Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht Prediction

Stade Joseph Marien, Brussels·Lawrence Visser, Belgium 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.81
SignalSOLIDModel36%SurpriseHighGap+8.0%
Union St. Gilloise Rest
15 days
Anderlecht Rest
2 days

Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht: result, form and history

Union St. Gilloise beat Anderlecht 3-0 in the Jupiler Pro League on 30 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Anderlecht had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Union St. Gilloise.

Union St. Gilloise have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game. Referee Lawrence Visser averages 4.86 cards a game, 0.63 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.70
X
26%3.80
2
25%4.75
Double Chance
1X
75%1.18
X2
51%2.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.75
No
43%1.96
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.88 + 1.27 = 3.15
Over 1.5
82%1.25
Over 2.5
59%1.81
Over 3.5
32%2.95
Under 1.5
18%3.75
Under 2.5
41%1.98
Under 3.5
68%1.37
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

29'M. SyllaFoul
38'B. ZeneliAssist: Guilherme Smith
45'M. BiondicAssist: B. Zeneli
45+4'G. BianconeUnsportsmanlike conduct
56'J. Nga Kana INO. Antman out
62'M. KanaFoul
70'M. Kana INM. Winkler out
70'L. Augustinsson INM. N'Diaye out
70'L. Patris IND. De Roeve out
70'K. Rodriguez INR. Florucz out
78'K. Mac AllisterFoul
79'L. Ambros INN. Ojea out
79'D. Sikan INT. Bentayeb out
80'A. Zorgane INR. Schoofs out
81'R. FloruczAssist: R. Schoofs
87'M. Biondic INR. Mofokeng out
87'B. Zeneli INN. Havenaar out

Lineups

Union St. Gilloise
3-4-3Coach: David Hubert
Anderlecht
4-4-2Coach: Vitor Bruno
Avg rating7.31
Avg rating6.39
Hervé Koffi7.312H. Koffi
Kevin Mac AllisterC7.05K. Mac Allister
Massire Sylla7.329M. Sylla
Ondrej Kricfalusi7.380O. Kricfalusi
Louis Patris6.927L. Patris
Adem Zorgane7.28A. Zorgane
Kamiel Van de Perre7.36K. Van de Perre
Guilherme Smith8.211G. Smith
Mateo Biondic7.39M. Biondic
Kevin Rodriguez6.713K. Rodriguez
Besfort Zeneli8.623B. Zeneli
Colin CoosemansC6.226C. Coosemans
Ali Maamar5.379A. Maamar
Giulian Biancone7.24G. Biancone
Léo Pétrot6.527L. Pétrot
Ludwig Augustinsson6.26L. Augustinsson
Lukáš Ambros6.618L. Ambros
Enric Llansana6.524E. Llansana
Marco Kana6.555M. Kana
Joshua Nga Kana6.261J. Nga Kana
Mihajlo Cvetković6.59M. Cvetković
Danylo Sikan6.214D. Sikan

Union St. Gilloise Substitutes

1Vic Chambaere
55Nikki Havenaar87'for B. Zeneli
21Denzel De Roeve70'for L. Patris6.7
17Rob Schoofs80'for A. Zorgane6.6
38Relebohile Mofokeng87'replaced by M. Biondic
14Ivan Pavlić
28Darius Olaru
30Raul Florucz70'for K. Rodriguez81'7.9
10Anouar Ait El Hadj

Anderlecht Substitutes

32Justin Heekeren
5Moussa Ndiaye70'for L. Augustinsson6.3
2Zoumana Keita
62Basile Vroninks
50Kaïs Barry
68Noah Kalonji
10Marten Winkler70'for M. Kana6.7
53Noa Cobiella79'for L. Ambros6.5
21Tawfik Bentayeb79'for D. Sikan6.7

