Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice Prediction
Poland · Regular Season - 8
KGHM Zaglebie Arena, Lubin 12/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.47
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+7.0%
Zaglebie Lubin Rest
5 days
GKS Katowice Rest
7 days
Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice: the result in context
Zaglebie Lubin beat GKS Katowice 2-1 in the Ekstraklasa on 12 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: GKS Katowice had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Zaglebie Lubin.
Their history points to a close game: 4 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
139%2.58
X27%3.33
234%2.57
Double Chance
1X66%1.45
X261%1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes54%1.62
No46%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 1.29 = 2.64
Over 1.577%1.24
Over 2.552%1.80
Over 3.528%2.95
Under 1.523%3.65
Under 2.548%1.98
Under 3.572%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 5.5 = 10.5
Over 8.568%1.47
Over 9.556%1.83
Over 10.544%2.23
Under 8.532%2.45
Under 9.544%1.91
Under 10.556%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.559%1.52
Over 4.540%2.07
Under 3.541%2.32
Under 4.560%1.65
Match Events
42'Kamil NowogonskiAssist: Josip Ćorluka
44'Damian DąbrowskiFoul
45'Bartosz Wolski INKacper Lukasiak out
58'Filip Szymczak INMichalis Kosidis out
64'Eman Marković INMarcel Wedrychowski out
68'Kamil Nowogonski INJakub·Sypek out
68'Josip Ćorluka INIgor Orlikowski out
73'Erik Jirka INMateusz Wdowiak out
78'Michalis KosidisAssist: Igor Orlikowski
83'Mateusz·Kowalczyk INSebastian Milewski out
83'Bartosz Nowak INSzymon bartlewicz out
87'David Čolina INDamian Michalski out
87'Filip Kocaba INJakub Kolan out
90+2'Penalty confirmedMarcin Wasielewski
90+4'Roman YakubaFoul
90+4'Arkadiusz Jedrych(Penalty)
90+7'Jakub KolanFoul
Lineups
Zaglebie LubinGKS Katowice
3-4-3Coach: R. GórakAvg ratingAvg rating
33Z. Alomerović
5A. Ławniczak
25M. Nalepa
3R. Yakuba
16J. Ćorluka
39F. Kocaba
8D. Dąbrowski
6D. Čolina
44M. Reguła
18F. Szymczak
71K. Nowogoński
87G. Kobylak
30A. Czerwiński
4A. Jędrych
55P. Resta
97E. Jirka
68B. Wolski
77M. Kowalczyk
23M. Wasielewski
15E. Marković
17I. Shkurin
27B. NowakZaglebie Lubin Substitutes
20M. Dziewiatowski
30D. Hładun
37S. Kerk
1J. Burić
26J. Kolan87'for Filip Kocaba90+7'
9M. Kosidis58'for Filip Szymczak78'
19S. Łyczko
4D. Michalski87'for David Čolina
88M. Mlinarić
31I. Orlikowski68'for Josip Ćorluka
7J. Sypek68'for Kamil Nowogonski
11A. Woźniak
GKS Katowice Substitutes
10M. Wędrychowski64'for Eman Marković
7M. Wdowiak73'for Erik Jirka
22S. Milewski83'for Mateusz·Kowalczyk
19K. Łukasiak45'for Bartosz Wolski
21Jakub Kokosinski
1M. Kikolski
31S. Bartlewicz83'for Bartosz Nowak
26D. Rasak
Match Stats
Zaglebie LubinGKS Katowice 41%Ball Possession59%
6Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards0
21Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal3
12Shots off Goal4
19Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots5
8Fouls10
3Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
329Total Passes479
251Passes Accurate394
76%Pass Accuracy82%
Team Comparison
Zaglebie LubinGKS Katowice1531Elo Rating 1603
1.28Attack 1.88
1.45Defense 1.69
58%Hit Rate 59%
14.3Shots per Game 16.3
5.0Shots on Target 4.3
3.7Corners per Game 3.7
3.1Cards per Game 1.0
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
Game State Tendencies
Zaglebie Lubin- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GKS Katowice- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Zaglebie Lubin1Wins · 25%Draws125%
GKS Katowice2Wins · 50%
2Wins · 50%2.0Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4
Previous meetings
30/01/2026Zaglebie LubinGKS Katowice02
28/07/2025GKS KatowiceZaglebie Lubin22
09/03/2025GKS KatowiceZaglebie Lubin10
31/08/2024Zaglebie LubinGKS Katowice10
Recent Form
Zaglebie Lubin3W3D4L
07/09/2026
Wieczysta KrakówZaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
Pogon SzczecinZaglebie Lubin
Slask Wroclaw
Legia WarszawaZaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin
Piast Gliwice
Wieczysta KrakówZaglebie Lubin11
D01/09/2026
Siarka TarnobrzegZaglebie Lubin
29/08/2026Siarka TarnobrzegZaglebie Lubin32
LZaglebie LubinPogon Szczecin00
D23/08/2026
