Gent vs OH Leuven Prediction

Gent
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
OH Leuven
Planet Group Arena, Gent·M. Allaerts 03/09/2026
GentGent
1-0
Finished
OH LeuvenOH Leuven

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
85%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel63%SurpriseMediumGap-0.5%
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.85
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+8.6%
Gent Rest
4 days
OH Leuven Rest
4 days

Gent vs OH Leuven: result, form and history

Gent beat OH Leuven 1-0 in the Jupiler Pro League on 3 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Gent had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for OH Leuven.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. OH Leuven tend to win more corners, 6.4 a game to 4.2 for Gent.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.67
X
24%3.70
2
15%4.85
Double Chance
1X
85%1.17
X2
39%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.80
No
44%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.94 + 1.08 = 3.02
Over 1.5
82%1.25
Over 2.5
59%1.85
Over 3.5
32%3.11
Under 1.5
18%3.60
Under 2.5
41%1.93
Under 3.5
68%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 3.8 = 10.3
Over 8.5
64%1.44
Over 9.5
53%1.72
Over 10.5
41%2.08
Under 8.5
36%2.67
Under 9.5
47%2.04
Under 10.5
59%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 1.4 = 2.8
Over 3.5
30%1.52
Over 4.5
15%2.10
Under 3.5
70%2.30
Under 4.5
85%1.65

Match Events

46'Tiago Araújo
57'Davis Opoku INAbdoul Karim Traoré out
58'Wouter GeorgeFoul
64'Mathias Delorge INTibe De Vlieger out
64'László Bénes INMichel Ange Balikwisha out
64'Kyrell Wilson INMatties Volckaert out
65'Siebe Van Der HeydenFoul
67'Lukasz Lakomy INKyan Vaesen out
67'Shin Yamada INChukwubuikem Ikwuemesi out
74'Momodou Sonko INEl Hadji Seck out
76'Oscar Gil RegañoDissent
76'Wouter George INTakuya Ogiwara out
77'Noë Dussenne INBryang Kayo out
88'Josue Vergara INAime Ntsama Omgba out

Lineups

Gent
3-4-2-1Coach: R. Demil
OH Leuven
3-4-3Coach: T. Simons
Avg rating6.68
Avg rating6.50
D. Roef6.933D. Roef
M. Ngom6.95M. Ngom
C. Burgess7.116C. Burgess
S. Van der Heyden6.444S. Van der Heyden
Kyrell Wilson6.114K. Wilson
M. Delorge-Knieper7.217M. Delorge-Knieper
Leonardo Lopes6.722L. Lopes
Tiago Araújo7.820T. Araújo
L. Bénes6.88L. Bénes
M. Sonko6.311M. Sonko
J. Y. Vergara Ortega6.247J. Y. Vergara Ortega
D. van den Heuvel7.016D. van den Heuvel
J. Lawrence6.95J. Lawrence
N. Dussenne6.73N. Dussenne
E. Pletinckx7.128E. Pletinckx
Óscar Gil6.327Ó. Gil
W. George6.26W. George
B. Verstraete6.44B. Verstraete
D. Opoku6.799D. Opoku
W. Balikwisha6.621W. Balikwisha
S. Yamada6.420S. Yamada
Ł. Łakomy6.424Ł. Łakomy

Gent Substitutes

57M. Volckaert64'for Kyrell Wilson6.5
27T. De Vlieger64'for Mathias Delorge6.6
39A. Ayindé
37A. Kadri
7M. Balikwisha64'for László Bénes6.6
10A. Omgba88'for Josue Vergara6.5
3M. Paskotši
30K. Peersman
59E. Seck74'for Momodou Sonko6.4

OH Leuven Substitutes

80Matteo Heremans
19C. Ikwuemesi67'for Shin Yamada6.3
61O. Jochmans
48B. Kayo77'for Noë Dussenne6.8
72S. Murru
26T. Ogiwara76'for Wouter George6.0
9A. Traoré57'for Davis Opoku6.5
17K. Vaesen67'for Lukasz Lakomy5.9
34R. Nyakossi

