VPS vs AC Oulu Prediction

VeikkausliigaFinland Finland · Regular Season - 12
VPS
5-1
Finished
HT 3-1
AC Oulu
Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa·Peiman Simani, Finland 23/06/2026
VPSVPS
5-1
Finished
AC OuluAC Oulu

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.29
SignalSTRONGModel26%SurpriseHighGap+4.2%
VPS Rest
5 days
AC Oulu Rest
5 days

VPS vs AC Oulu: result, form and history

VPS beat AC Oulu 5-1 in the Veikkausliiga on 23 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.1 goals, and both sides scored in 7 of them. Referee Peiman Simani averages 3.49 cards a game, 0.51 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.07
X
28%3.30
2
27%3.42
Double Chance
1X
73%1.29
X2
55%1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.74
No
49%1.99
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.08 + 1.06 = 2.14
Over 1.5
63%1.29
Over 2.5
37%1.95
Over 3.5
19%3.33
Under 1.5
37%3.27
Under 2.5
63%1.82
Under 3.5
81%1.29
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'K. JattaAssist: I. Mendolin
32'L. ManeAssist: M. Haukioja
36'J. TurfkruierAssist: Y. Daoussi
38'A. RaisanenAssist: J. Turfkruier
46'S. Silander INL. Ghezali out
46'I. Mendolin INS. Sipola out
46'K. Jatta INA. Kone out
61'A. LietsaFoul
63'M. Haukioja
64'S. LindholmFoul
66'R. Karjalainen INN. Jokelainen out
66'L. Smyth INJ. Muzinga out
66'J. Turfkruier INV. Ronnberg out
75'A. Raisanen INA. Kuek out
75'Y. Daoussi INO. Ogunniyi out
81'J. Makelainen INM. Ojala out
81'S. Lindholm INO. Keturi out
83'O. KeturiAssist: A. Kuek

Lineups

VPS
3-4-1-2Coach: Jussi Nuorela
AC Oulu
4-4-2Coach: Mikko Isokangas
Avg rating6.51
Avg rating6.64
Mamadou Jalloh41M. Jalloh
Miika Niemi6.423M. Niemi
Emmanuel Okereke7.06E. Okereke
Martti Haukioja6.119M. Haukioja
Yassin Daoussi6.624Y. Daoussi
Antti-Ville Räisänen6.834A. Räisänen
Paulo Lima8P. Lima
Jayden Turfkruier6.27J. Turfkruier
Simon Lindholm6.514S. Lindholm
Luka Smyth6.515L. Smyth
Lassana Mané2L. Mané
Niklas Schulz99N. Schulz
Santeri Silander29S. Silander
Alex Lietsa7.03A. Lietsa
Juha Pirinen6.466J. Pirinen
Tuomas Kaukua6.622T. Kaukua
Juuso Makelainen30J. Makelainen
Iiro Mendolin21I. Mendolin
Julius Paananen6.66J. Paananen
Elias Kallio27E. Kallio
Kalifa Jatta20K. Jatta
Rasmus Karjalainen6.57R. Karjalainen

VPS Substitutes

5Vilmer Ronnberg66'for J. Turfkruier
11Jonathan Muzinga66'for L. Smyth
13Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi75'for Y. Daoussi
33Akon Kuek
35Olavi Keturi81'for S. Lindholm83'
1Aleksi Piispa
18Adrian Arrakoski
26Rasmus Forsbacka

AC Oulu Substitutes

2Sami Sipola46'for I. Mendolin
11Lamine Ghezali46'for S. Silander
32Abdoulaye Koné
14Niklas Jokelainen66'for R. Karjalainen
8Matias Ojala81'for J. Makelainen
12Johannes Pentti
4Lukas Ilola
18Adramane Cassama
26Julius Körkkö

Match Stats

VPSAC Oulu
60%Ball Possession40%
2Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards0
0Red Cards1
14Total Shots6
9Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal3
7Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots1
18Fouls9
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves4
567Total Passes361
492Passes Accurate290
87%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

VPSVPS
AC OuluAC Oulu
1574Elo Rating 1581
0.17Attack 1.94
1.54Defense 1.46
17%Hit Rate 56%
9.9Shots per Game 12.7
2.1Shots on Target 4.2
4.5Corners per Game 5.1
1.7Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