Match Stats

Union St. GilloiseAnderlecht
46%Ball Possession54%
4Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal7
13Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots3
11Fouls14
6Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
383Total Passes454
303Passes Accurate354
79%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
AnderlechtAnderlecht
1905Elo Rating 1759
3.06Attack 2.09
2.11Defense 1.71
100%Hit Rate 66%
18.2Shots per Game 16.8
7.6Shots on Target 7.0
4.8Corners per Game 4.5
1.5Cards per Game 3.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+147 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.15 goals
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.4 vs 0.7 in first half)
AnderlechtAnderlecht
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise6Wins · 60%
Draws330%
AnderlechtAnderlecht1Wins · 10%
2.0Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Jupiler Pro League24/05/2026
Union St. GilloiseAnderlecht
51
Cup14/05/2026
Union St. GilloiseAnderlecht
3111
Jupiler Pro League26/04/2026
AnderlechtUnion St. Gilloise
13
Jupiler Pro League30/11/2025
AnderlechtUnion St. Gilloise
10
Jupiler Pro League31/08/2025
Union St. GilloiseAnderlecht
20
Jupiler Pro League10/05/2025
AnderlechtUnion St. Gilloise
01
Jupiler Pro League12/04/2025
Union St. GilloiseAnderlecht
20
Jupiler Pro League23/02/2025
AnderlechtUnion St. Gilloise
02
Jupiler Pro League01/09/2024
Union St. GilloiseAnderlecht
00
Jupiler Pro League05/05/2024
Union St. GilloiseAnderlecht
00

Recent Form

Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise
6W2D2L
15/08/2026
Union St. GilloiseZulte Waregem
00
D
11/08/2026
Bodo/GlimtUnion St. Gilloise
3222
L
08/08/2026
KVC WesterloUnion St. Gilloise
15
W
04/08/2026
Union St. GilloiseBodo/Glimt
33
D
31/07/2026
Club Brugge KVUnion St. Gilloise
4151
W
24/07/2026
Union St. GilloisePatro Eisden
40
W
18/07/2026
PSV EindhovenUnion St. Gilloise
73
L
11/07/2026
Union St. GilloiseAarhus
21
W
05/07/2026
Union St. GilloiseFCSB
40
W
30/06/2026
Diegem SportUnion St. Gilloise
07
W

Referee Profile

Lawrence Visser216 matches

4.86Cards per match
4.57Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lawrence Visser4.86
Other referees4.23

4.86 cards a match, 0.63 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.23).

Cards come from 184 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise1192030:7+2329WWWDW
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV1191127:9+1828DWWWW
3GentGent1191120:6+1428WLWWW
4CharleroiCharleroi1190226:13+1327WWLWW
5AnderlechtAnderlecht1162314:12+220DWLWW
6Lommel UnitedLommel United1144315:13+216DWDWD
7GenkGenk1143418:15+315LLWWL
8Standard LiegeStandard Liege1143418:16+215WDLLL
9KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo1142526:30-414LLDWW
10OH LeuvenOH Leuven1133512:17-512WWDDW
11KV MechelenKV Mechelen1133513:20-712LWWWD
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden1132622:22011WLLLL
13AntwerpAntwerp1132618:24-611DLWLL
14Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem1132613:20-711LLLLL
15SK BeverenSK Beveren1131713:23-1010LLDLL
16Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge1123614:22-89WWLLL
17RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière1121813:24-117LLWLL
18KortrijkKortrijk111194:23-194LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise1130:729
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV1127:928
3GentGent1120:628
4CharleroiCharleroi1126:1327
5AnderlechtAnderlecht1114:1220
6Lommel UnitedLommel United1115:1316
7GenkGenk1118:1515
8Standard LiegeStandard Liege1118:1615
9KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo1126:3014
10OH LeuvenOH Leuven1112:1712
11KV MechelenKV Mechelen1113:2012
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden1122:2211
13AntwerpAntwerp1118:2411
14Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem1113:2011
15SK BeverenSK Beveren1113:2310
16Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge1114:229
17RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière1113:247
18KortrijkKortrijk114:234
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Union St. Gilloise vs Anderlecht forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Union St. Gilloise and Anderlecht in the Jupiler Pro League table

In the Jupiler Pro League table, Union St. Gilloise are 1st and Anderlecht 5th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Union St. Gilloise 30-7, Anderlecht 14-12. The full standings are on the Jupiler Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Anderlecht have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.