Zenit vs Spartak Moscow Prediction

Zenit
1-1
After Penalties
HT 0-1AET 0-0PEN 4-2
Spartak Moscow
18/07/2026
ZenitZenit
1-1
After Penalties
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.7 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.86
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+9.9%
Zenit Rest
5 days
Spartak Moscow Rest
6 days

Zenit vs Spartak Moscow: the result in context

Zenit beat Spartak Moscow on penalties (4-2) after a 1-1 draw in the Super Cup on 18 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%2.13
X
29%3.40
2
18%3.60
Double Chance
1X
81%1.30
X2
47%1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.77
No
56%1.96
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.29
Over 2.5
38%2.00
Over 3.5
19%3.28
Under 1.5
36%3.37
Under 2.5
62%1.86
Under 3.5
81%1.29
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

25'C. Martins
38'G. Fernandes
46'V. Drkusic INJhon Jhon out
53'Nino
58'Pedrinho
59'Nino INK. Andrade out
59'W. Barrios INFelipe Augusto out
74'S. Babic INA. Djiku out
74'C. Martins IND. Denisov out
75'M. Glushenkov INA. Mostovoy out
82'Marquinhos INI. Dmitriev out
82'G. Fernandes IND. Prutsev out
84'E. Barco INM. Ugalde out
88'Gustavo Mantuan INS. Volkov out
90+4'D. Adamov
90+8'A. Sobolev(Penalty)
90+11'N. Alip

Penalty Shootout4 - 2

1I. Diveev(Penalty)
1P. Solar(Penalty)
2Felipe Augusto(Penalty)
2N. Umyarov(Penalty missed)
3A. Mostovoy(Penalty missed)
3I. Dmitriev(Penalty missed)
4Jhon Jhon(Penalty)
4C. Wooh(Penalty)
5A. Sobolev(Penalty)

Team Comparison

ZenitZenit
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
1768Elo Rating 1722
2.63Attack 2.78
1.37Defense 2.35
100%Hit Rate 81%
14.3Shots per Game 18.0
6.0Shots on Target 7.7
7.0Corners per Game 7.1
2.5Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ZenitZenit
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.9 in first half)
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ZenitZenit4Wins · 40%
Draws550%
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1Wins · 10%
2.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Cup08/04/2026
ZenitSpartak Moscow
6070
Premier League14/03/2026
ZenitSpartak Moscow
20
Premier League16/08/2025
Spartak MoscowZenit
22
Premier League16/03/2025
Spartak MoscowZenit
21
Premier League24/08/2024
ZenitSpartak Moscow
00
Cup17/04/2024
ZenitSpartak Moscow
00
Cup03/04/2024
Spartak MoscowZenit
12
Premier League02/03/2024
Zenit Saint PetersburgSpartak Moscow
00
Premier League20/08/2023
Spartak MoscowZenit Saint Petersburg
13
Premier League07/05/2023
Zenit Saint PetersburgSpartak Moscow
32

Recent Form

ZenitZenit
7W3D0L
13/07/2026
ZenitDinamo Makhachkala
11
D
12/07/2026
ZenitFK Crvena Zvezda
31
W
08/07/2026
ZenitNeftchi
41
W
05/07/2026
ZenitGimnasia L.P.
11
D
01/07/2026
ZenitDinamo Makhachkala
20
W
17/05/2026
FC RostovZenit
01
W
10/05/2026
ZenitFC Sochi
21
W
02/05/2026
CSKA MoscowZenit
13
W
26/04/2026
ZenitAkhmat
20
W
22/04/2026
LokomotivZenit
00
D
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
6W2D2L
11/07/2026
LokomotivSpartak Moscow
20
L
08/07/2026
Spartak MoscowRubin
00
D
04/07/2026
Spartak MoscowKrylia Sovetov
32
W
02/07/2026
Spartak MoscowSpartak Kostroma
10
W
24/05/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Krasnodar
4131
W
17/05/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaSpartak Moscow
00
D
11/05/2026
Spartak MoscowRubin
21
W
06/05/2026
Spartak MoscowCSKA Moscow
10
W
01/05/2026
Krylia SovetovSpartak Moscow
21
L
26/04/2026
Nizhny NovgorodSpartak Moscow
12
W

About the Zenit vs Spartak Moscow forecast

As a derby, this Super Cup meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Super Cup

More Super Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the Super Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.7 out of 10 by our context model. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.