Radomiak RadomZaglebie Lubin
15/08/2026Radomiak RadomZaglebie Lubin00
DZaglebie LubinSlask Wroclaw21
W02/08/2026Legia WarszawaZaglebie Lubin31
L27/07/2026Zaglebie LubinPiast Gliwice20
W18/07/2026Zaglebie Lubin
Chrobry Głogów
Zaglebie LubinChrobry Głogów30
W17/07/2026Zaglebie Lubin
Bohemians 1905
Zaglebie LubinBohemians 190502
L08/07/2026Zaglebie Lubin
Baník Ostrava
Zaglebie LubinBaník Ostrava02
LGKS Katowice5W0D5L
04/09/2026Piast GliwiceGKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
Wisla Plock
Motor LublinGKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel AvivGKS KatowiceGKS KatowiceRadomiak RadomGKS Katowice
Žilina
Wisla KrakowGKS KatowiceŽilinaGKS Katowice
Piast GliwiceGKS Katowice30
L30/08/2026
Gornik ZabrzeGKS Katowice
23/08/2026Gornik ZabrzeGKS Katowice23
WGKS KatowiceWisla Plock50
W16/08/2026Motor LublinGKS Katowice10
L12/08/2026GKS KatowiceHapoel Tel Aviv21
W06/08/2026Hapoel Tel AvivGKS Katowice20
L02/08/2026GKS KatowiceRadomiak Radom31
W30/07/2026GKS KatowiceŽilina31
W26/07/2026Wisla KrakowGKS Katowice21
L23/07/2026ŽilinaGKS Katowice21
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | +10 | 26 | DWDWW |
| 2 |  Lech Poznan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 27:9 | +18 | 25 | WWWLW |
| 3 | Legia Warszawa | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 22:9 | +13 | 23 | DWWDW |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | +9 | 21 | WWWWD |
| 5 | Zaglebie Lubin | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 19 | DWLLW |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 22:16 | +6 | 18 | LWWWL |
| 7 | Wisla Krakow | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | +3 | 18 | DLWWD |
| 8 | Piast Gliwice | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:17 | +2 | 17 | DWLWW |
| 9 |  Korona Kielce | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 | LLWLW |
| 10 | Wisla Plock | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 14 | WLWWD |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 | DWWDL |
| 12 |  Cracovia Krakow | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 | DWLLL |
| 13 |  Jagiellonia | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 12 | LLLLW |
| 14 |  Widzew Łódź | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 | DLDDD |
| 15 | Wieczysta Kraków | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 8 | LLWDL |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9:24 | -15 | 8 | LLLLD |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 6 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Raków Częstochowa | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 15:26 | -11 | 6 | WLLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 11 | 20:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 10 | 27:9 | 25 |
| 3 | Legia Warszawa | 11 | 22:9 | 23 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 10 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 | Zaglebie Lubin | 12 | 15:15 | 19 |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 11 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 7 | Wisla Krakow | 11 | 17:14 | 18 |
| 8 | Piast Gliwice | 11 | 19:17 | 17 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 11 | 13:18 | 15 |
| 10 | Wisla Plock | 10 | 10:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 17:21 | 13 |
| 12 | Cracovia Krakow | 11 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 13 | Jagiellonia | 10 | 13:17 | 12 |
| 14 | Widzew Łódź | 11 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Kraków | 11 | 16:21 | 8 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 11 | 9:24 | 8 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 11 | 14:22 | 6 |
| 18 | Raków Częstochowa | 11 | 15:26 | 6 |
Relegation
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This match
About the Zaglebie Lubin vs GKS Katowice forecast
The forecasts for this Ekstraklasa match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Zaglebie Lubin and GKS Katowice in the Ekstraklasa table
Zaglebie Lubin and GKS Katowice are close in the Ekstraklasa table, 5th and 6th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Zaglebie Lubin 15-15, GKS Katowice 22-16. The full standings are on the Ekstraklasa Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.