Wrexham vs Preston Prediction

Wrexham
4-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Preston
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham·Simon Hooper 17/10/2026
WrexhamWrexham
4-1
Finished
PrestonPreston

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.13
SignalSTRONGModel62%SurpriseMediumGap-5.0%
Wrexham Rest
3 days
Preston Rest
3 days

Wrexham vs Preston: the result in context

Wrexham beat Preston 4-1 in the Championship on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 3. Wrexham tend to win more corners, 6.6 a game to 3.7 for Preston.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.59
X
23%3.90
2
17%5.32
Double Chance
1X
83%1.13
X2
39%2.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.92
No
52%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.97 + 0.86 = 2.83
Over 1.5
74%1.29
Over 2.5
51%1.88
Over 3.5
31%3.10
Under 1.5
26%3.40
Under 2.5
49%1.88
Under 3.5
69%1.32
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.9 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.36
Over 9.5
51%1.67
Over 10.5
39%2.15
Under 8.5
37%2.83
Under 9.5
49%2.10
Under 10.5
61%1.68
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.1 = 3.6
Over 3.5
49%1.91
Over 4.5
30%3.04
Under 3.5
51%1.80
Under 4.5
70%1.34

Match Events

9'Andrija VukčevićFoul
21'Benjamin WhitemanFoul
31'Joe WorrallAssist: Danny Imray
36'Alfie Devine
42'Benjamin Whiteman
56'Liam Lindsay INBrad Potts out
59'Sam SmithAssist: Benjamin Whiteman
62'Andrew HughesFoul
63'Kieffer MooreAssist: Joe Worrall
66'Jordan ThompsonFoul
68'Danny Imray INIssa Kabore out
69'Johnny Kenny INDelano Burgzorg out
70'Callum Lang INJusef Erabi out
79'Alfie Devine INEd Nolan out
80'Callum DoylePersistent infringement
80'Leo LeroyFoul
81'Matty James INGeorge Dobson out
81'Kieffer Moore INB. Cadamarteri out
81'Callum O'Hare INOliver Rathbone out
90'Sam Smith INLewis O'Brien out

Lineups

Wrexham
3-4-1-2Coach: P. Parkinson
Preston
3-4-2-1Coach: G. Alexander
Avg rating6.82
Avg rating5.77
A. Patterson6.122A. Patterson
D. Hyam6.15D. Hyam
J. Worrall8.26J. Worrall
C. Doyle6.32C. Doyle
Daniel Edward Peter Imray6.330D. Edward Peter Imray
B. Whiteman9.08B. Whiteman
M. James6.437M. James
J. Ekomié6.23J. Ekomié
C. O'Hare6.017C. O'Hare
K. Moore8.219K. Moore
S. Smith7.728S. Smith
D. Iversen5.61D. Iversen
J. Storey5.214J. Storey
L. Lindsay6.06L. Lindsay
A. Hughes4.816A. Hughes
O. Offiah5.324O. Offiah
L. Leroy5.427L. Leroy
J. Thompson4.915J. Thompson
A. Vukčević5.03A. Vukčević
C. Lang5.710C. Lang
A. Devine7.87A. Devine
J. Kenny6.438J. Kenny

Wrexham Substitutes

11B. Cadamarteri81'for Kieffer Moore6.5
15G. Dobson81'for Matty James6.7
34A. James
12I. Kaboré68'for Danny Imray6.6
47R. Longman
27L. O'Brien90'for Sam Smith
20O. Rathbone81'for Callum O'Hare5.9
26Z. Vyner
21D. Ward

Preston Substitutes

44B. Potts56'for Liam Lindsay6.0
11T. Small
2Pol Valentín
23A. Moran
9J. Erabi70'for Callum Lang6.3
21L. Nicholls
37D. Burgzorg69'for Johnny Kenny6.2
35Isaac Irwin
32Ed Nolan79'for Alfie Devine5.9

Match Stats

WrexhamPreston
62%Ball Possession38%
8Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards4
18Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal5
13Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box5
7Blocked Shots5
9Fouls14
3Offsides3
0Goalkeeper Saves2
467Total Passes298
331Passes Accurate169
14Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

WrexhamWrexham
PrestonPreston
1651Elo Rating 1492
1.56Attack 0.78
1.54Defense 0.59
37%Hit Rate 0%
14.9Shots per Game 12.5
3.5Shots on Target 2.1
6.6Corners per Game 3.7
1.7Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+159 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

WrexhamWrexham
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
PrestonPreston
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

WrexhamWrexham2Wins · 67%
Draws133%
PrestonPreston0Wins · 0%
3.3Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored3 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Championship29/12/2025
WrexhamPreston
21
Championship06/12/2025
PrestonWrexham
11
League Cup26/08/2025
PrestonWrexham
23

Recent Form

WrexhamWrexham
2W5D3L
13/10/2026
WrexhamWest Brom
12
L
10/10/2026
DerbyWrexham
11
D
19/09/2026
WrexhamSouthampton
21
W
11/09/2026
West HamWrexham
60
L
08/09/2026
WrexhamBurnley
11
D
05/09/2026
SwanseaWrexham
00
D
02/09/2026
MillwallWrexham
03
W
28/08/2026
WrexhamBirmingham
12
L
22/08/2026
WrexhamWatford
11
D
17/08/2026
CardiffWrexham
11
D

Referee Profile

Simon Hooper178 matches

3.71Cards per match
3.64Yellow cards per match
0.06Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Simon Hooper3.71
Other referees3.83

3.71 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.83).

Cards come from 177 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1172216:8+823LWWWW
3West HamWest Ham1164130:12+1822WWDDW
4BirminghamBirmingham1155120:11+920WWWDW
5West BromWest Brom1162315:12+320WWLLD
6Stoke CityStoke City1161418:16+219WLWWW
7WolvesWolves1153319:16+318DWLLW
8PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
9SouthamptonSouthampton1163221:10+1117DWWLW
10QPRQPR1145215:12+317LWDDD
11Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1244416:15+116DWLWL
12BlackburnBlackburn1143417:16+115LWWDW
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14WrexhamWrexham1135315:16-114WLDWL
15Bristol CityBristol City1142512:15-314LLDWL
16BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
17CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
18NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
19LincolnLincoln113359:19-1012DLLLW
20CardiffCardiff1125418:17+111DWLWL
21WatfordWatford1132610:19-911WLLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1115516:21-58LDWDL
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston111199:24-154LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1116:823
3West HamWest Ham1130:1222
4BirminghamBirmingham1120:1120
5West BromWest Brom1115:1220
6Stoke CityStoke City1118:1619
7WolvesWolves1119:1618
8PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
9SouthamptonSouthampton1121:1017
10QPRQPR1115:1217
11Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1216:1516
12BlackburnBlackburn1117:1615
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14WrexhamWrexham1115:1614
15Bristol CityBristol City1112:1514
16BoltonBolton1216:2314
17CharltonCharlton1211:1814
18NorwichNorwich1220:2212
19LincolnLincoln119:1912
20CardiffCardiff1118:1711
21WatfordWatford1110:1911
22BurnleyBurnley1116:218
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston119:244
PromotionRelegation

About the Wrexham vs Preston forecast

The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Wrexham and Preston in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Wrexham are 14th and Preston 24th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Wrexham 15-16, Preston 9-24. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.