Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice Prediction

Motor Lublin
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
GKS Katowice
Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin·Patryk Gryckiewicz, Poland 16/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+8.2%
Motor Lublin Rest
7 days
GKS Katowice Rest
3 days

Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice: the result in context

Motor Lublin beat GKS Katowice 1-0 in the Ekstraklasa on 16 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.4 a game across 8 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6. Referee Patryk Gryckiewicz averages 4.85 cards a game, 0.60 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
31%2.58
X
26%3.50
2
43%2.47
Double Chance
1X
57%1.50
X2
69%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.48
No
42%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.49 = 2.76
Over 1.5
81%1.18
Over 2.5
57%1.58
Over 3.5
32%2.41
Under 1.5
19%4.55
Under 2.5
43%2.31
Under 3.5
68%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 5.1 = 10.2
Over 8.5
64%1.32
Over 9.5
53%1.57
Over 10.5
43%1.97
Under 8.5
36%2.97
Under 9.5
47%2.22
Under 10.5
57%1.76
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.2 = 5
Over 3.5
63%-
Over 4.5
45%-
Under 3.5
37%-
Under 4.5
55%-

Match Events

45+3'M. WedrychowskiFoul
46'M. Wedrychowski INS. Bartlewicz out
46'A. Czerwinski INP. Resta out
49'Goal Disallowed - offsideK. Czubak
60'Goal Disallowed - offsideI. Shkurin
64'KikisUnsportsmanlike conduct
66'Fabio Ronaldo INM. Aiko out
67'B. BereszynskiFoul
71'M. Wdowiak INB. Galan out
71'E. Jirka INM. Wasielewski out
78'T. Santos INK. Lukoszek out
86'K. CzubakAssist: M. Ndiaye
89'B. Nowak INE. Markovic out
90+3'M. Ndiaye INF. Haxha out
90+3'M. Legowski INP. Meyer out
90+3'K. Czubak IND. Gregorski out
90+6'M. BartosUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+6'L. KlemenzUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Motor Lublin
4-1-4-1Coach: Mariusz Misiura
GKS Katowice
3-4-2-1Coach: Rafal Gorak
Avg rating7.02
Avg rating6.81
Mihai Popa7.271M. Popa
Thomas Santos7.029T. Santos
Bartosz Bereszyński6.618B. Bereszyński
Marek Kristián Bartoš7.239M. Kristián Bartoš
Filip Luberecki7.724F. Luberecki
Yacine Bourhane6.927Y. Bourhane
Mbaye Ndiaye7.230M. Ndiaye
Christopher Simon6.78C. Simon
Mateusz Łęgowski6.76M. Łęgowski
Fábio Ronaldo7.611F. Ronaldo
Karol CzubakC7.210K. Czubak
Gabriel Kobylak7.987G. Kobylak
Alan Czerwiński6.630A. Czerwiński
Arkadiusz JędrychC6.54A. Jędrych
Lukas Klemenz6.66L. Klemenz
Erik Jirka6.397E. Jirka
Kacper Łukasiak7.919K. Łukasiak
Bartosz Wolski8.268B. Wolski
Mateusz Wdowiak7.37M. Wdowiak
Marcel Wędrychowski6.210M. Wędrychowski
Bartosz Nowak7.027B. Nowak
Ilia Shkurin6.217I. Shkurin

Motor Lublin Substitutes

70Makan Aïko66'for Fabio Ronaldo6.5
17Kamil Lukoszek78'for T. Santos6.7
33Gašper Tratnik
13Krystian Brzozowski
5Artem Akatov
2Paskal Meyer90+3'for M. Legowski
4Tin Plavotić
19Kacper Szymanek
16Franciszek Lewandowski
7Ivo Rodrigues
23Florian Haxha90+3'for M. Ndiaye
90Dominik Gregorski90+3'for K. Czubak

GKS Katowice Substitutes

55Pau Resta46'for A. Czerwinski6.9
31Szymon Bartlewicz46'for M. Wedrychowski6.5
8Borja Galán71'for M. Wdowiak6.3
23Marcin Wasielewski71'for E. Jirka6.2
1Maciej Kikolski
14Marius Olsen
77Mateusz Kowalczyk
5Jesse Bosch
22Sebastian Milewski
15Eman Marković89'for B. Nowak6.3
21Jakub Kokosinski

Match Stats

Motor LublinGKS Katowice
41%Ball Possession59%
2Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal6
13Shots Inside Box8
2Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots3
15Fouls12
3Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
335Total Passes483
249Passes Accurate398
74%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

