Preston vs Millwall Prediction

Preston
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Millwall
Deepdale Stadium, Preston·Ben Speedie 10/10/2026
PrestonPreston
0-1
Finished
MillwallMillwall

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.39
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-6.7%
Preston Rest
21 days
Millwall Rest
21 days

Preston vs Millwall: the result in context

Millwall beat Preston 1-0 in the Championship on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them. Referee Ben Speedie averages 3.30 cards a game, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.90
X
26%3.36
2
40%2.35
Double Chance
1X
60%1.55
X2
66%1.39
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.63
No
42%2.14
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.18 + 1.37 = 2.55
Over 1.5
74%1.25
Over 2.5
51%1.82
Over 3.5
31%3.00
Under 1.5
26%3.70
Under 2.5
49%1.97
Under 3.5
69%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 5.1 = 10.4
Over 8.5
70%1.29
Over 9.5
58%1.50
Over 10.5
47%1.85
Under 8.5
30%3.32
Under 9.5
42%2.40
Under 10.5
53%1.86
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
54%1.91
Over 4.5
35%2.77
Under 3.5
46%1.80
Under 4.5
65%1.42

Match Events

15'Leo LeroyFoul
19'Jenson MetcalfeFoul
45'Harry Clarke INPol Valentin out
59'Callum Lang INDelano Burgzorg out
66'Ryan Leonard INTristan Crama out
66'Kyrell Lisbie INLuke Cundle out
71'Derek Mazou SackoFoul
72'Andrija Vukčević INThierry Small out
74'Taïryk Arconte INMark Sykes out
79'Camiel NeghliAssist: Luke Cundle

Lineups

Preston
3-4-1-2Coach: G. Alexander
Millwall
4-2-3-1Coach: A. Neil
Avg rating6.49
Avg rating6.90
D. Iversen5.71D. Iversen
O. Offiah6.024O. Offiah
J. Storey7.514J. Storey
A. Hughes6.616A. Hughes
H. Clarke6.94H. Clarke
L. Leroy6.727L. Leroy
J. Thompson6.215J. Thompson
A. Vukčević6.33A. Vukčević
A. Devine6.37A. Devine
J. Erabi6.19J. Erabi
C. Lang6.610C. Lang
F. Marschall6.534F. Marschall
R. Leonard7.018R. Leonard
C. Taylor7.66C. Taylor
J. Cooper7.15J. Cooper
Zak Norton Sturge6.73Z. Norton Sturge
D. Mazou-Sacko6.449D. Mazou-Sacko
Jenson Metcalfe6.914J. Metcalfe
T. Arconte6.27T. Arconte
C. Neghli8.210C. Neghli
K. Lisbie6.822K. Lisbie
L. Dykes6.413L. Dykes

Preston Substitutes

37D. Burgzorg59'for Callum Lang6.4
20L. Gibbs
30G. Gryba
6L. Lindsay
23A. Moran
21L. Nicholls
11T. Small72'for Andrija Vukčević6.5
2Pol Valentín45'for Harry Clarke7.0

Millwall Substitutes

17M. Sykes74'for Taïryk Arconte6.8
2J. Osei-Tutu
29Z. Lovelace
35Y. Issoufou
45A. Doughty
25L. Cundle66'for Kyrell Lisbie7.1
15M. Crocombe
4T. Crama66'for Ryan Leonard7.0
23D. Batth

Match Stats

PrestonMillwall
46%Ball Possession54%
4Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots11
1Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal7
7Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots1
8Fouls11
0Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves1
355Total Passes422
246Passes Accurate300
11Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

PrestonPreston
MillwallMillwall
1492Elo Rating 1654
0.78Attack 1.18
0.59Defense 1.53
0%Hit Rate 17%
12.5Shots per Game 12.9
2.1Shots on Target 3.9
3.7Corners per Game 7.7
2.2Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

PrestonPreston
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MillwallMillwall
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

PrestonPreston0Wins · 0%
Draws660%
MillwallMillwall4Wins · 40%
2.4Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Championship28/02/2026
PrestonMillwall
02
Championship08/11/2025
MillwallPreston
11
Championship18/02/2025
PrestonMillwall
11
Championship28/09/2024
MillwallPreston
31
Championship27/01/2024
MillwallPreston
11
Championship21/10/2023
PrestonMillwall
11
Championship15/04/2023
MillwallPreston
20
Championship12/11/2022
PrestonMillwall
24
Championship15/04/2022
PrestonMillwall
11
Championship01/02/2022
MillwallPreston
00

Recent Form

PrestonPreston
2W1D7L
19/09/2026
QPRPreston
22
D
12/09/2026
PrestonLincoln
01
L
08/09/2026
WatfordPreston
21
L
05/09/2026
PrestonBlackburn
21
W
01/09/2026
PrestonBristol City
13
L
29/08/2026
CharltonPreston
10
L
26/08/2026
PrestonEverton
04
L
22/08/2026
PrestonWolves
13
L
15/08/2026
BoltonPreston
21
L
08/08/2026
PrestonHuddersfield
4131
W
MillwallMillwall
4W2D4L
19/09/2026
MillwallWest Ham
22
D
15/09/2026
MiddlesbroughMillwall
22
D
12/09/2026
BlackburnMillwall
31
L
08/09/2026
MillwallNewcastle
01
L
05/09/2026
MillwallBolton
40
W
02/09/2026
MillwallWrexham
03
L
29/08/2026
SouthamptonMillwall
51
L
25/08/2026
Cambridge UnitedMillwall
01
W
22/08/2026
MillwallNorwich
30
W
15/08/2026
Bristol CityMillwall
02
W

Referee Profile

Ben Speedie214 matches

3.30Cards per match
3.19Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
22.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ben Speedie3.30
Other referees3.82

3.30 cards a match, 0.52 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.82).

Cards come from 204 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
3West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
4WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
5West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
6SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
7BirminghamBirmingham1255220:12+820LWWWD
8QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
9Stoke CityStoke City1262418:16+220DWLWW
10BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1244416:15+116DWLWL
13MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
14Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
15LincolnLincoln1243513:20-715WDLLL
16CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
17WrexhamWrexham1235415:18-314LWLDW
18BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
19CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
20NorwichNorwich1240820:22-212WLLLL
21WatfordWatford1232710:20-1011LWLLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston1212910:25-155DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
3West HamWest Ham1232:1522
4WolvesWolves1220:1621
5West BromWest Brom1216:1321
6SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
7BirminghamBirmingham1220:1220
8QPRQPR1220:1220
9Stoke CityStoke City1218:1620
10BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
12Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1216:1516
13MillwallMillwall1219:2015
14Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
15LincolnLincoln1213:2015
16CardiffCardiff1219:1714
17WrexhamWrexham1215:1814
18BoltonBolton1216:2314
19CharltonCharlton1211:1814
20NorwichNorwich1220:2212
21WatfordWatford1210:2011
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1210:255
PromotionRelegation

About the Preston vs Millwall forecast

The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Preston and Millwall in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Millwall are 13th and Preston 24th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Preston 10-25, Millwall 19-20. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.