Match Stats

GentOH Leuven
43%Ball Possession57%
10Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots8
1Shots on Goal1
10Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box6
8Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots1
10Fouls8
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves0
390Total Passes539
313Passes Accurate464
80%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

GentGent
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
1723Elo Rating 1549
1.20Attack 1.64
1.79Defense 2.11
19%Hit Rate 61%
13.7Shots per Game 17.9
3.8Shots on Target 4.2
4.2Corners per Game 6.4
1.8Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+174 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.03 goals

Game State Tendencies

GentGent
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

GentGent3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
OH LeuvenOH Leuven4Wins · 40%
2.5Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Jupiler Pro League07/02/2026
GentOH Leuven
13
Jupiler Pro League02/11/2025
OH LeuvenGent
40
Jupiler Pro League26/01/2025
OH LeuvenGent
00
Jupiler Pro League29/09/2024
GentOH Leuven
30
Jupiler Pro League12/05/2024
GentOH Leuven
01
Jupiler Pro League14/04/2024
OH LeuvenGent
21
Jupiler Pro League21/12/2023
GentOH Leuven
40
Jupiler Pro League17/09/2023
OH LeuvenGent
11
Jupiler Pro League19/02/2023
GentOH Leuven
20
Jupiler Pro League30/10/2022
OH LeuvenGent
11

Recent Form

GentGent
7W3D0L
OH LeuvenOH Leuven
2W2D6L
29/08/2026
OH LeuvenStandard Liege
12
L
15/08/2026
OH LeuvenClub Brugge KV
03
L
09/08/2026
CharleroiOH Leuven
31
L
01/08/2026
OH LeuvenLille
36
L
25/07/2026
HeerenveenOH Leuven
44
D
24/07/2026
Club Brugge IIOH Leuven
30
L
18/07/2026
OH LeuvenK. Lierse S.K.
10
W
15/07/2026
OH LeuvenLommel United
51
W
11/07/2026
Olympiakos PiraeusOH Leuven
11
D
23/05/2026
OH LeuvenGenk
02
L

Referee Profile

M. Allaerts87 matches

4.27Cards per match
4.09Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

M. Allaerts4.27
Other referees4.36

4.27 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.36).

Cards come from 56 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Jupiler Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise1192030:7+2329WWWDW
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV1191127:9+1828DWWWW
3GentGent1191120:6+1428WLWWW
4CharleroiCharleroi1190226:13+1327WWLWW
5AnderlechtAnderlecht1162314:12+220DWLWW
6Lommel UnitedLommel United1144315:13+216DWDWD
7GenkGenk1143418:15+315LLWWL
8Standard LiegeStandard Liege1143418:16+215WDLLL
9KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo1142526:30-414LLDWW
10OH LeuvenOH Leuven1133512:17-512WWDDW
11KV MechelenKV Mechelen1133513:20-712LWWWD
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden1132622:22011WLLLL
13AntwerpAntwerp1132618:24-611DLWLL
14Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem1132613:20-711LLLLL
15SK BeverenSK Beveren1131713:23-1010LLDLL
16Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge1123614:22-89WWLLL
17RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière1121813:24-117LLWLL
18KortrijkKortrijk111194:23-194LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise1130:729
2Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV1127:928
3GentGent1120:628
4CharleroiCharleroi1126:1327
5AnderlechtAnderlecht1114:1220
6Lommel UnitedLommel United1115:1316
7GenkGenk1118:1515
8Standard LiegeStandard Liege1118:1615
9KVC WesterloKVC Westerlo1126:3014
10OH LeuvenOH Leuven1112:1712
11KV MechelenKV Mechelen1113:2012
12St. TruidenSt. Truiden1122:2211
13AntwerpAntwerp1118:2411
14Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem1113:2011
15SK BeverenSK Beveren1113:2310
16Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge1114:229
17RAAL La LouvièreRAAL La Louvière1113:247
18KortrijkKortrijk114:234
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Gent vs OH Leuven forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Gent and OH Leuven in the Jupiler Pro League table

In the Jupiler Pro League table, Gent are 3rd and OH Leuven 10th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Gent 20-6, OH Leuven 12-17. The full standings are on the Jupiler Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.