Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long Prediction

Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium, Yuxi·Jianxin Du, China 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalHIGHModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-4.6%
Yunnan Yukun Rest
7 days
Chongqing Tongliang Long Rest
6 days

Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long: the result in context

Yunnan Yukun and Chongqing Tongliang Long drew 1-1 in the Super League on 17 Oct 2026. Yunnan Yukun had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Chongqing Tongliang Long.

Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game. Referee Jianxin Du averages 3.50 cards a game, 0.75 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.68
X
24%4.06
2
18%4.29
Double Chance
1X
82%1.19
X2
42%2.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.57
No
41%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.76 + 1.17 = 2.93
Over 1.5
81%1.17
Over 2.5
60%1.57
Over 3.5
39%2.38
Under 1.5
19%4.80
Under 2.5
40%2.35
Under 3.5
61%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.8 = 10.2
Over 8.5
67%1.33
Over 9.5
55%1.61
Over 10.5
44%2.00
Under 8.5
33%2.87
Under 9.5
45%2.15
Under 10.5
56%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2 = 3.6
Over 3.5
49%-
Over 4.5
30%-
Under 3.5
51%-
Under 4.5
70%-

Match Events

34'CleberAssist: Caio Vinicius
53'Liang Weipeng INWu Yongqiang out
53'He Xiaoqiang INLiu Mingshi out
55'Caio ViniciusFoul
72'Yang Zihao INZhang Chenliang out
76'Wei Suowei INZhang Yingkai out
76'Xiang Yuwang INDu Yuezheng out
82'G. Cimpanu(Penalty)
83'L. Dimata INRuan Qilong out
86'Abdusalam Bunyamin INJ. Saeter out
87'Xu Xin INHan Zilong out

Lineups

Yunnan Yukun
4-3-3
Chongqing Tongliang Long
4-4-2
Avg rating6.94
Avg rating6.57
Zhifeng Wang6.723Z. Wang
Wang-Kit Tsui7.23W. Tsui
Andrei Burcă7.333A. Burcă
Ruibao Hu6.92R. Hu
Zihao Yang7.021Z. Yang
Alexandru IonițăC6.510A. Ioniță
Xin Xu7.28X. Xu
Caio Vinícius7.534C. Vinícius
Bunyamin Abdusalam7.639B. Abdusalam
Cléber7.09Cléber
Oscar Taty Maritu6.711O. Taty Maritu
Haoyang Yao6.31H. Yao
Wei Suowei6.937W. Suowei
Ruijie Yue6.54R. Yue
Lucão6.633Lucão
Xiaoqiang He6.226X. He
Alexandru Cîmpanu7.39A. Cîmpanu
Ibrahim Amadou7.310I. Amadou
Zhixiong Zhang6.516Z. Zhang
Weipeng Liang6.318W. Liang
Nany Dimata6.511N. Dimata
Yuwang XiangC6.37Y. Xiang

Yunnan Yukun Substitutes

24Jianxian Yu
1Yaxiong Bao
26Chenliang Zhang72'for Yang Zihao5.7
16Zhang Xiangshuo
5Ke Shi
22Liuyu Duan
17Sun Xuelong
27Zilong Han87'for Xu Xin
7Chugui Ye
30John Hou Sæter
6Yuhao Zhao
36Ernanduo Fei

Chongqing Tongliang Long Substitutes

31Wu Zitong
25Yeerzhati Yeerjieti
6Pengxiang Jin
24Mingshi Liu53'for He Xiaoqiang6.7
3Zhang Yingkai76'for Wei Suowei6.6
38Qilong Ruan83'for L. Dimata6.5
21Jiale Liu
27Yongqiang Wu53'for Liang Weipeng6.3
15Chen Chunxin
17Yu-Hei Ng
19Du Yuezheng76'for Xiang Yuwang6.3

Match Stats

Yunnan YukunChongqing Tongliang Long
53%Ball Possession47%
6Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards0
17Total Shots6
2Shots on Goal1
10Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box3
6Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots3
8Fouls8
0Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves1
417Total Passes370
344Passes Accurate302
82%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun
Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long
1580Elo Rating 1518
1.66Attack 1.13
1.14Defense 1.94
31%Hit Rate 27%
13.0Shots per Game 10.1
4.0Shots on Target 4.1
3.9Corners per Game 6.4
0.7Cards per Game 0.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.93 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun1Wins · 17%
Draws466%
Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long1Wins · 17%
1.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
17%3+ goals1 of 6

Previous meetings

FA Cup02/09/2026
Yunnan YukunChongqing Tongliang Long
10
Super League20/05/2026
Chongqing Tongliang LongYunnan Yukun
00
League One15/09/2024
Chongqing Tongliang LongYunnan Yukun
32
League One27/04/2024
Yunnan YukunChongqing Tongliang Long
11
League Two02/07/2023
Yunnan YukunChongqing Tongliang Long
00
League Two06/05/2023
Chongqing Tongliang LongYunnan Yukun
11

Recent Form

Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long
1W3D6L
11/10/2026
Chongqing Tongliang LongShandong Luneng
11
D
06/09/2026
Chongqing Tongliang LongShanghai Shenhua
13
L
02/09/2026
Yunnan YukunChongqing Tongliang Long
10
L
29/08/2026
Henan JianyeChongqing Tongliang Long
11
D
23/08/2026
Chongqing Tongliang LongDalian Zhixing
01
L
14/08/2026
Qingdao Youth IslandChongqing Tongliang Long
00
D
09/08/2026
Chongqing Tongliang LongSHANGHAI SIPG
23
L
02/08/2026
Sichuan JiuniuChongqing Tongliang Long
20
L
25/07/2026
Wuhan Three TownsChongqing Tongliang Long
10
L
21/07/2026
Chongqing Tongliang LongQingdao Youth Island
20
W

Referee Profile

Jianxin Du14 matches

3.50Cards per match
3.30Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jianxin Du3.50
Other referees4.25

3.50 cards a match, 0.75 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.25).

Cards come from 10 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City29157751:35+1652LLLDW
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing291541046:43+349WWWWD
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan291410557:36+2147WWWDD
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng29155957:47+1044WWDDW
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG29138850:36+1442WWWDW
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun291171157:60-340DDLWL
7Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island29815632:38-639DLLDD
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua291451063:50+1337LWWWL
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long29812931:34-336WDDLD
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown291161251:54-334WLLWL
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu29951539:51-1232WLDDL
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda291181039:35+431LWWWW
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban29851641:52-1129LWDLL
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye298101138:42-428LLDDD
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns295121244:55-1122LLDLD
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon29632034:62-2814LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City2951:3552
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing2946:4349
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan2957:3647
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng2957:4744
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG2950:3642
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun2957:6040
7Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island2932:3839
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua2963:5037
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long2931:3436
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown2951:5434
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu2939:5132
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda2939:3531
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban2941:5229
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye2938:4228
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns2944:5522
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon2934:6214
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Yunnan Yukun vs Chongqing Tongliang Long forecast

The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Yunnan Yukun and Chongqing Tongliang Long in the Super League table

In the Super League table, Yunnan Yukun are 6th and Chongqing Tongliang Long 9th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Yunnan Yukun 57-60, Chongqing Tongliang Long 31-34. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.