Motor LublinMotor Lublin
GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
1541Elo Rating 1585
2.22Attack 1.09
1.42Defense 1.73
64%Hit Rate 41%
24.7Shots per Game 11.1
8.0Shots on Target 3.8
7.5Corners per Game 3.5
2.7Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Motor LublinMotor Lublin
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Motor LublinMotor Lublin2Wins · 25%
Draws225%
GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice4Wins · 50%
3.4Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored6 of 8
63%3+ goals5 of 8

Previous meetings

Ekstraklasa17/04/2026
GKS KatowiceMotor Lublin
32
Ekstraklasa17/10/2025
Motor LublinGKS Katowice
25
Ekstraklasa24/02/2025
Motor LublinGKS Katowice
32
Ekstraklasa16/08/2024
GKS KatowiceMotor Lublin
00
I Liga19/02/2024
GKS KatowiceMotor Lublin
20
I Liga06/08/2023
Motor LublinGKS Katowice
11
II Liga - East19/05/2021
Motor LublinGKS Katowice
21
II Liga - East29/11/2020
GKS KatowiceMotor Lublin
21

Recent Form

Motor LublinMotor Lublin
5W2D3L
08/08/2026
Pogon SzczecinMotor Lublin
31
L
31/07/2026
Motor LublinJagiellonia
12
L
26/07/2026
Widzew ŁódźMotor Lublin
22
D
17/07/2026
Motor LublinHapoel Katamon
20
W
11/07/2026
Motor LublinPolonia Warszawa
21
W
03/07/2026
Motor LublinWarta Poznań
41
W
27/06/2026
Motor LublinDinamo Bucuresti
31
W
23/05/2026
Legia WarszawaMotor Lublin
40
L
16/05/2026
Motor LublinCracovia Krakow
33
D
10/05/2026
Wisla PlockMotor Lublin
04
W
GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice
5W1D4L
12/08/2026
GKS KatowiceHapoel Tel Aviv
21
W
06/08/2026
Hapoel Tel AvivGKS Katowice
20
L
02/08/2026
GKS KatowiceRadomiak Radom
31
W
30/07/2026
GKS KatowiceŽilina
31
W
26/07/2026
Wisla KrakowGKS Katowice
21
L
23/07/2026
ŽilinaGKS Katowice
21
L
16/07/2026
GKS KatowiceRaków Częstochowa
11
D
11/07/2026
GKS KatowiceStal Rzeszów
31
W
01/07/2026
GKS KatowiceMiedz Legnica
20
W
01/07/2026
GKS KatowicePiast Gliwice
01
L

Referee Profile

Patryk Gryckiewicz134 matches

4.85Cards per match
4.68Yellow cards per match
0.18Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Patryk Gryckiewicz4.85
Other referees4.25

4.85 cards a match, 0.60 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.25).

Cards come from 62 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ekstraklasa 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan13102134:13+2132DWWWW
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1494123:12+1131WDDDW
3Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1466225:15+1024LDLDW
4Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1373320:15+524LLWWW
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1473422:19+324WLWDL
6Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1465318:17+123DWDWL
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1464424:20+422DDWDW
8GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1470725:20+521LWLLW
9JagielloniaJagiellonia1370618:18021WWWLL
10Motor LublinMotor Lublin1454522:24-219WWDWW
11Korona KielceKorona Kielce1453614:21-718LLWLL
12Wisla PlockWisla Plock1343614:21-715LDLWL
13Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1428420:19+114WLDDL
14Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1442817:29-1214WWLLL
15Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1433816:23-712LLLDW
16Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa14401023:31-812WWLWL
17Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1424817:25-810DLWLL
18Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków14221018:28-108LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Lech PoznanLech Poznan1334:1332
2Gornik ZabrzeGornik Zabrze1423:1231
3Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa1425:1524
4Pogon SzczecinPogon Szczecin1320:1524
5Wisla KrakowWisla Krakow1422:1924
6Zaglebie LubinZaglebie Lubin1418:1723
7Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice1424:2022
8GKS KatowiceGKS Katowice1425:2021
9JagielloniaJagiellonia1318:1821
10Motor LublinMotor Lublin1422:2419
11Korona KielceKorona Kielce1414:2118
12Wisla PlockWisla Plock1314:2115
13Widzew ŁódźWidzew Łódź1420:1914
14Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom1417:2914
15Cracovia KrakowCracovia Krakow1416:2312
16Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa1423:3112
17Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw1417:2510
18Wieczysta KrakówWieczysta Kraków1418:288
Relegation

About the Motor Lublin vs GKS Katowice forecast

The forecasts for this Ekstraklasa match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Motor Lublin and GKS Katowice in the Ekstraklasa table

GKS Katowice and Motor Lublin are close in the Ekstraklasa table, 8th and 10th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Motor Lublin 22-24, GKS Katowice 25-20. The full standings are on the Ekstraklasa Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.