VPSVPS
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
AC OuluAC Oulu
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

VPSVPS4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
AC OuluAC Oulu4Wins · 40%
3.1Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Veikkausliiga18/04/2026
AC OuluVPS
10
League Cup24/01/2026
VPSAC Oulu
14
Veikkausliiga04/10/2025
AC OuluVPS
20
Veikkausliiga28/06/2025
AC OuluVPS
21
Veikkausliiga05/04/2025
VPSAC Oulu
43
League Cup08/02/2025
VPSAC Oulu
21
Veikkausliiga19/06/2024
VPSAC Oulu
11
Veikkausliiga27/04/2024
AC OuluVPS
12
League Cup17/02/2024
VPSAC Oulu
11
Veikkausliiga15/07/2023
VPSAC Oulu
30

Recent Form

VPSVPS
6W3D1L
17/06/2026
SJKVPS
12
W13/06/2026
VPSKuPS
11
D
10/06/2026
KuPSVPS
4050
W
30/05/2026
Turku PSVPS
10
L
26/05/2026
VPSHaka
40
W
22/05/2026
VPSHJK Helsinki
21
W
18/05/2026
LahtiVPS
11
D
13/05/2026
VPSÅIFK
70
W
09/05/2026
VPSGnistan
11
D
02/05/2026
MariehamnVPS
01
W
AC OuluAC Oulu
6W1D3L
18/06/2026
AC OuluMariehamn
21
W
13/06/2026
Inter TurkuAC Oulu
00
D
31/05/2026
AC OuluFF Jaro
21
W
23/05/2026
SJKAC Oulu
01
W
16/05/2026
AC OuluTurku PS
10
W
08/05/2026
IlvesAC Oulu
10
L
02/05/2026
AC OuluKuPS
20
W
25/04/2026
LahtiAC Oulu
21
L
22/04/2026
KuPSAC Oulu
32
L
18/04/2026
AC OuluVPS
10
W

Referee Profile

Peiman Simani165 matches

3.49Cards per match
3.32Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
20.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Peiman Simani3.49
Other referees4.00

3.49 cards a match, 0.51 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.00).

Cards come from 47 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Veikkausliiga 2026

Veikkausliiga

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1KuPSKuPS22127338:23+1543LDDWL
2Inter TurkuInter Turku22119229:16+1342WLWLW
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki22114736:27+937WWDWW
4GnistanGnistan22106636:29+736LDLLL
5AC OuluAC Oulu22104825:25034WDWWL
6VPSVPS2296729:22+733LDLLW
7LahtiLahti2295826:19+732WLDLW
8Turku PSTurku PS2287728:23+531LLLLD
9IlvesIlves22741134:37-325WDWWW
10SJKSJK22471125:33-819LWWDD
11FF JaroFF Jaro22361318:44-2615DWDDL
12MariehamnMariehamn22351417:43-2614DDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1KuPSKuPS2238:2343
2Inter TurkuInter Turku2229:1642
3HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki2236:2737
4GnistanGnistan2236:2936
5AC OuluAC Oulu2225:2534
6VPSVPS2229:2233
7LahtiLahti2226:1932
8Turku PSTurku PS2228:2331
9IlvesIlves2234:3725
10SJKSJK2225:3319
11FF JaroFF Jaro2218:4415
12MariehamnMariehamn2217:4314

Champion Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki31177763:36+2758WWDWW
2Inter TurkuInter Turku311610541:27+1458WLWLW
3KuPSKuPS311411646:31+1553LDDWL
4AC OuluAC Oulu311451238:37+147WDWWL
5GnistanGnistan3111101047:46+143LDLLL
6VPSVPS311171331:38-740LDLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1HJK HelsinkiHJK Helsinki3163:3658
2Inter TurkuInter Turku3141:2758
3KuPSKuPS3146:3153
4AC OuluAC Oulu3138:3747
5GnistanGnistan3147:4643
6VPSVPS3131:3840
Relegation

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About the VPS vs AC Oulu forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

VPS and AC Oulu in the Veikkausliiga table

AC Oulu and VPS are close in the Veikkausliiga table, 5th and 6th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: VPS 29-22, AC Oulu 25-25. The full standings are on the Veikkausliiga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

AC Oulu have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.