York vs Crawley Town Prediction

League CupEngland England · Preliminary Round
Cup
York
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Crawley Town
York Community Stadium, York· T. Parsons 03/08/2026
YorkYork
0-2
Finished
Crawley TownCrawley Town

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.21
SignalNEUTRALModel45%RiskMediumGap-0.3%
York Rest
6 days
Crawley Town Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%1.67
X
24%3.85
2
40%4.75
Double Chance
1X
60%1.17
X2
64%2.13
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.67
No
54%2.03
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 2.86 = 4.00
Over 1.5
82%1.21
Over 2.5
52%1.69
Over 3.5
33%2.70
Under 1.5
18%4.00
Under 2.5
48%2.06
Under 3.5
67%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'Gianmarco Di BiaseAssist: Kellan Gordon
36'Ben BrooksFoul
44'Jude ArthursFoul
49'Charlie BarkerFoul
53'Malcolm Ebiowei INOsman Kamara out
53'Kellan Gordon INJohnny Russell out
54'Gianmarco Di Biase INDanilo Orsi-Dadomo out
57'Ben Brooks INAlex Newby out
66'Klaudio Krasniqi INJay Williams out
67'Jack Hunt INJoe Felix out
69'Johnny RussellFoul
71'Zech MedleyFoul
76'Afolabi AkinyemiFoul
77'Afolabi Akinyemi INGreg Olley out
82'Priestley Farquharson INPele Arganese-McDermott out
86'Alfie McNallyArgument
86'Danilo Orsi-Dadomo(Penalty)

Lineups

York
3-4-1-2
Crawley Town
4-2-3-1
Alfie McNally1A. McNallyAlfie McNally
Morgan Williams24M. WilliamsMorgan Williams
Zak Johnson5Z. JohnsonZak Johnson
Zech Medley4Z. MedleyZech Medley
Jack Hunt32J. HuntJack Hunt
Alex Hunt8A. HuntAlex Hunt
Ollie Banks28O. BanksOllie Banks
Ben Brooks14B. BrooksBen Brooks
Ollie Pearce10O. PearceOllie Pearce
Joe Grey7J. GreyJoe Grey
Afolabi Akinyemi20A. AkinyemiAfolabi Akinyemi
Vito Mannone1V. MannoneVito Mannone
Kellan Gordon2K. GordonKellan Gordon
Priestley Farquharson6P. FarquharsonPriestley Farquharson
Charlie Barker5C. BarkerCharlie Barker
Ade Adeyemo22A. AdeyemoAde Adeyemo
Jude Arthurs20J. ArthursJude Arthurs
Klaudio Krasniqi25K. KrasniqiKlaudio Krasniqi
Malcolm Ebiowei7M. EbioweiMalcolm Ebiowei
Louie Watson8L. WatsonLouie Watson
Stephen Duke-McKenna10S. Duke-McKennaStephen Duke-McKenna
Gianmarco Di Biase14G. Di BiaseGianmarco Di Biase

York Substitutes

30Alex NewbyM
23Joe FelixD
22Greg OlleyM
31George Sykes-KenworthyG
33Charlie McArthurD
2Ryan FallowfieldD
19Mark SheltonM
16Arthur ReadM
25Ben FarrarF

Crawley Town Substitutes

16Johnny RussellD
17Osman KamaraF
9Danilo Orsi-DadomoF
26Jay WilliamsD
4Pele Arganese-McDermottD
31Jackson IzquierdoG
24Akin OdimayoD
28Nathan TinsdaleM
11Pemi AderojuF

Match Stats

YorkCrawley Town
61%Ball Possession39%
6Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots8
2Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal2
10Shots Inside Box7
1Shots Outside Box1
5Blocked Shots1
10Fouls10
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
509Total Passes328
441Passes Accurate259
87%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

YorkYork
Crawley TownCrawley Town
1668Elo Rating 1435
2.17Attack 1.20
1.88Defense 0.84
44%Hit Rate 14%
19.2Shots per Game 13.8
6.8Shots on Target 4.0
7.6Corners per Game 4.8
1.3Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+233 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy4 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

YorkYork
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.9 in second half)
Crawley TownCrawley Town
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

YorkYork
1W1D3L
28/07/2026
YorkPeterborough
12
L
24/07/2026
YorkAl-Ettifaq
22
D
18/07/2026
YorkSunderland
15
L
14/07/2026
Pickering TownYork
42
L
11/07/2026
YorkBarnsley
21
W
Crawley TownCrawley Town
1W2D2L
31/07/2026
Crawley TownReading
01
L
28/07/2026
Oxford UnitedCrawley Town
31
L
25/07/2026
EastleighCrawley Town
01
W
02/05/2026
Crawley TownSalford City
00
D
25/04/2026
Accrington STCrawley Town
33
D

Referee Profile

T. Parsons · 4 matches analysed

3.7Avg Yellows
3.9Avg Cards
22.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 57% of referees analysed

Bracket

Preliminary Round
Tranmere21
Rochdale22
On penalties
York0
Crawley Town2
Tranmere21
Rochdale22
On penalties
York0
Crawley Town2

York vs Crawley Town Prediction

As a knockout-stage League Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

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Key Factors for This Match

York and Crawley Town have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.