Union La Calera vs Everton de Vina Prediction

Municipal Nicolas Chahuan, La Calera· Matias Assadi, Chile 28/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel45%RiskMediumGap-2.0%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel38%RiskHighGap+3.8%
Union La Calera Rest
15 days
Everton de Vina Rest
16 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.38
X
28%3.15
2
28%2.92
Double Chance
1X
72%1.36
X2
56%1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.82
No
47%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.24 + 1.16 = 2.40
Over 1.5
71%1.36
Over 2.5
48%2.11
Over 3.5
26%3.87
Under 1.5
29%3.00
Under 2.5
52%1.68
Under 3.5
74%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

27'N. MontielFoul
35'H. MagallanesFoul
45+2'J. SalomoniFoul
52'N. Montiel
54'N. PalmaFoul
59'N. Palma INF. Pozzo out
63'C. VillanuevaFoul
68'N. Montiel INC. Palacios out
69'J. Ovalle ING. Charrupi out
69'Y. W. Andia Leon INY. Leiva out
74'B. Martinez INE. M. Ramos Aviles out
74'B. Berrios INA. Arroyo out
84'C. Moya INR. Perez out
84'B. Oyarzo Munoz INA. Encinas out
84'C. Villanueva INJ. Cruz out
89'L. Soto INR. Gonzalez out
90'A. ArroyoFoul
90+1'F. PozzoAssist: C. Diaz

Lineups

Union La Calera
4-5-1Coach: Martin Cicotello
Everton de Vina
4-4-2Coach: Davis Gonzalez
Nicolás Avellaneda1N. AvellanedaNicolás Avellaneda
Christopher Díaz25C. DíazChristopher Díaz
Nicolás Palma3N. PalmaNicolás Palma
Juan Salomoni15J. SalomoniJuan Salomoni
Daniel Gutiérrez27D. GutiérrezDaniel Gutiérrez
Bayron Oyarzo7B. OyarzoBayron Oyarzo
Yonathan Andía2Y. AndíaYonathan Andía
Carlo Villanueva14C. VillanuevaCarlo Villanueva
Camilo Moya5C. MoyaCamilo Moya
Cristián Gutiérrez4C. GutiérrezCristián Gutiérrez
Matías Campos López19M. Campos LópezMatías Campos López
Ignacio González1I. GonzálezIgnacio González
Lucas Soto8L. SotoLucas Soto
Hugo Magallanes4H. MagallanesHugo Magallanes
Diego Oyarzún24D. OyarzúnDiego Oyarzún
Vicente Fernández15V. FernándezVicente Fernández
Josué Ovalle20J. OvalleJosué Ovalle
Benjamín Berríos21B. BerríosBenjamín Berríos
Joaquín Moya7J. MoyaJoaquín Moya
Braian Martínez29B. MartínezBraian Martínez
Alan Medina10A. MedinaAlan Medina
Nicolás Montiel40N. MontielNicolás Montiel

Union La Calera Substitutes

9Francisco Jose PozzoF
8Yerko LeivaM
12Nelson EspinozaG
26Michael MaturanaD
6Vicente LavínD
18Axel EncinasM
20Joan CruzM
23Rodrigo PérezM
30Maximiliano FernandezF

Everton de Vina Substitutes

30Cristian PalaciosF
6Gustavo CharrupiF
25Esteban KirkmanG
37Valentín VidalD
5Ramiro GonzálezD
14Nicolás BaezaD
13Andrés ArroyoM
11Emiliano RamosF
9Julián AlfaroF

Match Stats

Union La CaleraEverton de Vina
65%Ball Possession35%
9Corner Kicks10
3Yellow Cards3
9Total Shots13
3Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box6
3Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots3
14Fouls9
1Offsides0
6Goalkeeper Saves2
514Total Passes281
442Passes Accurate197
86%Pass Accuracy70%

Team Comparison

Union La CaleraUnion La Calera
Everton de VinaEverton de Vina
1502Elo Rating 1630
0.64Attack 2.03
2.07Defense 2.19
27%Hit Rate 63%
12.3Shots per Game 16.2
4.0Shots on Target 6.3
4.5Corners per Game 4.0
2.8Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Union La CaleraUnion La Calera
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Everton de VinaEverton de Vina
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.9 in second half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Union La Calera 64%Draw 19%17% Everton de Vina
1.36Avg Goals
19%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Union La CaleraUnion La Calera
2W1D2L
12/07/2026
Coquimbo UnidoUnion La Calera
5041
L
09/07/2026
Union La CaleraCoquimbo Unido
01
L
04/07/2026
Union San FelipeUnion La Calera
11
D
02/07/2026
Universidad de ChileUnion La Calera
01
W
28/06/2026
Union La CaleraSantiago Wanderers
40
W
Everton de VinaEverton de Vina
2W1D2L
11/07/2026
Deportes CopiapoEverton de Vina
01
W
04/07/2026
San LuisEverton de Vina
22
D
01/07/2026
U. CatolicaEverton de Vina
21
L
27/06/2026
Everton de VinaDeportes Copiapo
30
W
24/06/2026
Everton de VinaU. Catolica
13
L

Referee Profile

Matias Assadi, Chile · 6 matches analysed

5.0Avg Yellows
5.3Avg Cards
23.8Avg Fouls
Stricter than 89% of referees analysed

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo23173348:22+2654DDWWD
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica23133750:33+1742WWWWL
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile23126535:19+1642WWLLW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina23106737:25+1236WLWWD
5PalestinoPalestino23113936:33+336LWLWW
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache231031043:35+833LWWLW
7NublenseNublense2388728:31-332LLLLW
8ConcepciónConcepción23941025:26-131DLWDW
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2379734:38-430LWWDW
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2285931:31029LLLWL
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2377926:31-528WWLDD
12O'HigginsO'Higgins23831228:36-827LWLLD
13HuachipatoHuachipato21741029:39-1025WDLLL
14CobresalCobresal23731334:44-1024WLWDL
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion22641217:37-2022LLWLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera23451419:40-2117WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2348:2254
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica2350:3342
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2335:1942
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2337:2536
5PalestinoPalestino2336:3336
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2343:3533
7NublenseNublense2328:3132
8ConcepciónConcepción2325:2631
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2334:3830
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2231:3129
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2326:3128
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2328:3627
13HuachipatoHuachipato2129:3925
14CobresalCobresal2334:4424
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2217:3722
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2319:4017

Union La Calera vs Everton de Vina Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primera División

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Key Factors for This Match

Everton de Vina have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Union La Calera and Everton de Vina have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.36 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.