Ventura County vs Tacoma Defiance Prediction

MLS Next ProUSA USA · Group Stage
Ventura County
3-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Tacoma Defiance
Dignity Health Sports Park 14/09/2026
Ventura CountyVentura County
3-0
Finished
Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.32
SignalSOLIDModel58%RiskMediumGap-0.5%
Ventura County Rest
3 days
Tacoma Defiance Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.98
X
22%3.70
2
23%2.97
Double Chance
1X
77%1.32
X2
45%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%1.33
No
35%2.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.17 + 1.33 = 3.50
Over 1.5
88%1.07
Over 2.5
71%1.38
Over 3.5
51%1.92
Under 1.5
12%6.45
Under 2.5
29%2.75
Under 3.5
49%1.77
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

14'A. Lopez
20'V. Garcia
46'C. Clark INE. Carli out
56'J. PlaciasAssist: V. Garcia
61'D. IttycheriaAssist: R. Dalgado
62'R. Sailor INJ. Winslow out
67'R. Jauregui INC. Phoenix out
67'D. Brown INM. Bell out
69'V. Garcia INE. Preston out
69'G. Arnold INA. Vilamitjana out
69'J. Djieze INB. Phan out
80'E. PrestonAssist: L. Muller
82'D. Ittycheria INE. Martinez out
83'C. Gaffney INO. Hassan out

Team Comparison

Ventura CountyVentura County
Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance
1570Elo Rating 1438
2.47Attack 1.54
1.96Defense 0.81
66%Hit Rate 39%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+132 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.5 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Ventura CountyVentura County
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Ventura County 56%Draw 0%44% Tacoma Defiance
3.65Avg Goals
50%BTTS Rate
50%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Ventura CountyVentura County
4W0D1L
10/09/2026
The TownVentura County
13
W
06/09/2026
Los Angeles FC IIVentura County
2141
W
29/08/2026
Colorado Rapids IIVentura County
23
W
24/08/2026
Ventura CountyPortland Timbers II
2242
L
15/08/2026
Houston Dynamo FC IIVentura County
02
W
Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance
2W0D3L
06/09/2026
The TownTacoma Defiance
12
W
31/08/2026
Real MonarchsTacoma Defiance
30
L
25/08/2026
Tacoma DefianceSporting KC II
40
W
17/08/2026
Los Angeles FC IITacoma Defiance
43
L
09/08/2026
North TexasTacoma Defiance
31
L

League Table

MLS Next Pro 2026

Pacific Division

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II27190836:28+856DDWDW
2Ventura CountyVentura County27180957:34+2353WWDWD
3Los Angeles FC IILos Angeles FC II271401348:45+345WDLLW
4Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance271301439:43-439LWLWL
5The TownThe Town271301449:36+1339WLLWL
6Real MonarchsReal Monarchs271101636:54-1830DLLWL
7Vancouver Whitecaps IIVancouver Whitecaps II271001739:60-2127LDWWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II2736:2856
2Ventura CountyVentura County2757:3453
3Los Angeles FC IILos Angeles FC II2748:4545
4Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance2739:4339
5The TownThe Town2749:3639
6Real MonarchsReal Monarchs2736:5430
7Vancouver Whitecaps IIVancouver Whitecaps II2739:6027

Eastern Conference — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Austin IIAustin II27200752:21+3162WWLWD
2Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II27190836:28+856DDWDW
3Ventura CountyVentura County27180957:34+2353WWDWD
4Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II27180951:30+2152DWLLD
5Los Angeles FC IILos Angeles FC II271401348:45+345WDLLW
6St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II271401342:38+444DWDDW
7Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II271401340:37+342DWWWD
8North TexasNorth Texas271401341:39+240DLWDD
9Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance271301439:43-439LWLWL
10The TownThe Town271301449:36+1339WLLWL
11Real MonarchsReal Monarchs271101636:54-1830DLLWL
12Vancouver Whitecaps IIVancouver Whitecaps II271001739:60-2127LDWWL
13Sporting KC IISporting KC II27602133:73-4020LLLLL
14Colorado Rapids IIColorado Rapids II27502226:51-2518LLLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Austin IIAustin II2752:2162
2Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II2736:2856
3Ventura CountyVentura County2757:3453
4Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II2751:3052
5Los Angeles FC IILos Angeles FC II2748:4545
6St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II2742:3844
7Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II2740:3742
8North TexasNorth Texas2741:3940
9Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance2739:4339
10The TownThe Town2749:3639
11Real MonarchsReal Monarchs2736:5430
12Vancouver Whitecaps IIVancouver Whitecaps II2739:6027
13Sporting KC IISporting KC II2733:7320
14Colorado Rapids IIColorado Rapids II2726:5118
Promotion

Ventura County vs Tacoma Defiance Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this MLS Next Pro fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About MLS Next Pro

ScorePredicts covers USA football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Ventura County and Tacoma Defiance have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.65 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.