Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Prediction

National Olympic Stadium, Tokyo· Hiroyuki Kimura, Japan 07/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.7 / 10
Value Analysis
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.33
SignalGOODModel44%RiskMediumGap+11.1%
Yokohama F. Marinos Rest
19 days
Kashima Rest
23 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%3.80
X
34%3.37
2
37%1.99
Double Chance
1X
62%1.80
X2
71%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.83
No
41%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.33 + 1.5 = 2.83
Over 1.5
80%1.33
Over 2.5
51%2.08
Over 3.5
28%3.70
Under 1.5
20%3.10
Under 2.5
49%1.74
Under 3.5
72%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 5.8 = 10.3
Over 8.5
64%1.47
Over 9.5
53%1.81
Over 10.5
40%2.25
Under 8.5
36%2.50
Under 9.5
47%1.94
Under 10.5
60%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.9 = 3.7
Over 3.5
44%-
Over 4.5
27%-
Under 3.5
56%-
Under 4.5
73%-

Match Events

7'S. MiideraAssist: T. Kondo
11'Leo CearaAssist: R. Ogawa
18'K. TanimuraAssist: J. Amano
25'Y. SuzukiFoul
46'M. Yoshida INY. Matsumura out
58'K. TanimuraAssist: J. Amano
61'S. Miidera ING. Onaiwu out
67'Yan INH. Hayashu out
67'Matheus Bueno ING. Shibasaki out
69'K. Tanimura INR. Nitta out
69'J. Amano IND. David out
69'T. Kondo INR. Miyaichi out
77'R. Tsunoda INJ. Croux out
81'Leo Ceara
85'R. Ogawa INA. Cavric out
85'R. Hirose INH. Tokuda out
86'Goal Disallowed - video reviewH. Tokuda
90+9'A. Cavric(Penalty)
90+12'A. CavricAssist: G. Shibasaki

Lineups

Yokohama F. Marinos
4-2-3-1
Kashima
4-4-2Coach: Toru Oniki
Rubén Blanco36R. BlancoRubén Blanco
Taisei Inoue13T. InoueTaisei Inoue
Jeisson Quiñónes17J. QuiñónesJeisson Quiñónes
Kosei Suwama33K. SuwamaKosei Suwama
Ryotaro Tsunoda22R. TsunodaRyotaro Tsunoda
Kei Chinen14K. ChinenKei Chinen
Kosuke Matsumura41K. MatsumuraKosuke Matsumura
Tomoki Kondo24T. KondoTomoki Kondo
Jun Amano40J. AmanoJun Amano
4747S. MiideraShin Miidera
Kaina Tanimura9K. TanimuraKaina Tanimura
Tomoki Hayakawa1T. HayakawaTomoki Hayakawa
Rikuto Hirose37R. HiroseRikuto Hirose
Naomichi Ueda55N. UedaNaomichi Ueda
Ikuma Sekigawa5I. SekigawaIkuma Sekigawa
Ryoya Ogawa7R. OgawaRyoya Ogawa
Yan Matheus18Y. MatheusYan Matheus
Kento Misao6K. MisaoKento Misao
Matheus Bueno8M. BuenoMatheus Bueno
Yuma Suzuki40Y. SuzukiYuma Suzuki
Léo Ceará9L. CearáLéo Ceará
Minato Yoshida30M. YoshidaMinato Yoshida

Yokohama F. Marinos Substitutes

18George OnaiwuF
43Rio NittaF
23Ryo MiyaichiF
26Dean DavidF
11Jordy CrouxF
21Hiroki IlkuraG
34Takuto KimuraM
8Takuya KidaM
28Riku YamaneM

Kashima Substitutes

27Yuta MatsumuraM
24Haruki HayashiM
10Gaku ShibasakiM
77Aleksandar ČavrićF
34Homare TokudaF
21Taiki YamadaG
35Anthony MotosunaD
3Kim Tae-hyeonD
23Keisuke TsukuiD

Match Stats

Yokohama F. MarinosKashima
32%Ball Possession68%
0Corner Kicks9
0Yellow Cards1
11Total Shots21
4Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal6
6Shots Inside Box19
5Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots10
19Fouls7
1Offsides9
1Goalkeeper Saves1
258Total Passes561
169Passes Accurate467
66%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos
KashimaKashima
1615Elo Rating 1678
1.61Attack 2.89
2.18Defense 0.84
46%Hit Rate 23%
12.0Shots per Game 15.3
4.0Shots on Target 5.8
3.1Corners per Game 3.2
1.7Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend77% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
KashimaKashima
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Yokohama F. Marinos 31%Draw 27%42% Kashima
2.72Avg Goals
77%BTTS Rate
50%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos
3W2D0L
19/07/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosRoasso Kumamoto
31
W
15/07/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosTegevajaro Miyazaki
11
D
06/06/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosShimizu S-pulse
30
W
31/05/2026
Shimizu S-pulseYokohama F. Marinos
11
D
24/05/2026
Tokyo VerdyYokohama F. Marinos
06
W
KashimaKashima
4W0D1L
15/07/2026
KashimaVegalta Sendai
50
W
06/06/2026
KashimaVissel Kobe
20
W
30/05/2026
Vissel KobeKashima
50
L
23/05/2026
KashimaFC Tokyo
10
W
17/05/2026
JEF United ChibaKashima
02
W

Referee Profile

Hiroyuki Kimura, Japan · 34 matches analysed

3.3Avg Yellows
3.4Avg Cards
23.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 4% of referees analysed

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia752019:6+1317DWWDW
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe751111:5+616WWWWL
3Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol750213:10+315WLLWW
4Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima742119:6+1314WLWDD
5FC TokyoFC Tokyo742113:8+514WWDWW
6Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama741210:8+213WWWLD
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale733113:9+412WWLWD
8KashimaKashima740314:13+112LLLWW
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos732211:9+211DWDLW
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka73136:11-510LDWLW
11Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock723211:9+29LDWDW
12UrawaUrawa730413:17-49LWWWL
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse72144:7-37WLDLL
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki72149:14-57WLDLL
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka71338:13-56LLDDL
16Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus72057:13-66LLLWW
17Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga71249:14-55LLDWL
18Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka71159:11-24LDLLL
19Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy70433:9-64DDLLD
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba71156:16-104DWLLL
Champions LeagueRelegation

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Prediction

This J1 League meeting between Yokohama F. Marinos and Kashima carries extra rivalry weight, and our AI model factors that context in alongside team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About J1 League

ScorePredicts covers Japan football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Yokohama F. Marinos have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Yokohama F. Marinos and Kashima have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.72 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.