9Martim Tavares
10I. Faure87'for Amadou Coundoul
54Ni46'for Ricardo Teixeira
46H. Nunes69'for Leandro Silva
26T. Soares
23Rui Gomes69'for Kevin Zohi
13Kauan
1Nuno Macedo
17Marcos Paulo60'for Leverton Pierre
60João Oliveira
98Carlos Alves
7Alioune Mané54'replaced by Kaka

Match Stats

União de LeiriaAcademica
60%Ball Possession40%
8Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards2
19Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal5
14Shots off Goal7
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria
AcademicaAcademica
1563Elo Rating 1618
1.40Attack 2.19
1.94Defense 1.21
61%Hit Rate 69%
18.2Shots per Game 12.0
5.8Shots on Target 5.0
6.7Corners per Game 5.0
1.6Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AcademicaAcademica
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.9 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
AcademicaAcademica0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Liga 315/01/2023
AcademicaUnião de Leiria
13
Liga 303/09/2022
União de LeiriaAcademica
11

Recent Form

União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria
5W2D3L
19/09/2026
O ElvasUnião de Leiria
02
W
13/09/2026
AmaranteUnião de Leiria
22
D
06/09/2026
União de LeiriaPortimonense
10
W
28/08/2026
União de LeiriaTondela
20
W
22/08/2026
LeixoesUnião de Leiria
24
W
15/08/2026
União de LeiriaBenfica B
12
L
09/08/2026
VizelaUnião de Leiria
10
L
28/07/2026
Las PalmasUnião de Leiria
32
L
15/07/2026
União de LeiriaAD Marco 09
20
W
17/05/2026
União de LeiriaFeirense
22
D
AcademicaAcademica
5W2D3L
18/09/2026
RealAcademica
14
W
11/09/2026
AcademicaBenfica B
03
L
05/09/2026
PenafielAcademica
41
L
29/08/2026
AcademicaLusitânia Lourosa
02
L
21/08/2026
TondelaAcademica
02
W
14/08/2026
AcademicaFeirense
10
W
08/08/2026
ChavesAcademica
14
W
01/08/2026
CaldasAcademica
2222
D
31/07/2026
União SantarémAcademica
00
D
25/07/2026
FC Porto BAcademica
13
W

Referee Profile

Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca69 matches

5.00Cards per match
4.86Yellow cards per match
0.14Red cards per match
29.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca5.00
Other referees5.23

5.00 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.23).

Cards come from 35 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sporting CP BSporting CP B860213:6+718WWLWW
2Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa752012:5+717DWWWD
3AcademicaAcademica850314:10+415WWLLL
4FarenseFarense742113:6+714WWDLD
5Benfica BBenfica B84228:5+314DWWLL
6PenafielPenafiel741214:7+713LWWWW
7TondelaTondela74038:6+212WWWLL
8VizelaVizela83238:8011LLDWW
9União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria731310:9+110LDWWW
10LeixoesLeixoes83149:12-310LLDWW
11PortimonensePortimonense83146:10-410LWLLL
12AVSAVS72328:7+19WDLWD
13ChavesChaves82248:15-78WDLWL
14FC Porto BFC Porto B72146:14-87WDLLW
15Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 193271335:7-26LLLWD
16TorreenseTorreense71337:10-36LDWLD
17AmaranteAmarante71246:10-45LDLWD
18FeirenseFeirense80262:10-82DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Sporting CP BSporting CP B813:618
2Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa712:517
3AcademicaAcademica814:1015
4FarenseFarense713:614
5Benfica BBenfica B88:514
6PenafielPenafiel714:713
7TondelaTondela78:612
8VizelaVizela88:811
9União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria710:910
10LeixoesLeixoes89:1210
11PortimonensePortimonense86:1010
12AVSAVS78:79
13ChavesChaves88:158
14FC Porto BFC Porto B76:147
15Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 193275:76
16TorreenseTorreense77:106
17AmaranteAmarante76:105
18FeirenseFeirense82:102
PromotionRelegation

About the União de Leiria vs Academica forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

União de Leiria and Academica in the Segunda Liga table

In the Segunda Liga table, Academica are 3rd and União de Leiria 9th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: União de Leiria 10-9, Academica 14-10. The full standings are on the Segunda Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

União de Leiria and Academica have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.