Veles vs Shinnik Yaroslavl Prediction

Veles
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Avangard Stadium (Domodedovo), Domodedovo 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.32
SignalGOODModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-5.1%
Veles Rest
8 days
Shinnik Yaroslavl Rest
3 days

Veles vs Shinnik Yaroslavl: the result in context

Veles and Shinnik Yaroslavl drew 1-1 in the First League on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.32
X
32%3.02
2
30%3.10
Double Chance
1X
70%1.32
X2
61%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.08
No
48%1.66
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 1.05 = 2.33
Over 1.5
64%1.50
Over 2.5
39%2.43
Over 3.5
19%4.85
Under 1.5
36%2.52
Under 2.5
61%1.44
Under 3.5
81%1.11
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

27'Eduard Valiakhmetov
45'Muslim Bammatgereev
46'Muslim Bammatgereev INIvan Nikin out
65'Dmitri Samoilov INDaniil Martovoy out
65'Denis Mironov INArtem Lavrenkov out
71'Ivan Shmakov INDanila Yanov out
71'Albek Gongapshev INAnton Antonov out
74'Kirill Skvortsov INNuri Abdokov out
74'Kirill Korolkov INArtur Murza out
74'Aleksandr Shubin INDmitriy Kuchugura out
77'Karim Giraev
77'Yuriy Zavezen INDmitriy Sergeev out
85'Ilya Azyavin INMaksim Karaev out

Lineups

Veles
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Stukalov
Shinnik Yaroslavl
4-4-2Coach: D. Boyarintsev
S. Samok41S. Samok
O. Smirnov77O. Smirnov
K. Pliev15K. Pliev
A. Koloskov5A. Koloskov
K. Skvortsov23K. Skvortsov
M. Bammatgereev10M. Bammatgereev
A. Shubin97A. Shubin
K. Korolkov11K. Korolkov
Y. Zavezen22Y. Zavezen
V. Galkin90V. Galkin
K. Giraev9K. Giraev
N. Yanovich66N. Yanovich
E. Valiakhmetov17E. Valiakhmetov
V. Karpov62V. Karpov
A. Cherny27A. Cherny
N. Chistyakov23N. Chistyakov
I. Shmakov54I. Shmakov
A. Golubev50A. Golubev
A. Gongapshev10A. Gongapshev
D. Samoylov15D. Samoylov
D. Mironov88D. Mironov
I. Azyavin24I. Azyavin

Veles Substitutes

99N. Abdokov74'for Kirill Skvortsov
70Matvey Zakharzhevskiy
40A. Bezchasnyuk
17P. Kotov
94D. Kuchugura74'for Aleksandr Shubin
76I. Kuptsov
6I. Melikov
7A. Murza74'for Kirill Korolkov
87I. Nikin46'for Muslim Bammatgereev
88D. Sadov
18D. Sergeev77'for Yuriy Zavezen

Shinnik Yaroslavl Substitutes

13D. Yanov71'for Ivan Shmakov
95D. Vambolt
21D. Pushkarev
7D. Martovoy65'for Dmitri Samoilov
33A. Lavrenkov65'for Denis Mironov
49M. Karaev85'for Ilya Azyavin
14gleb kalinin
19Y. Arbuzov
77A. Antonov71'for Albek Gongapshev

Match Stats

VelesShinnik Yaroslavl
69%Ball Possession31%
10Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards0
2Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal1

Team Comparison

VelesVeles
Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl
1465Elo Rating 1499
1.23Attack 0.66
1.66Defense 1.67
23%Hit Rate 19%
5.4Shots per Game 5.2
2.2Shots on Target 2.6
5.2Corners per Game 6.7
2.1Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

VelesVeles
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

VelesVeles2Wins · 50%
Draws125%
Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1Wins · 25%
3.3Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

First League29/04/2023
VelesShinnik Yaroslavl
11
First League09/10/2022
Shinnik YaroslavlVeles
20
First League29/11/2020
VelesShinnik Yaroslavl
42
First League22/08/2020
Shinnik YaroslavlVeles
12

Recent Form

VelesVeles
4W2D4L
10/10/2026
UralVeles
12
W
04/10/2026
VelesVolga Ulyanovsk
12
L
17/09/2026
Torpedo MoskvaVeles
11
D
14/09/2026
VelesFC Sochi
12
L
09/09/2026
MuromVeles
10
L
05/09/2026
FC UFAVeles
11
D
29/08/2026
TekstilshchikVeles
01
W
24/08/2026
VelesArsenal Tula
20
W
19/08/2026
VelesNizhny Novgorod
32
W
15/08/2026
Ska-khabarovskVeles
20
L
Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl
4W4D2L
14/10/2026
Nizhny NovgorodShinnik Yaroslavl
40
L
10/10/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlTekstilshchik
20
W
27/09/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlSka-khabarovsk
00
D
18/09/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlKAMAZ
01
L
14/09/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlUral
11
D
10/09/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlTorpedo Moskva
20
W
05/09/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlRotor Volgograd
22
D
30/08/2026
EniseyShinnik Yaroslavl
00
D
22/08/2026
Volga UlyanovskShinnik Yaroslavl
13
W
14/08/2026
FK NeftekhimikShinnik Yaroslavl
02
W

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod15131144:15+2940WWWWW
2FC SochiFC Sochi15102326:15+1132WWWDW
3Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1584327:12+1528DWWDD
4UralUral1584325:11+1428WLLWW
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1483320:13+727WLLWW
6VelesVeles1683520:19+127LDWLD
7FC UFAFC UFA1556418:15+321LWLDL
8Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1663721:22-121WWDWL
9Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1448218:14+420DWDLD
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1554623:18+519DLDWW
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1554619:29-1019WLWLD
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1543819:26-715LLWDW
13EniseyEnisey1535716:30-1414LLLDW
14LeningradetsLeningradets1535712:26-1414DLLWL
15KAMAZKAMAZ1534819:27-813LWDWD
16FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik15411011:22-1113DLLLL
17Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1524918:28-1010WLDDD
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1524911:25-1410LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod1544:1540
2FC SochiFC Sochi1526:1532
3Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1527:1228
4UralUral1525:1128
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1420:1327
6VelesVeles1620:1927
7FC UFAFC UFA1518:1521
8Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1621:2221
9Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1418:1420
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1523:1819
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1519:2919
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1519:2615
13EniseyEnisey1516:3014
14LeningradetsLeningradets1512:2614
15KAMAZKAMAZ1519:2713
16FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik1511:2213
17Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1518:2810
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1511:2510

About the Veles vs Shinnik Yaroslavl forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Veles and Shinnik Yaroslavl in the First League table

In the First League table, Veles are 6th and Shinnik Yaroslavl 9th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Veles 20-19, Shinnik Yaroslavl 18-14. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.